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Author Topic: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook  (Read 7921 times)

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Offline schneitzeit

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #45 on: July 24, 2020, 06:22:07 PM »
I did not know that about the disease.

I saw the track has been revised to make landfall smack into SE Texas and then curve south across the border into Nuevo León and Coahuila.
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Offline StormNine

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #46 on: July 25, 2020, 08:03:07 AM »
The good news about Hanna is it will make landfall in that no mans land area between Corpus and Brownsville that will be the worst of the winds.

Surge will be a concern for Corpus Christi.  Heavy rain, flooding, and tropical storm forced winds in very COVID-19 hard hit TX/MX border areas.   

Offline dwagner88

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #47 on: July 27, 2020, 09:28:42 AM »
I guess that's just a large MCV over lower LA this morning? Certainly looks like a tropical system. . .
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Offline cgauxknox

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #48 on: July 28, 2020, 03:04:50 PM »
The long term forecast cone of what will probably be TS Isaias by tonight most likely comes into FL as a tropical storm on Sunday, with a possibility of the coast of Georgia or South Carolina if it gets out to the eastern side of the forecast cone. Of course this many days out Sunday could be anything from sunny to a major hurricane somewhere between Mexico and New England, but it does seem worth watching to see how it develops.

Offline Matthew

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #49 on: July 28, 2020, 06:57:58 PM »
The long term forecast cone of what will probably be TS Isaias by tonight most likely comes into FL as a tropical storm on Sunday, with a possibility of the coast of Georgia or South Carolina if it gets out to the eastern side of the forecast cone. Of course this many days out Sunday could be anything from sunny to a major hurricane somewhere between Mexico and New England, but it does seem worth watching to see how it develops.
I have a niece in TB.  She bought lots of extra supplies before season started expecting it to be a bad season.  Hopefully it goes ots.

Offline StormNine

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #50 on: July 28, 2020, 07:29:40 PM »
Land interaction and model-chaos combine to form the lowest confidence forecast of the season.  This thing could get sheared out over Puerto Rico or the Domincan Republic or somehow avoid most of the land and come out a hurricane where the answers lie between Gulf Coast impact, Florida impact, or Bahamas and then fish impact.   

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #51 on: July 29, 2020, 10:45:29 PM »
And just like that Isaias formed and then started to take the right hand path and ride the Gulf Stream.

Offline gcbama

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #52 on: July 30, 2020, 08:27:35 AM »
And just like that Isaias formed and then started to take the right hand path and ride the Gulf Stream.

we have had a few of these in the past few years they just ride right along the east coast of florida about 30 miles offshore, always interesting to see

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #53 on: August 05, 2020, 11:22:23 AM »
Fantasy Forecasts are now making the rounds for a system in the Gulf around the 20th at 300hrs+. Spann has already put out a disclaimer warning not to trust these social media posts.
« Last Edit: August 05, 2020, 11:23:56 AM by mamMATTus »

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #54 on: August 05, 2020, 06:24:43 PM »
Fantasy Forecasts are now making the rounds for a system in the Gulf around the 20th at 300hrs+. Spann has already put out a disclaimer warning not to trust these social media posts.
Way out there in fantasy land but what a monster.  ::faint::

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #55 on: August 05, 2020, 06:29:41 PM »
It looks like we'll have plenty to talk about in the next couple of months. https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2020-08-05-2020-atlantic-hurricane-season-august-forecast

Offline BRUCE

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #56 on: August 06, 2020, 11:48:07 AM »
Come on severe wx season...

Offline dwagner88

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #57 on: August 06, 2020, 03:17:43 PM »
we have had a few of these in the past few years they just ride right along the east coast of florida about 30 miles offshore, always interesting to see
I have a theory that the SE coastline is shaped the way it is because this is a frequent storm path. Over several thousand years, a curve has been eroded into the coast along FL, GA, SC and NC.
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Offline Thundersnow

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #58 on: August 06, 2020, 03:29:39 PM »
I have a theory that the SE coastline is shaped the way it is because this is a frequent storm path. Over several thousand years, a curve has been eroded into the coast along FL, GA, SC and NC.

I've had the very same thought. On the other hand, maybe the shape of the coastline causes the storms to turn as they tend to do there.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
« Reply #59 on: August 06, 2020, 04:21:11 PM »
I have a theory that the SE coastline is shaped the way it is because this is a frequent storm path. Over several thousand years, a curve has been eroded into the coast along FL, GA, SC and NC.
fact... I read that somewhere.
Come on severe wx season...

 

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