Tennessee Weather Forum

Weather Forecasting and Discussion => General Weather => Topic started by: Curt on June 28, 2020, 12:51:51 PM

Title: July 2020
Post by: Curt on June 28, 2020, 12:51:51 PM
Looks about normal for this time of year with highs around 90. Doesnít look oppressive - yet.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Matthew on June 28, 2020, 01:44:11 PM
Would not mind some of that rain and a good lighting storm to sink down to mid state.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on June 28, 2020, 02:54:30 PM
We have quite a bit of flooding across portions of Kentucky.  Beaver Dam had some evacuations and areas of McLean County to Grayson County have seen upwards of 7 inches of rainfall. 

Don't be surprised to see at least isolated ponding of roadways with these storms as they sink into Tennessee they have a ton of moisture to work with. They are also highly electric.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on June 28, 2020, 05:15:43 PM
We just got back from camping at Fall Creek Falls. Itís amazing how nice eastern TN weather is. The highest high was about 82 and each morning was slightly chilly. Looking at the 15 day forecast there isnít a high for that area over 85. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: mamMATTus on June 28, 2020, 06:17:37 PM
I think when September rolls around we'll be looking back at an average to below average summer. We will certainly have a week or 2 of very humid and hot conditions, but I think we will hover around the high 80's to low 90's for the majority of it.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on June 28, 2020, 07:14:16 PM
I think when September rolls around we'll be looking back at an average to below average summer. We will certainly have a week or 2 of very humid and hot conditions, but I think we will hover around the high 80's to low 90's for the majority of it.

Yep probably so. Then late September through the first 7-10 days of October will scorch!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: cgauxknox on June 28, 2020, 07:48:37 PM
Yep probably so. Then late September through the first 7-10 days of October will scorch!
I was saying to a friend yesterday that I really hope this mild summer isn't paid for by 100 degrees on Halloween.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Matthew on June 29, 2020, 09:40:50 AM
https://twitter.com/plushnickwx/status/1277546098681188352?s=21
Guess Meghan is taking his spot.  I wondered whoís since she announced she would be in in mornings.  So am all ladies wx crew except Davis Nolan. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on June 29, 2020, 10:00:38 AM
https://twitter.com/plushnickwx/status/1277546098681188352?s=21
Guess Meghan is taking his spot.  I wondered whoís since she announced she would be in in mornings.  So am all ladies wx crew except Davis Nolan.

I've been so out of the loop and watch local news so little nowadays, I've never even heard of this guy. Back in the day, I pretty much knew who all the in-week morning and evening as well as weekend news station folks were in Nashville- but, not so much these days.

I can probably still rattle off a lot of the names of news station folks from the 80s and 90s.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on June 29, 2020, 11:44:49 AM
I've been so out of the loop and watch local news so little nowadays, I've never even heard of this guy. Back in the day, I pretty much knew who all the in-week morning and evening as well as weekend news station folks were in Nashville- but, not so much these days.

I can probably still rattle off a lot of the names of news station folks from the 80s and 90s.
I liked him & his predecessor Justin Bruce. Davis is the only one I care for on the station now. I am not a fan of May Mays or Danielle Breezy.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on June 29, 2020, 11:49:24 AM
I liked him & his predecessor Justin Bruce. Davis is the only one I care for on the station now. I am not a fan of May Mays or Danielle Breezy.

I remember Justin Bruce- he was good as I recall.

I mainly recognize Danielle Breezy's name because she has an awesome name for a weather anchor.

Glad we still have some staple veterans like Davis Nolan- he's been around my whole life or as long as I can remember.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on June 29, 2020, 12:53:54 PM
I liked him & his predecessor Justin Bruce. Davis is the only one I care for on the station now. I am not a fan of May Mays or Danielle Breezy.
No freaking way . . . .
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Matthew on June 29, 2020, 01:32:18 PM
Davis is only male left at WKRN in wx.  Justin Bruce was great.  Not sure about Breezy but she seems to be bringing in hot ladies to surround her.  If not her someone in hiring at WKRN is.  Look at all the ladies now at WKRN.  Younger and fit.  I noticed WTVF had a new one this morning in wx. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on June 29, 2020, 01:37:20 PM
I seldom ever watch the tv news or weather anymore. I like the weather to be straight forward. It seems sometimes Breezy likes to go overboard on some things. Maybe it's just me.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on June 29, 2020, 02:03:40 PM
Seems like weather departments are more staffed these days compared to back in the day when you had the main person during the week, and then the weekend weather person. Other than that, there might be the tertiary person to cover mornings or mid-day during the week.

Now, especially during wall to wall coverage, multiple people will be at the helm at the same time, with the on air people tossing the ball back and forth.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on June 29, 2020, 02:48:45 PM
I'm going to date myself compared to some of you younger ones, but humor me as I think some of y'all my age and older will remember these in the Nashville area:

Local station weather people in Nashville over the years:

WKRN- During the 1980s, it was Tom Siler and Davis Nolan... Davis was kind of the secondary weekend guy, as I recall. When Siler left, I think he was promoted and became the primary for years. Some time in the early 1990s, Lisa Patton showed up as secondary, and Neil Orne also covered weather for a while. A few others came and went. Lisa became the primary after a while, and Davis stepped down to part time and reduced his on-air time, where he's been ever since, but they've retained his voice as a veteran, and I've always enjoyed when he's on. I think Lisa Patton retired from the station a few years ago. I'm probably overlooking some significant people, but my memory grows hazy since the 2000s.

WSMV - Bill Hall was THE weatherman in Nashville for generations, it seems like. He was the constant from the 1970s until the mid 2000s when he retired. He brought a confidence and comfort to the airways with his down-to-earth way of communicating. Most beloved, in a lot of ways, I think. Here are a few others from WSMV over the years:

Dan McDaniel - weekend, daytime, and frequent evening fill-in during the 1980s into the early 1990s.

Keith Bilbrey- some might remember him more for broadcaster roles with the Opry, WSM radio, and other related gigs. But, I remember him most for doing the morning weather for the Ralph Emery Show... which was sort of an old-school local variety show in the early mornings on WSMV, complete with musical guests and in-studio live commercial advertisements by local businesses. I mainly watched it to catch the Snowbird Report during the school winter months. :)

Mike Bohan - bearded, stout, and likable gentleman who was also a weather fill-in and occasional regular on mornings and weekends until he got a radio show gig with Gerry House (the House Foundation).

James Lewis - came on the scene in the 1990s I think. Likable, albeit quirky guy. I enjoyed his reports when he came on.

Nancy Van Camp - daytime and weekend weather person for a long time. She was one of the ones that got the raw deal by WSMV's management at the time a few years back, along with Demetria, Dennis Ferrier, and some others.

Lisa Spencer - pretty much the primary since Bill Hall I think.

There were others that I can see in my mind, but I'm drawing a blank on their names at the moment.

WTVF -

Ron Howes, like Bill Hall, was a staple for years. He also carried a confidence and experience to be trusted

Joe Case - daytime weather guy for a long time... especially during Channel 5's day time show "Talk of the Town."

Lelan Statom - weekend and morning weather guy for a long while. I think he was promoted when Howes retired.

Charlie Neese- youthful, likable guy during the 2000s- he left several years ago, I think.

With all these stations, it seems like it's been a revolving door for the last 10-15 years, and I can't keep up. So, my mind tends to go back 20+ years. I guess I'm getting old.

You can find old local broadcasts on Youtube. I have enjoyed going back and looking at portions of news and weather casts from the 1980s.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on June 29, 2020, 02:59:15 PM
Memphis legends from the past- 2 of them Dave Brown and Jim Jaggers(who is still on air).


https://youtu.be/bBnzscR6q0Y
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on June 29, 2020, 03:37:24 PM
I'm going to date myself compared to some of you younger ones, but humor me as I think some of y'all my age and older will remember these in the Nashville area:

Local station weather people in Nashville over the years:

WKRN- During the 1980s, it was Tom Siler and Davis Nolan... Davis was kind of the secondary weekend guy, as I recall. When Siler left, I think he was promoted and became the primary for years. Some time in the early 1990s, Lisa Patton showed up as secondary, and Neil Orne also covered weather for a while. A few others came and went. Lisa became the primary after a while, and Davis stepped down to part time and reduced his on-air time, where he's been ever since, but they've retained his voice as a veteran, and I've always enjoyed when he's on. I think Lisa Patton retired from the station a few years ago. I'm probably overlooking some significant people, but my memory grows hazy since the 2000s.

WSMV - Bill Hall was THE weatherman in Nashville for generations, it seems like. He was the constant from the 1970s until the mid 2000s when he retired. He brought a confidence and comfort to the airways with his down-to-earth way of communicating. Most beloved, in a lot of ways, I think. Here are a few others from WSMV over the years:

Dan McDaniel - weekend, daytime, and frequent evening fill-in during the 1980s into the early 1990s.

Keith Bilbrey- some might remember him more for broadcaster roles with the Opry, WSM radio, and other related gigs. But, I remember him most for doing the morning weather for the Ralph Emery Show... which was sort of an old-school local variety show in the early mornings on WSMV, complete with musical guests and in-studio live commercial advertisements by local businesses. I mainly watched it to catch the Snowbird Report during the school winter months. :)

Mike Bohan - bearded, stout, and likable gentleman who was also a weather fill-in and occasional regular on mornings and weekends until he got a radio show gig with Gerry House (the House Foundation).

James Lewis - came on the scene in the 1990s I think. Likable, albeit quirky guy. I enjoyed his reports when he came on.

Nancy Van Camp - daytime and weekend weather person for a long time. She was one of the ones that got the raw deal by WSMV's management at the time a few years back, along with Demetria, Dennis Ferrier, and some others.

Lisa Spencer - pretty much the primary since Bill Hall I think.

There were others that I can see in my mind, but I'm drawing a blank on their names at the moment.

WTVF -

Ron Howes, like Bill Hall, was a staple for years. He also carried a confidence and experience to be trusted

Joe Case - daytime weather guy for a long time... especially during Channel 5's day time show "Talk of the Town."

Lelan Statom - weekend and morning weather guy for a long while. I think he was promoted when Howes retired.

Charlie Neese- youthful, likable guy during the 2000s- he left several years ago, I think.

With all these stations, it seems like it's been a revolving door for the last 10-15 years, and I can't keep up. So, my mind tends to go back 20+ years. I guess I'm getting old.

You can find old local broadcasts on Youtube. I have enjoyed going back and looking at portions of news and weather casts from the 1980s.
I remember all of them. They were all good too. I am even older. I remember Boyce Hawkins on 4, Bob Lobertini on 5 & also George Goldtrap tossing his chalk on 4. Tom Siler was the first one I remember on 2. Nobody used to ever watch 2 for the longest time going back to when it was Channel 8.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on June 29, 2020, 03:39:57 PM
Memphis legends from the past- 2 of them Dave Brown and Jim Jaggers(who is still on air).


https://youtu.be/bBnzscR6q0Y
Every time I see Dave Brown I wonder where Lance Russell is & figure some wrestlers will be showing up too. I think Jerry Lawler nicknamed him Howdy Doody.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on June 29, 2020, 03:46:51 PM
I remember all of them. They were all good too. I am even older. I remember Boyce Hawkins on 4, Bob Lobertini on 5 & also George Goldtrap tossing his chalk on 4. Tom Siler was the first one I remember on 2. Nobody used to ever watch 2 for the longest time going back to when it was Channel 8.

I've heard my family talk about Bob Lobertini and George Goldtrap, but they were a bit before my time and/or recollection.

Interestingly, Pat Sajak (yep, Wheel of Fortune, THAT Pat Sajak) did weather on Channel 4 here in the 1970s for a bit. John Tesh was also an anchor for a while, although I'm not sure anyone under 30 even knows who he is..

And, Oprah Winfrey was a reporter on Channel 5 back in those days, I think.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on June 29, 2020, 06:58:31 PM
I've heard my family talk about Bob Lobertini and George Goldtrap, but they were a bit before my time and/or recollection.

Interestingly, Pat Sajak (yep, Wheel of Fortune, THAT Pat Sajak) did weather on Channel 4 here in the 1970s for a bit. John Tesh was also an anchor for a while, although I'm not sure anyone under 30 even knows who he is..

And, Oprah Winfrey was a reporter on Channel 5 back in those days, I think.
I remember all of them when they were in Nashville. Bob Lobertini & Boyce Hawkins had alcohol issues & died in sad situations. I remember  Sajak doing weather. That's how Dan Miller ended up as Sajak's Ed Mcmahan on the short lived talk show.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on June 29, 2020, 08:49:09 PM
Danielle Breezy  8)  ::hot::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 01, 2020, 08:54:39 AM
Quote
Good morning, and congratulations on making it halfway through 2020. We're not quite sure what Mother Nature has up her sleeve for this month, but at least it shouldn't involve snow.

Actually, the way this year's been going, we won't rule that out either.

Happy 2nd half of 2020 from the NWS of Nashville. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: cgauxknox on July 01, 2020, 09:12:38 AM
Quote
Pilot program allows personal delivery devices on walkways ó A bill allowing delivery robots to operate at low speeds on sidewalks and crosswalks in a pilot program in Tennessee has been approved by the Tennessee General Assembly. The robots wonít be able to exceed 10 miles per hour and must be equipped with a braking system to come to a controlled stop. The robots have sensors that stop them when approaching a person, animal, or item. They would only operate in pedestrian areas and must be clearly marked, including contact information. The new law does not preempt local governmentsí ability to regulate the personnel delivery devices if necessary for public safety.
Up next in 2020, robot apocalypse. They start by delivering packages, but world domination is next.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 01, 2020, 09:24:58 AM
July: Robot Apocalypse

August: Hurricane Apoccalpyse: Gulf Coast/Northern Mexico

September: Hurricane Apocalypse and Super Swine Flu plus COVID-19 mutates to infect the robots

October: 100 degrees all the way to Cincinnati, OH and upper 80s/lower 90s on Halloween plus all of the above listed above

November: Turkeys become mutants and get revenge on us for eating them on Thanksgiving

December:  Finishes with below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall across the entire area. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 01, 2020, 09:27:41 AM
Selmer, TN made Weather Nation due to their flooding this morning. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 01, 2020, 09:32:27 AM
July: Robot Apocalypse

August: Hurricane Apoccalpyse: Gulf Coast/Northern Mexico

September: Hurricane Apocalypse and Super Swine Flu plus COVID-19 mutates to infect the robots

October: 100 degrees all the way to Cincinnati, OH and upper 80s/lower 90s on Halloween plus all of the above listed above

November: Turkeys become mutants and get revenge on us for eating them on Thanksgiving

December:  Finishes with below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall across the entire area.
november epic tornado outbreak across mid south. Donít forget that one ...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 01, 2020, 09:33:52 AM
Selmer, TN made Weather Nation due to their flooding this morning.
They had 8 inches of rain overnight. The 911 center flooded and was evacuated.

Thereís another potent shortwave coming through this afternoon thatís in Nebraska and Missouri now.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on July 01, 2020, 10:00:33 AM
July: Robot Apocalypse

August: Hurricane Apoccalpyse: Gulf Coast/Northern Mexico

September: Hurricane Apocalypse and Super Swine Flu plus COVID-19 mutates to infect the robots

October: 100 degrees all the way to Cincinnati, OH and upper 80s/lower 90s on Halloween plus all of the above listed above

November: Turkeys become mutants and get revenge on us for eating them on Thanksgiving

December:  Finishes with below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall across the entire area.

+Nomination for post of the year.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: cgauxknox on July 01, 2020, 10:27:49 AM
December:  Finishes with below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall across the entire area.
That should be a nice way to cover up the destruction left behind after July-November  ::rofl::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Clarksville Snowman on July 01, 2020, 10:37:21 AM
I remember Ron Kaiser was on channel 5, Bill Hall channel 4 and Tom Siler on 2. You talk about weathermen with different winter forecast. Kaiser would always lean to less snow, Bill was the most consistent and was usually the middle of road guy but he wasn't afraid to call for the big one or at least talk about the chances it could happen. Siler hit a big snow one time, he actually called it 2 weeks out and was inside 24 hours of the hit. It got him the name the weather wizard and he was popular for a few years as we had 3 or 4 good winters in the 70's. But over time he faded out. Bill Hall was the constant, my favorite year was 85. I was 20 years old and I lived with friends in town and Bill Hall was on one night while we were partying. We all loved snow and he started talking about a polar invasion coming and that we could have a month of winter to remember. I remember we got all exicted and sure enough the winter of 85 rocked.  We had several snows, the biggest was 8 inches and had 3 or 4 more in the 4-6 inch range. I remember the sun was out super bowl sunday but you would go snowblind if you went out without glasses. The glare was intense. ::guitar:: ::guitar:: ::cold:: ::snowman::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on July 01, 2020, 10:39:33 AM
Don't forget also for the rest of 2020:


-COVID-19 infects murder hornets causing them to mutate into human-sized sentient beings

-Murder hornet mutants sting the turkeys, which is how they become mutants

-Yellowstone Supervolcano erupts, merging with the Sahara dust cloud to form Volcanodusticane, which immediate clogs all face masks

-Resulting Ice Age reforms the Bering Land bridge, and Sarah Palin really can see Russia from her house.

-Jon Gruden says enough of the Raiders and comes to coach at Tennessee after all.

-A Mutant Covid Murder Hornet stings Nick Saban transforming him into a supervillain. Jon Gruden says forget this and goes back to Vegas

-GFS sees a major snowstorm on Christmas Day but then loses it within 12 hours of the event, and then we realize that everything has gone back to normal just in time for the new year

-Clay Travis wakes up on January 1st realizing the whole past year was a bad dream after eating some bad guacamole on New Years Eve.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: cgauxknox on July 01, 2020, 10:57:01 AM
-A Mutant Covid Murder Hornet stings Nick Saban transforming him into a supervillain.
...I think this actually happened in 2005.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: gcbama on July 01, 2020, 11:00:14 AM
I'm going to date myself compared to some of you younger ones, but humor me as I think some of y'all my age and older will remember these in the Nashville area:

Local station weather people in Nashville over the years:

WKRN- During the 1980s, it was Tom Siler and Davis Nolan... Davis was kind of the secondary weekend guy, as I recall. When Siler left, I think he was promoted and became the primary for years. Some time in the early 1990s, Lisa Patton showed up as secondary, and Neil Orne also covered weather for a while. A few others came and went. Lisa became the primary after a while, and Davis stepped down to part time and reduced his on-air time, where he's been ever since, but they've retained his voice as a veteran, and I've always enjoyed when he's on. I think Lisa Patton retired from the station a few years ago. I'm probably overlooking some significant people, but my memory grows hazy since the 2000s.

WSMV - Bill Hall was THE weatherman in Nashville for generations, it seems like. He was the constant from the 1970s until the mid 2000s when he retired. He brought a confidence and comfort to the airways with his down-to-earth way of communicating. Most beloved, in a lot of ways, I think. Here are a few others from WSMV over the years:

Dan McDaniel - weekend, daytime, and frequent evening fill-in during the 1980s into the early 1990s.

Keith Bilbrey- some might remember him more for broadcaster roles with the Opry, WSM radio, and other related gigs. But, I remember him most for doing the morning weather for the Ralph Emery Show... which was sort of an old-school local variety show in the early mornings on WSMV, complete with musical guests and in-studio live commercial advertisements by local businesses. I mainly watched it to catch the Snowbird Report during the school winter months. :)

Mike Bohan - bearded, stout, and likable gentleman who was also a weather fill-in and occasional regular on mornings and weekends until he got a radio show gig with Gerry House (the House Foundation).

James Lewis - came on the scene in the 1990s I think. Likable, albeit quirky guy. I enjoyed his reports when he came on.

Nancy Van Camp - daytime and weekend weather person for a long time. She was one of the ones that got the raw deal by WSMV's management at the time a few years back, along with Demetria, Dennis Ferrier, and some others.

Lisa Spencer - pretty much the primary since Bill Hall I think.

There were others that I can see in my mind, but I'm drawing a blank on their names at the moment.

WTVF -

Ron Howes, like Bill Hall, was a staple for years. He also carried a confidence and experience to be trusted

Joe Case - daytime weather guy for a long time... especially during Channel 5's day time show "Talk of the Town."

Lelan Statom - weekend and morning weather guy for a long while. I think he was promoted when Howes retired.

Charlie Neese- youthful, likable guy during the 2000s- he left several years ago, I think.

With all these stations, it seems like it's been a revolving door for the last 10-15 years, and I can't keep up. So, my mind tends to go back 20+ years. I guess I'm getting old.

You can find old local broadcasts on Youtube. I have enjoyed going back and looking at portions of news and weather casts from the 1980s.

my favorite was probably wkrn Lisa patton and wsmv Bill hall and Nancy van camp

Those three blended forecasting with communicating to the viewer better than anybody, they all felt like somebody you would like to have a cup of coffee with.

Also they were not afraid to admit if a forecast busted and explain how it happened. I remember a particular snow event in early 2000's when all of mid Tennessee was supposed to get a good 4-5 inch snowfall and most of us did, but a warm nose went right up the I-65 corridor and busted Columbia/franklin and nashville's forecast and Lisa patton explained it so well and admitted they didn't see that coming
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 01, 2020, 11:06:57 AM
@gcbama your post kindled my memory...

I miss the Nashville local news personalities like Nancy Van Camp and Demetria Kalodimos. They were good!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 01, 2020, 11:34:23 AM
Don't forget also for the rest of 2020:


-COVID-19 infects murder hornets causing them to mutate into human-sized sentient beings

-Murder hornet mutants sting the turkeys, which is how they become mutants

-Yellowstone Supervolcano erupts, merging with the Sahara dust cloud to form Volcanodusticane, which immediate clogs all face masks

-Resulting Ice Age reforms the Bering Land bridge, and Sarah Palin really can see Russia from her house.

-Jon Gruden says enough of the Raiders and comes to coach at Tennessee after all.

-A Mutant Covid Murder Hornet stings Nick Saban transforming him into a supervillain. Jon Gruden says forget this and goes back to Vegas

-GFS sees a major snowstorm on Christmas Day but then loses it within 12 hours of the event, and then we realize that everything has gone back to normal just in time for the new year

-Clay Travis wakes up on January 1st realizing the whole past year was a bad dream after eating some bad guacamole on New Years Eve.
raiders can keep Jon gruden...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: gcbama on July 01, 2020, 11:54:57 AM
@gcbama your post kindled my memory...

I miss the Nashville local news personalities like Nancy Van Camp and Demetria Kalodimos. They were good!

I am telling ya Nancy van camp, bill hall, lisa patton oh forgot about good ol James lewis! lol he was funny, during one outbreak he got so nervous he told people know where your safe place is and run like heck LOL
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: gcbama on July 01, 2020, 01:16:42 PM
that is one large bowing line in southeast mo, a bit surprised no watch looks to have some wind energy in it
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: JKT1987 on July 01, 2020, 01:24:30 PM
that is one large bowing line in southeast mo, a bit surprised no watch looks to have some wind energy in it

So far just isolated very sporadic wind reports...and no real organized deep shear to keep storm intensity maintained outside the typical summer-like pulsey behavior. SPC put out an MCD saying just a 20% chance of a watch which seems to be bearing out so far. Might pulse up some more as it continues SE but just doesn't look like a widespread severe threat.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Vols1 on July 01, 2020, 01:49:21 PM
I live in south east Dickson county and itís been a looong time since Iíve heard thunder so loud and often and the amount of rain that has fallen is crazy. I bet weíve had 3 inches in an hour
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Dyersburg Weather on July 01, 2020, 03:14:19 PM
Evidently the Flash Flood guy is asleep at NWS. Holy rain Batman.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Beth on July 01, 2020, 03:25:15 PM
I live in south east Dickson county and itís been a looong time since Iíve heard thunder so loud and often and the amount of rain that has fallen is crazy. I bet weíve had 3 inches in an hour
Yep!! Had to drain our pool a while ago. It was almost to the top. And more coming from our friend Dyersburg!  ::drowning::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: gcbama on July 01, 2020, 04:00:40 PM
I have been working a church fireworks stand and this year we have had to knuckle down 3 times already, this evening that storm line is gonna make it 4 , I don't like that bow I am seeing
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: byrdymush on July 02, 2020, 10:17:36 PM
Interesting...
Thoughts?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/07/02/unpredicted-tornado-kansas/
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 03, 2020, 06:24:53 PM
The ridging pattern this summer gives me a bit of concern for the Gulf Coast/Southeastern USA if that holds into August and beyond.

The pattern tends to focus the most intense ridging over the Great Lakes area and/or Desert Southwest/Permian Basin area.  This does prevent us from seeing the worst of the heat at least at this time, but it also allows for weaknesses to develop right along the Gulf Coast and SE Coast leaving that area very vulnerable to tropical storm/hurricane threats later this summer into the early fall.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 04, 2020, 03:19:40 PM
Interesting to note that the tropical depression that formed today off SC was the result of an MCV that spawned in southern middle TN on July 1. It moved off the coast of Georgia and had maintained convection since.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 05, 2020, 08:33:58 AM
The models are showing what I would consider our first true heatwave next weekend into the following week. 

The GFS 2m temperatures and urban heat island effect may be too extreme but widespread mid to perhaps upper 90s with humidity may occur in our area which much worse occurring in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Southwest Missouri.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 05, 2020, 09:15:38 AM
The models are showing what I would consider our first true heatwave next weekend into the following week. 

The GFS 2m temperatures and urban heat island effect may be too extreme but widespread mid to perhaps upper 90s with humidity may occur in our area which much worse occurring in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Southwest Missouri.

Was just about to post this.  The 15 day has 90+ every day.  True summer time heat has arrived!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 05, 2020, 11:42:21 AM
At first, it does look like the heat ridge will be centered moreover say Kansas/Oklahoma allowing for scattered heat of the day storms to cool us off.

I do think as we end this month and head into August the Desert SW Monsoon will kickoff and push the core of the ridge closer to our area during the classic dog days of summer from late July and probably last through the entire month of September, to be honest.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 05, 2020, 03:27:38 PM
My new weather station peaked out at 95.5 today with a heat index of 104. It may be a bit high, but it isnít too far off. Itís definitely the hottest day of the year so far.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 05, 2020, 04:20:07 PM
My new weather station peaked out at 95.5 today with a heat index of 104. It may be a bit high, but it isnít too far off. Itís definitely the hottest day of the year so far.


Was hot for sure.  Got a good mid day run in though!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 05, 2020, 06:14:35 PM


Was hot for sure.  Got a good mid day run in though!
outstanding ... my favorite weather for running ...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 06, 2020, 05:59:43 AM
Pretty hard to believe that in less than 2 months the meteorological Fall thread will be started. Wow, how time flies!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 06, 2020, 08:01:05 AM
outstanding ... my favorite weather for running ...
Y'all crazy. My best distance runs happen between freezing and 45 degrees Fahrenheit
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 06, 2020, 08:19:04 AM
Y'all crazy. My best distance runs happen between freezing and 45 degrees Fahrenheit

Yikes, I wonít even consider running unless itís 60+ degrees out and really prefer 85+.  I just love how it kicks your a$$ when itís hot as ****.  Never get that feeling when itís mild temps.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 06, 2020, 12:03:17 PM
Yikes, I wonít even consider running unless itís 60+ degrees out and really prefer 85+.  I just love how it kicks your a$$ when itís hot as ****.  Never get that feeling when itís mild temps.

I don't mind the heat as long as it's not outrageously humid. The thing is, I have to prepare for a long distance run in advance when it's hot and humid outside. I typically can just bolt out the door in mild or cold weather without having to worry too much about hydration, but if the heat index is pushing 100 then I will need a day to get ready for any run longer than 8 miles. The longest distance I'll run in weather like this is normally 5 or 6 miles.

In the winter, I can put on my trail shoes and run 10 to 15 miles without a worry as long as my pace doesn't exceed 7:30/mile. I just cannot do that kind of running in the summer heat. I like to shorten my distances and focus on speed in the summer if I can.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: bugalou on July 06, 2020, 12:11:00 PM
North MS has been an afternoon convection hot spot for the past couple weeks. I have had rain to some degree daily for almost 5 days in a row now. ::flag:: ;D
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 06, 2020, 12:41:43 PM
I don't mind the heat as long as it's not outrageously humid. The thing is, I have to prepare for a long distance run in advance when it's hot and humid outside. I typically can just bolt out the door in mild or cold weather without having to worry too much about hydration, but if the heat index is pushing 100 then I will need a day to get ready for any run longer than 8 miles. The longest distance I'll run in weather like this is normally 5 or 6 miles.

In the winter, I can put on my trail shoes and run 10 to 15 miles without a worry as long as my pace doesn't exceed 7:30/mile. I just cannot do that kind of running in the summer heat. I like to shorten my distances and focus on speed in the summer if I can.

I agree with you there. Definitely canít do the same distances in the heat, I keep it to 3-4 miles but up my pace.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Crockett on July 06, 2020, 01:13:23 PM
Just me, but I refuse to run if it's over 80.

Of course, I also refuse to run if it's under 80.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 06, 2020, 01:30:04 PM
To me, the best running/hiking/jogging/power walking temperature is between 39 and 75 degrees with perhaps a moderate amount of humidity and a light breeze. Not desert-dry but not as Beau Dodson calls it, "The air that you wear".   

If it gets too cold the risk of injury can increase especially if you don't have a good stretching routine.  If it gets too hot or too humid then you can overexert yourself.     
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Greyhound on July 06, 2020, 02:19:22 PM
Y'all crazy. My best distance runs happen between freezing and 45 degrees Fahrenheit

My best distance runs come when I can make it to the bathroom, then the kitchen (fridge) and back to the couch before the commercials are over!!!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: mamMATTus on July 07, 2020, 03:12:41 PM
What's with all these wind damage reports?

[attachimg=1]
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: JKT1987 on July 07, 2020, 03:44:14 PM
Someone is putting false mPing reports all across the country with things like "buildings completely destroyed". In Alabama the reports literally outline the state.

So there goes the credibility of mPing going forward as an official reporting tool most likely.  ::bangingheadintowall::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: JKT1987 on July 07, 2020, 03:46:21 PM
Make that across the world...and sure looks like someone used it to make what appears to be a swastika across New Mexico. Sheesh
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 07, 2020, 04:41:22 PM
Make that across the world...and sure looks like someone used it to make what appears to be a swastika across New Mexico. Sheesh

That is why we cannot have nice things.  No excuse for behavior such as that. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 08, 2020, 04:28:36 PM
That is why we cannot have nice things.  No excuse for behavior such as that.

It really is pathetic.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: NismoWx on July 08, 2020, 06:18:31 PM
Sure wish I could see this from the KBNA radar.. The CTG lightning is INSANE right now. (https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200708/c9906f24ac6083f25432682907d9215a.jpg)(https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200708/df88ed4363f10487f77eb6cc40800321.jpg)

Sent from my SM-G986U using Tapatalk

Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 08, 2020, 06:55:16 PM
It really is pathetic.

Guess I am the only one that found it a little funny someone jacked with it.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Matthew on July 08, 2020, 11:00:37 PM
Sure wish I could see this from the KBNA radar.. The CTG lightning is INSANE right now. (https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200708/c9906f24ac6083f25432682907d9215a.jpg)(https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200708/df88ed4363f10487f77eb6cc40800321.jpg)

Sent from my SM-G986U using Tapatalk
We at my house off Almaville has had easily 4-6Ē of rain since Saturday.  If not a little more.  Saturday nights and todayís storms were very impressive. Even had some hail today.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Clay on July 08, 2020, 11:18:25 PM
OHX radar down for maintenance:
Quote
...KOHX Doppler Radar Out of Service for Maintenance This Week... Beginning today, July 7, the KOHX Doppler Radar will be down through July 14 for the replacement of the generator, fuel tanks, and accompanying components. The radar may return to service earlier if the maintenance is completed ahead of schedule. This activity is important to support the radars operation during periods of commercial power outages, specifically when hazardous weather is present. This generator update is the fifth major project of the NEXRAD Service Life Extension Program (SLEP), a series of upgrades and replacements that will keep our nations radars viable into the 2030s. The first project was the installation of the new signal processor and the second project was the transmitter refurbishment. The two remaining projects are the refurbishment of the pedestal and equipment shelters. The Service Life Extension Program will complete in 2023. During the outage, radar data from Hytop, AL (HTX), Fort Campbell, KY (KHPX), and the Nashville Airport Terminal Doppler Radar (TBNA) may be used for Middle Tennessee.
https://www.weather.gov/ohx/
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 09, 2020, 07:40:45 AM
Triple digit temps are being shown inside 7 days for the first time this year on the GFS. Let's see if they stay. Looks like we are moving into a hot, dry pattern after this weekend.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: NismoWx on July 09, 2020, 07:42:25 AM
Triple digit temps are being shown inside 7 days for the first time this year on the GFS. Let's see if they stay. Looks like we are moving into a hot, dry pattern after this weekend.
No. Just... No. I am not okay with this.

Sent from my SM-G986U using Tapatalk

Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: NismoWx on July 09, 2020, 07:44:41 AM
We at my house off Almaville has had easily 4-6Ē of rain since Saturday.  If not a little more.  Saturday nights and todayís storms were very impressive. Even had some hail today.
They live on Almaville. I've been over there off and on every day for the last week. I had to call Dad last night to tell him to roll his Traeger back into the garage unless he wanted to get soaked doing it

Sent from my SM-G986U using Tapatalk

Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 09, 2020, 12:43:21 PM
Triple digit temps are being shown inside 7 days for the first time this year on the GFS. Let's see if they stay. Looks like we are moving into a hot, dry pattern after this weekend.

That is our ridge pattern that I was afraid of.  This is a massive ridge it legit stretches from the Desert Southwest all across the Atlantic to the freaking Sahara Desert in Northern Africa.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 09, 2020, 12:47:26 PM
I think we are looking at a mix of 2007 and 2018/2019 from Mid-July through September.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: NismoWx on July 09, 2020, 12:51:58 PM
I think we are looking at a mix of 2007 and 2018/2019 from Mid-July through September.

I'm more interesting in Oct-Dec, personally. 90* days in October suck.
Title: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 09, 2020, 03:19:25 PM
Gfs is notorious for not estimating soil moisture well so some of its runs have wild high temps. For example, the 6z run has 109 at Memphis one day next week. Thatís an all time record high and wonít happen.

Much more accurate EURO is more realistic. It sucks too with nearly 6 days of 100 plus readings for much of west and middle. However, itís not forever as all models retrograde the high in favor of cooler low 90ís by weeks end. Maybe the heat will actually peak when itís supposed to in July vs late August and all of September
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 09, 2020, 04:18:02 PM
Excessive Heat Warnings are almost a sure bet area wide starting Tuesday and lasting until Thursday. That should be the worst of the heat for now. Should see 110-115 fairly easily with high temps from 100-103.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: JKT1987 on July 09, 2020, 04:24:50 PM
Excessive Heat Warnings are almost a sure bet area wide starting Tuesday and lasting until Thursday. That should be the worst of the heat for now. Should see 110-115 fairly easily with high temps from 100-103.

Feels like it's been a few summers since we've had a stretch like the one that looks to be coming up. Hopefully it will stay relatively short lived...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: mamMATTus on July 09, 2020, 04:44:56 PM
I think we are looking at a mix of 2007 and 2018/2019 from Mid-July through September.

Please no 2007. I remember how bad it was just in June. I went to Bonnaroo that year and thought I wouldn't make it through the whole weekend. People were passing out left and right with heat exhaustion. There was a mirage in front of the Which Stage during the White Stripes.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Nash_LSU on July 09, 2020, 04:59:26 PM
here was a mirage in front of the Which Stage during the White Stripes.

Yeah, those mirages typically appear 30-45 minutes after a stroll down Shakedown Street.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: JHart on July 10, 2020, 02:24:34 PM
Sarcasm lives at NWS.

000
FXUS64 KOHX 101857
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
157 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

.DISCUSSION...
[Ö]
We`ll just skip over Monday and Tuesday and get right to the
extended forecast. Do you like summer heat and humidity boys and
girls? Well if your birthday is next week and that`s what you`re
wishing for, Happy Birthday from us here at the National Weather
Service in Nashville! We all chipped in and got you a nice 594m
ridge axis at 500mb over the state for Thursday and Friday, with
850mb temps warming to 20-22C as early as Wednesday.
[Ö]


They shouldn't have.  Really.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 10, 2020, 03:22:36 PM
Sarcasm lives at NWS.

000
FXUS64 KOHX 101857
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
157 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

.DISCUSSION...
[Ö]
We`ll just skip over Monday and Tuesday and get right to the
extended forecast. Do you like summer heat and humidity boys and
girls? Well if your birthday is next week and that`s what you`re
wishing for, Happy Birthday from us here at the National Weather
Service in Nashville! We all chipped in and got you a nice 594m
ridge axis at 500mb over the state for Thursday and Friday, with
850mb temps warming to 20-22C as early as Wednesday.
[Ö]


They shouldn't have.  Really.
yea 12z euro actually upped the highs for next week a bit . Should be a solid area of 100 degrees heat. Summer time midsouth... refreshing
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: DocB on July 10, 2020, 06:33:14 PM
....Well if your birthday is next week and that`s what you`re
wishing for, Happy Birthday from us here at the National Weather
Service in Nashville! We all chipped in and got you a nice 594m
ridge axis at 500mb over the state for Thursday and Friday, with
850mb temps warming to 20-22C as early as Wednesday.

Well, it IS my birthday next week. There better be a **** gift receipt as THAT wasn't on my wishlist.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Clay on July 10, 2020, 07:16:51 PM
GFS has backed off the 597dm death ridge scenario.. not saying it won't be hot but improvements.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 10, 2020, 09:07:11 PM
yea 12z euro actually upped the highs for next week a bit . Should be a solid area of 100 degrees heat. Summer time midsouth... refreshing

Itís about time we get a good shot of this kind of heat.  Hopefully itíll last through end of August and then have a more normal fall.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 10, 2020, 09:09:14 PM
GFS has backed off the 597dm death ridge scenario.. not saying it won't be hot but improvements.

**** come on....need the heat baby!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Clay on July 10, 2020, 10:27:02 PM
**** come on....need the heat baby!
If 90/70 isn't hot enough you need to move to Texas.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 10, 2020, 10:31:49 PM
Itís about time we get a good shot of this kind of heat.  Hopefully itíll last through end of August and then have a more normal fall.
yeah we are over due for some 100 degree heat... hopefully late July , and most August we can top 100 or more ... fairly common actually see some 100 hundred degree days in west and middle Tennessee
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Clay on July 10, 2020, 11:51:36 PM
yeah we are over due for some 100 degree heat... hopefully late July , and most August we can top 100 or more ... fairly common actually see some 100 hundred degree days in west and middle Tennessee

Nashville hasn't hit 100 since 2012 and this is astonishing considering how freaking warm modern day BNA runs during the daytime. There were several days last summer hovering at 99F for 3 hours.
Title: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 11, 2020, 07:48:45 AM
Euro is ďa little coolerĒ than originally forecast with mid to upper 90ís now. Wouldnít be surprised if Memphis can eek out a 100. Heat index doesnít look near as oppressive but still heat advisory worthy up to 105 at times. Again hereís to the heat peaking now vs later.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 11, 2020, 11:04:39 AM
Euro is ďa little coolerĒ than originally forecast with mid to upper 90ís now. Wouldnít be surprised if Memphis can eek out a 100. Heat index doesnít look near as oppressive but still heat advisory worthy up to 105 at times. Again hereís to the heat peaking now vs later.
average hottest day Memphis area around early to mid august...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 11, 2020, 11:08:18 AM
average hottest day Memphis area around early to mid august...
Actually per NWS normals, the hottest time of year is July 5th to August 20th. The highest normal high is 92 for that entire period before dropping off to 90 in late August.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 11, 2020, 11:13:13 AM
no one been talking about this, but latest short range models starting get pretty consistent with a fairly potent mcs dropping down from nw flow... could be increasing concern for a fairly decent damaging wind threat...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 11, 2020, 11:15:31 AM
no one been talking about this, but latest short range models starting get pretty consistent with a fairly potent mcs dropping down from nw flow... could be increasing concern for a fairly decent damaging wind threat...
We could use some solid rain ☔️. Bring it. The upcoming pattern is a little more ďdirty highĒ than originally expected. Long range wants to move the Hp right over the MS valley at some point- and as Iíve suspected - it probably will with a nice long dry and hot period.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 11, 2020, 11:26:04 AM
We could use some solid rain ☔️. Bring it. The upcoming pattern is a little more ďdirty highĒ than originally expected. Long range wants to move the Hp right over the MS valley at some point- and as Iíve suspected - it probably will with a nice long dry and hot period.
I agree... I like my hot temps as most know, lol but I don't need and wont a dry spell... I spend so much money on my yard and landscaping... I always enjoyed a pretty yard.  I get tired of watering, these expensive flowers and plants. lol 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 11, 2020, 11:43:11 AM
Actually per NWS normals, the hottest time of year is July 5th to August 20th. The highest normal high is 92 for that entire period before dropping off to 90 in late August.

Yea that sure doesnít seem to happen anymore.  Seems dove season and wood duck/teal season is blazing hot now days.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 11, 2020, 11:50:17 AM
Yea that sure doesnít seem to happen anymore.  Seems dove season and wood duck/teal season is blazing hot now days.
yeah, I have done quit bow hunting caused of this also, I like hot,,, but time for hunting want some fall conditions during deer season...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 11, 2020, 01:23:19 PM
yeah, I have done quit bow hunting caused of this also, I like hot,,, but time for hunting want some fall conditions during deer season...

Yep bow season lately has been quite hot
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 11, 2020, 08:57:33 PM
Warm today, but with the breeze it really was pretty nice. Almost felt like being at the beach with a sea breeze. Humidity dropped to 40% this afternoon.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on July 11, 2020, 09:21:48 PM
Warm today, but with the breeze it really was pretty nice. Almost felt like being at the beach with a sea breeze. Humidity dropped to 40% this afternoon.
It was. If summer was like today it would be great. I do not mind the heat as long as the humidity is not too high.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Crockett on July 11, 2020, 10:17:08 PM
It occurred to me today that I haven't heard a katydid yet. The last few years I've been hearing them by right around or just after July 4th. Are they sounding off elsewhere?
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on July 12, 2020, 12:10:31 AM
It occurred to me today that I haven't heard a katydid yet. The last few years I've been hearing them by right around or just after July 4th. Are they sounding off elsewhere?

Actually, funny you ask- I just noticed hearing them for the first time this morning. The timing could come a little later on the Plateau than here in the basin I suppose.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Lucas on July 12, 2020, 12:22:33 AM
It occurred to me today that I haven't heard a katydid yet. The last few years I've been hearing them by right around or just after July 4th. Are they sounding off elsewhere?

I've been noticing them for the last few days at my house. It's really impressive how such a loud sound can come from such small insects!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Beth on July 12, 2020, 09:31:43 AM
Sure wasnít fun being woke up to bad lightening and heavy rains at 4 this morning. We have had flash flooding too.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: WXHD on July 12, 2020, 10:58:54 AM
We got close to 3/4 overnight here. Havenít had rain in my yard yet this month. We really needed it. My ground will be happy for a few days.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: bugalou on July 12, 2020, 03:10:44 PM
Ok I am ready for a good derecho to go through, I miss severe weather already.  :(
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on July 12, 2020, 03:11:01 PM
This afternoonís setup is providing a rare visibility of distant storms. The early complex has cleared the air with blue skies. I was in a place with a low horizon a little while ago and spotted some nimbus tops way off to the north. I pulled up radar and saw the closest activity were cells along the Ohio River between Evansville, IN, and Louisville. Wow.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 12, 2020, 03:13:54 PM
This afternoonís setup is providing a rare visibility of distant storms. The early complex has cleared the air with blue skies. I was in a place with a low horizon a little while ago and spotted some nimbus tops way off to the north. I pulled up radar and saw the closest activity were cells along the Ohio River between Evansville, IN, and Louisville. Wow.

The storm near Louisville has 40k tops. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 12, 2020, 03:18:36 PM
(https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200712/6295e4538c6b3cbc666f8f6e342c1498.jpg)
Hereís something else of interest. The earlier storms blew a gust front over the Memphis metro. It seems to have stalled over the MS River... kind of like a sea breeze front except itís coming from the river. Temps to the southwest of the boundary are mid 90ís...noticeably cooler to the East.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 12, 2020, 03:34:26 PM
Only got grazed with the MCS this morning. Very little rain, but the cloud cover means that the predicted high of 93 isnít going to happen. Actual high so far: 76. Not bad. I got a lot of outside work done in comfort.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Dyersburg Weather on July 12, 2020, 04:35:45 PM
A lot of wind damage in Obion and Gibson counties this morning. Over 50 power poles down in Kenton. Looks like the gates of **** are about to knock on the door. Gonna be bad here but Texas, Arkansas and Oklahoma  are going to fry. No end in sight on GFS.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 12, 2020, 06:00:48 PM
A lot of wind damage in Obion and Gibson counties this morning. Over 50 power poles down in Kenton. Looks like the gates of **** are about to knock on the door. Gonna be bad here but Texas, Arkansas and Oklahoma  are going to fry. No end in sight on GFS.

It does look like the worst of it will be to our west and then to our north.  So we will definitely get hot and humid and probably have Heat Advisory or flirt with it for a while, but we are not in the latter levels of Dante's Inferno at this time.  More like 2017 and less like the 2007 and 2019 that I feared initially.  2017 like ridge placement does come with a price if it lasts well into August and especially September though.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 12, 2020, 06:23:44 PM
We got blasted pretty hard with the MCS this morning.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 13, 2020, 09:11:54 AM
15 day shows this heat wave lasting into early next week, bring it on.  The hotter the summer the better my duck seasons tend to be!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 13, 2020, 09:15:12 AM
15 day shows this heat wave lasting into early next week, bring it on.  The hotter the summer the better my duck seasons tend to be!
I agree there... seems like in past hotter summer we had the winters were colder, not sure if there is any science to that, it just seems like hotter summers translates to a colder winter in past.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 13, 2020, 10:20:58 AM
I agree there... seems like in past hotter summer we had the winters were colder, not sure if there is any science to that, it just seems like hotter summers translates to a colder winter in past.

Sure seems like it.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: NismoWx on July 13, 2020, 12:58:21 PM
15 day shows this heat wave lasting into early next week, bring it on.  The hotter the summer the better my duck deer seasons tend to be!


FTFY
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 13, 2020, 02:08:30 PM
I agree there... seems like in past hotter summer we had the winters were colder, not sure if there is any science to that, it just seems like hotter summers translates to a colder winter in past.

We have seen hot summers leading to cold winters the most recent being 2010 leading to 2010-11. 1935 leading to 1935-36 is another example but we have several that go the opposite route like 2011 leading to 2011-12 and 2019 leading to 2019-20 and even in the past with several examples in both the 1930s and 1950s. 

Overall there doesn't appear to be a significant correlation one way or another on this.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 13, 2020, 02:57:37 PM
Iím all for any pattern change to switch up the past 2 years.  Those that were going by models and thinking the heat wave was going to be over by Thursday or Friday appear to be wrong. Looking like itíll be here awhile longer.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Dyersburg Weather on July 13, 2020, 04:06:38 PM
15 day shows this heat wave lasting into early next week, bring it on.  The hotter the summer the better my duck seasons tend to be!
You and Bruce need to elope.  ::rofl::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Crockett on July 13, 2020, 04:12:12 PM
You and Bruce need to elope.  ::rofl::

Okay, I laughed.

I spent a few days at the end of last week just lazily floating up and down a scenic river in a tube. And I thought to myself, THIS is why I like hot weather. Not a lot of it...just enough to enjoy between spring and fall without it getting old ó a few days that are so sweltering hot that you just can't help seeking out the nearest watering hole and jumping in to cool off. It's as enjoyable a way to spend a day as playing in 12 inches of snow.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 13, 2020, 04:41:45 PM
You and Bruce need to elope.  ::rofl::

Okay...Bruce who is going to get on one knee and pop the question???
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 13, 2020, 06:08:44 PM
Okay...Bruce who is going to get on one knee and pop the question???
::rofl:: ::rofl::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: WXHD on July 14, 2020, 08:08:07 AM
is that a bug swarm showing up on the radar around Louisiana? Fog?
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 14, 2020, 08:56:52 AM
::rofl:: ::rofl::

You all can have a Tennessee vols wedding. There was one video (I think it has since been deleted) where this couple dressed up in Texas A&M uniforms, had a ref as the preacher, and everything was Aggie themed.

 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 14, 2020, 08:57:27 AM
 ::blowtorch:: This returns today along with your clothes feeling like  ::drowning:: and sticking to your skin.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: WXHD on July 14, 2020, 09:14:28 AM
Enjoy the comet for the next few evenings. NNW and low on the horizon.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on July 14, 2020, 09:59:41 AM
is that a bug swarm showing up on the radar around Louisiana? Fog?

Lots of skeeters and such in the bayous this time of year, I reckon.

One thing that's cool on radar this time of year, even around here are the expanding bird rings that pop up on radar at early dawn before sunrise. You have to look before 6:00 AM to see it though.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 14, 2020, 12:46:01 PM
Lots of skeeters and such in the bayous this time of year, I reckon.

One thing that's cool on radar this time of year, even around here are the expanding bird rings that pop up on radar at early dawn before sunrise. You have to look before 6:00 AM to see it though.

Yep I have a great site I use for this.  I have timed many and many of blue wing teal migrations using this method in September.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 14, 2020, 02:43:09 PM
 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814analog.off.gif

That ridge off the coast of Alaska has been a thorn in our sides for years now. If Harrp was run and I was in charge of it I would find a way to get rid of it.     
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: NismoWx on July 14, 2020, 06:29:12 PM
MEG's got jokes this afternoon.. (https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200714/fc12615326fae7f12f864d8d47fb9fe4.jpg)

Sent from my SM-G986U using Tapatalk
(https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200714/8339b991c2efd87f4191e7dc3082c1d2.jpg)
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 14, 2020, 08:52:10 PM
I do love the summertime, but I was reflecting during lunch hour today about how I miss the excitement of an impending winter storm. I miss a good winter.

Times are wild right now. I'd find it a little more comforting if it was the wintertime (even if it's a lousy one) with our usual winter weather junkies circling the board, ready to track a good storm. I love the enthusiasm from Clarksville Snowman, the updates from Drifter49, and Bruce's wild predictions that rile people up (myself more often than anyone else). It's always fun getting everyone on board from every corner of the state- Dyersburg Weather, Curt, gcbama, dwagner88, Thundersnow, Crockett, cgaugknox, JayCee (miss you buddy, please come back), and Michael. We've got representatives all over and it's so fun to log on and see what everyone's reporting in his or her backyards.


I'm doing my best to live in the moment, but don't get me wrong, I can't wait until simpler times are ahead. And whether things unrelated to mother nature calm down or not, I'm excited for our community to get together online for yet another winter. When all else fails, we do at least have this left that we all share in common.

Only four and a half more months, folks!  ::snowman:: ::snowman:: ::snowman::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 15, 2020, 07:54:08 AM
It is pretty wild to think how close it really is.  Of all years we could use an active winter to take minds off all the other crazy crap.  Maybe itíll be a record snow producing winter in TN...it is 2020.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: cgauxknox on July 15, 2020, 08:10:47 AM
It is pretty wild to think how close it really is.  Of all years we could use an active winter to take minds off all the other crazy crap.  Maybe itíll be a record snow producing winter in TN...it is 2020.
And how @#*%($! messed up is this year that we're wishcasting snowstorms in the July thread?  ::shrug::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: WXHD on July 15, 2020, 11:24:29 AM
The reason our country is having so many heatwaves is because we have so many more thermometers! More than any other country! If we stopped looking at thermometers now, we would have very few days over 80F, if any.

~Stolen. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 15, 2020, 03:11:14 PM
And how @#*%($! messed up is this year that we're wishcasting snowstorms in the July thread?  ::shrug::

My First Winter 2020-21 Forecast:

An actual cold and snowy December for the Eastern 2/3rd of the USA as people will begin to freak out and panic at the fact that snow is actually falling in for December and the models never show a +10 to +15 warming trend for Christmas people will panic.  There will be a run on shovels, break, milk, just like in March except replace TP with shovels and snowblowers.  This will lead to chaos in the atmosphere leading to a record warm January and a few days into February the end of the world. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: DocB on July 15, 2020, 06:08:23 PM
And how @#*%($! messed up is this year that we're wishcasting snowstorms in the July thread?  ::shrug::
And this surprises you in 2020 how exactly?  :)
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 16, 2020, 12:20:26 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3YTfhJmh1I

This year may be competitive with 2020 as the worst year ever.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: nrgJeff on July 16, 2020, 02:37:06 PM
Perhaps Comet NEOWISE will salvage 2020. I failed to get up early for the morning show(s). Saved it for the evening encores, which could be easier viewing higher in the sky.

In rural areas Tuesday evening it was barely visible just above the northwest horizon but in twilight. Binoculars helped according to the people who went out. I hadn't planned on getting to a rural area and really trying until the weekend. Haze and t-shower debris may hinder the next couple evenings in parts of Tennessee.

Weekend into next week the comet will get a little higher in the sky each night. Hour after sunset northwest. Should be visible in rural areas (hopefully tail). Maybe in town (fuzzball at least). Binoculars will help esp with tail. I am hoping for the whole deal unaided eye just because that's what makes a great comet.

Few t-showers are still forecast weekend into next week, but the higher ridge heights should reduce activity. Positive vibes for 2020. A decent comet could do that!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: byrdymush on July 16, 2020, 04:20:49 PM
Iíve been sitting in a Kroger parking lot in Atoka TN for about 45 minutes waiting out a crazy storm cell that is stationary and growing. Some incredible lightning, a wee bit of tiny hail, some gusts of wind, but the biggest is the torrential, non-stop downpour. Parking lot is littered with others waiting it out, everyone is traveling slowly on northbound Hwy 51 with their hazards on. Pretty spectacular summer storm.
We have missed out on all the rains the rest of the state has been getting the last few weeks...as is evident from our dehydrated lawn!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 16, 2020, 04:23:43 PM
Last night was the first time this year that I failed to drop below 70 degrees for a low temp. 70.9 was the minimum after a high yesterday of 95.9.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: mamMATTus on July 16, 2020, 06:19:25 PM
The HRRR did really well with the dissipation of storms this afternoon as that line entered Middle TN.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Ultra mag 1971 on July 16, 2020, 06:42:21 PM
Hearing some reports of a possible collapse on 51 near atoka
Not confirmed yet
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: byrdymush on July 16, 2020, 06:50:25 PM
Hearing some reports of a possible collapse on 51 near atoka
Not confirmed yet
I live in Atoka, recent reports are just that the road (Hwy 51, north of Tipton Road) was flooded and littered with debris, numerous accidents. Lots of photos in the local Facebook groups I could snag if anyoneís interested. That area and those businesses always flood. I was parked at Kroger just north of that. My husband was trying to head south on Hwy 51 and was turned around.

Our neighborhood was poorly planned and several hundred houses are in danger of flooding when rains like this happen. Too much water too fast and nowhere for it to go. And weíve been nearly dry for several weeks.

The ďhundred year floodĒ that happened two years in a row (2010/2011) was awful for the residents and businesses of our little towns. The whole region, really!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Ultra mag 1971 on July 16, 2020, 07:10:37 PM
Thanks for the report
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: byrdymush on July 16, 2020, 07:14:44 PM
Thanks for the report
Thank YOU for the report. I hadnít yet gone out to the Facebook world to see what all was happening out there. Had no idea - just assumed a wreck was why my husband was turned around. The dips in the highway generate lots of hydroplaning accidents.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Ultra mag 1971 on July 16, 2020, 07:34:56 PM
Yes and folks act like itís Daytona
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 16, 2020, 09:48:08 PM
The ďhundred year floodĒ that happened two years in a row (2010/2011) was awful for the residents and businesses of our little towns. The whole region, really!

If two "one hundred year" events happened consecutively, would that make the whole situation a ten thousand year event?
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 17, 2020, 07:58:59 AM
If two "one hundred year" events happened consecutively, would that make the whole situation a ten thousand year event?
Unfortunately that's not how statistics works. If you flip a coin 9 times and get heads all nine times, what is the probability of getting heads on a 10th throw? Still 50%. Odds of getting a 100 year flood are the same each year regardless of what happens the year before.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: nrgJeff on July 17, 2020, 12:35:25 PM
Saw Comet Neowise with binoculars Thursday evening. Found a parking lot with open northwest view, but it's in town with lights and haze. No view unaided eye. However this was just the, satisfy myself I can find it, outing. Saw the tail with binoculars though.

Weekend plan is to go rural and high, as much for air quality as comet elevation. Hoping for naked eye at least a fuzzball. Could be better if the haze abates. Also can't have t-shower debris. Forecast favors Plateau over Southern Apps. Figure through binoculars it'll be a beautiful comet with tail.

Attempts may be made next week too. Have a nice weekend. Good luck All!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Dyersburg Weather on July 17, 2020, 06:44:28 PM
That 30% chance turned into 2 inches of rain for most of NW Tennessee.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: byrdymush on July 17, 2020, 06:49:17 PM
That 30% chance turned into 2 inches of rain for most of NW Tennessee.
I was watching you guys up north. Ripley/Henning area looks like they got what we had in Atoka yesterday. Stationary heavy rains and growing.

Reports are that we saw 5.5Ē of rain in one hour here in Atoka yesterday.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 17, 2020, 06:52:40 PM
I canít buy a raindrop. Every direction but my yard.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 17, 2020, 08:28:14 PM
Unfortunately that's not how statistics works. If you flip a coin 9 times and get heads all nine times, what is the probability of getting heads on a 10th throw? Still 50%. Odds of getting a 100 year flood are the same each year regardless of what happens the year before.

That makes sense
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 17, 2020, 09:09:38 PM
So since it is kind of slow in here, who wants to make some predictions for this fall? I am hoping we get a nice true fall for once. I am already starting to crave the smells of fall because my wife sprayed some autumn smelling air freshener today.  Itís really not that far away now.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: mamMATTus on July 17, 2020, 09:32:00 PM
So since it is kind of slow in here, who wants to make some predictions for this fall? I am hoping we get a nice true fall for once. I am already starting to crave the smells of fall because my wife sprayed some autumn smelling air freshener today.  Itís really not that far away now.

First 2 weeks run hot and then I think a sharp transition into normal fall temperatures. I do think it will be abnormally dry though, dare I say similar to 2016.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 17, 2020, 10:32:38 PM
First 2 weeks run hot and then I think a sharp transition into normal fall temperatures. I do think it will be abnormally dry though, dare I say similar to 2016.

I would take a dry fall for sure, just not fire dry.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 17, 2020, 11:10:40 PM
I canít buy a raindrop. Every direction but my yard.
Same. Iíve had to start watering aggressively to keep the landscaping going. Iíve moved into the city recently, so Iím paying a sewer bill for every drop, even though it never enters the sewer system. Ours is billed on water usage. I still canít decide if itís worth the convenience. My dad just had to replace his septic system to the tune of $15000+. Kinda feels like a wash in terms of risk and cost.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: byrdymush on July 17, 2020, 11:14:27 PM
Same. Iíve had to start watering aggressively to keep the landscaping going. Iíve moved into the city recently, so Iím paying a sewer bill for every drop, even though it never enters the sewer system. Ours is billed on water usage. I still canít decide if itís worth the convenience. My dad just had to replace his septic system to the tune of $15000+. Kinda feels like a wash in terms of risk and cost.
Our town (Atoka) is the same way. Still waiting on the bill for filling up the new pool. We were about to have to pull the sprinklers out when we got drowned in yesterdayís downpour. We needed that...bad. Maybe not 5.5Ē (reportedly) of it at once, but we will take it. Haha.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on July 18, 2020, 09:02:56 AM
Unfortunately that's not how statistics works. If you flip a coin 9 times and get heads all nine times, what is the probability of getting heads on a 10th throw? Still 50%. Odds of getting a 100 year flood are the same each year regardless of what happens the year before.

Actually, I think schneitzeit is right.

If two "one hundred year" events happened consecutively, would that make the whole situation a ten thousand year event?

That's right- I'll explain:

While it is true that a 100-year event does not affect the odds of another 100-year event the next year, the odds of two 100-year events happening consecutively are 1 in 10,000.

While the odds of a coin flip being heads is 50-50, it would be a closer analogy to say what are the odds of flipping a coin twice and getting heads both times? Flip once, and it will be 1 of 2 possibilities that could occur. But, flip twice, and there are 4 possible outcomes from flipping twice. So, the odds of getting one of those combinations from flipping twice is 1 in 4 or 25%.

Single Flip:
Heads: 50%
Tails: 50%

Flip Twice:
Heads, Heads: 25%
Heads, Tails: 25%
Tails, Heads: 25%
Tails, Tails: 25%

If you say that an event has a 1/100 chance of happening in a given year, what are the odds that event would happen two years in a row?

Someone check my math on this: 1/100 * 1/100 = 1/10000

So, while a 100-year event does not change the fact that the following year still has a 1 in 100 chance of occurring, the chance of both years having the 1/100 event is actually 1 in 10,000.

#notenoughtododuringpademic :)


This talks about these kinds of probabilities:

https://learn.problemgambling.ca/probability-odds-random-chance#:~:text=To%20compute%20the%20joint%20probability,1%2F36%20(2.78%25).

They use an example of rolling dice twice in a row.

Quote
To compute the joint probability of an event, multiply the probability of each of the two events. For example, the chances of rolling a 4 with a single dice are 1/6, or 16.7%. The chances of rolling a 4 two times in a row are: 1/6 x 1/6 = 1/36 (2.78%).

Not to miss your point though- when a rare event happens, it remains just as likely to occur the next year.

I guess this is the difference between an individual probably and a combined probably.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 18, 2020, 09:43:48 AM
Yeah, I was wondering what the probability of having two "once in a century" events in back-to-back years would be. Basically, your argument is valid, and dwagner's argument is valid. Dwagner clarified that the probability of having a 1 in 100 year event no matter what occurred in previous years is still going to be 1 in 100.

With that said, is it sensible to claim that the probability of those two events happening in consecutive years a 1 in 10,000 year event? Or would we need to develop different statistical reasoning for that?

I'm not a stats guy at all, so I'm staying out of this one.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 18, 2020, 10:56:06 AM
My PWS indicates we have a very real shot at 100 today. Already at 92. We hit 97 yesterday.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 18, 2020, 11:08:06 AM
Same. Iíve had to start watering aggressively to keep the landscaping going. Iíve moved into the city recently, so Iím paying a sewer bill for every drop, even though it never enters the sewer system. Ours is billed on water usage. I still canít decide if itís worth the convenience. My dad just had to replace his septic system to the tune of $15000+. Kinda feels like a wash in terms of risk and cost.
Yeah weíve been just outside the metro now for 3 years in a fairly rural location. After my house in Gatlinburg, I was skeptical of the well and septic tank- but itís been totally fine. The one in Gatlinburg before we sold was a royal pain.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 18, 2020, 11:10:51 AM
It's frickin hot today. I got my run in between 8 and 9am and it felt like it was 100 degrees.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 18, 2020, 12:10:50 PM
It's frickin hot today. I got my run in between 8 and 9am and it felt like it was 100 degrees.

Very warm today! Headed for my run around 2:00
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 18, 2020, 02:25:47 PM
My PWS indicates we have a very real shot at 100 today. Already at 92. We hit 97 yesterday.
Nevermind this, I hear thunder and the temp has plummeted. Topped out at 96.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 18, 2020, 08:25:27 PM
GFS is absolutely brutal. No highs below 95 for the next 15 days. A few 100+ showing in the long range as well. The airport hit 98 today before the storms around 3:30. I think 100 would have happened without the precip.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 18, 2020, 10:09:22 PM
GFS is absolutely brutal. No highs below 95 for the next 15 days. A few 100+ showing in the long range as well. The airport hit 98 today before the storms around 3:30. I think 100 would have happened without the precip.

Looking like a torch for sure.  The originally advertised by models short heat wave has extended much longer.  Not sure why, but for some reason I am excited to actually have this heat during the time of summer that we should have it.  I don't keep records like many on here probably do, however it sure feels like we haven't had good heat like this at this time lately.  Or maybe just last fall being a torch erased my memory!  I am feeling good about this winter right now.  My gut says this is the turn around winter!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 19, 2020, 11:07:47 AM
Looking like a torch for sure.  The originally advertised by models short heat wave has extended much longer.  Not sure why, but for some reason I am excited to actually have this heat during the time of summer that we should have it.  I don't keep records like many on here probably do, however it sure feels like we haven't had good heat like this at this time lately.  Or maybe just last fall being a torch erased my memory!  I am feeling good about this winter right now.  My gut says this is the turn around winter!
you didnít eat at Taco Bell last night did you hunter? Lol
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 19, 2020, 11:53:43 AM
you didnít eat at Taco Bell last night did you hunter? Lol

I sure didnít, why?
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 19, 2020, 02:31:36 PM
I sure didnít, why?
that gut feeling u have about winter could be case of gas ... lol
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 19, 2020, 03:09:47 PM
[attachimg=1]

Picture I took from my hike in Thompson's Station yesterday evening. It was a hot one.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 19, 2020, 05:43:00 PM
that gut feeling u have about winter could be case of gas ... lol

Lol hope not
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 19, 2020, 06:29:54 PM
I have some hot and spicy gas about this winter. 

I want to be optismitic but Aleutian High Pressure + La-Nina + Warmer than average SST in the Eastern Indian Ocean and the Caribbean Sea.  If the polar vortex is strong like last winter then congrats Alaska.  If not then everybody torches minus the Pacific Northwest/Northern Rockies. Although sometimes December can be good in a La-Nina winter and it is 2020, so I may be optimistic about that month.  We are overdue for at least a decent December.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: mamMATTus on July 19, 2020, 07:53:15 PM
Now that we are in Solar Minimum shouldn't that have an effect on returning things closer to average?
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 19, 2020, 08:21:56 PM
I have some hot and spicy gas about this winter. 

I want to be optismitic but Aleutian High Pressure + La-Nina + Warmer than average SST in the Eastern Indian Ocean and the Caribbean Sea.  If the polar vortex is strong like last winter then congrats Alaska.  If not then everybody torches minus the Pacific Northwest/Northern Rockies. Although sometimes December can be good in a La-Nina winter and it is 2020, so I may be optimistic about that month.  We are overdue for at least a decent December.   
I am hoping we can get a classic severe weather event slash outbreak during this la nina winter
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: mamMATTus on July 19, 2020, 09:11:47 PM
I am hoping we can get a classic severe weather event slash outbreak during this la nina winter

After everything we've been through this year with the virus, riots, job losses etc on top of the tornadoes here in Middle TN that turned a lot of lives upside down, you're HOPING we get an outbreak in the Fall?!?!? Pardon my french, but you're an ***hole.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Eric on July 19, 2020, 09:47:37 PM
I am hoping we can get a classic severe weather event slash outbreak during this la nina winter

*major, optic-nerve-shredding eye roll*
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: WXHD on July 19, 2020, 09:50:43 PM
Dragged the family out this evening again and we were finally able to catch the comet. Cooled down nicely for us.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 20, 2020, 04:14:07 AM
After everything we've been through this year with the virus, riots, job losses etc on top of the tornadoes here in Middle TN that turned a lot of lives upside down, you're HOPING we get an outbreak in the Fall?!?!? Pardon my french, but you're an ***hole.
i take one in the winter ... thanks for your kind words sir ...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: cgauxknox on July 20, 2020, 06:07:25 AM
It's good to see that at least one aspect of our world is returning to normal, Bruce is getting hammered over his desire to see severe weather. schneitzeit if you'll jump in and get the cross-generational insults going back and forth with him the forum will almost seem like its old self for a little while.  >:D
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 20, 2020, 08:18:34 AM
I am going to be cautiously optimistic about this winter returning to more ďnormalĒ conditions. Heck Iíd take any winter over 18-19 and 19-20.  Those are the first two snow shut outs Iíve experienced that I know in my life time.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on July 20, 2020, 08:27:42 AM
If the pandemic has done anything, surely it's cut carbon emissions- maybe global warming will be reversed for the coming winter.  >:D ::blowtorch::

(funny how the political hot button issue of AGW/CC seems tame compared to other things nowadays)
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: nrgJeff on July 20, 2020, 11:17:14 AM
Haha I do miss the clear skies in April with so much lower than normal particulate SO2 and other emissions, but glad ppl are back at work. However we found some quality dark sky Sunday evening for Comet Neowise.

Been too long. Forgot how gorgeous is the Milky Way and just hundreds of closer stars. Comet is visible unaided eye in rural areas, northwest sky below the Big Dipper. More than a fuzzball, tail is discernible naked eye rural. Sight is gorgeous and delicate through binoculars rural. In town binoculars still give a solid view, just less contrast. Easy to find dropping down from Big Dipper.

Of course check cloud forecasts. Be optimistic. Following afternoon thundershowers, cloud debris sometimes clears out just-in-time JIT evenings. Fri/Sat didn't really work here but Sunday we took the gamble on JIT clearing (easy call by 9pm Eastern). Positioned rural by 10 pm and enjoyed the show. Remained visible until shortly after 11 Eastern.

I think Southeast Tennessee (perhaps southern Middle Tenn and West Tenn) will have JIT clearing tonight Monday eve. Tuesday JIT is less likely but possible. Could be tricky Wed/Thu. Hoping for more JIT clearing by the weekend evenings.

As for fall, I'm hoping the atmosphere is getting ridge out of its system; but, there's always pesky SER risk when the Upper Midwest ridge settles down. Winter, I give up.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: gcbama on July 20, 2020, 11:47:10 AM
Haha I do miss the clear skies in April with so much lower than normal particulate SO2 and other emissions, but glad ppl are back at work. However we found some quality dark sky Sunday evening for Comet Neowise.

Been too long. Forgot how gorgeous is the Milky Way and just hundreds of closer stars. Comet is visible unaided eye in rural areas, northwest sky below the Big Dipper. More than a fuzzball, tail is discernible naked eye rural. Sight is gorgeous and delicate through binoculars rural. In town binoculars still give a solid view, just less contrast. Easy to find dropping down from Big Dipper.

Of course check cloud forecasts. Be optimistic. Following afternoon thundershowers, cloud debris sometimes clears out just-in-time JIT evenings. Fri/Sat didn't really work here but Sunday we took the gamble on JIT clearing (easy call by 9pm Eastern). Positioned rural by 10 pm and enjoyed the show. Remained visible until shortly after 11 Eastern.

I think Southeast Tennessee (perhaps southern Middle Tenn and West Tenn) will have JIT clearing tonight Monday eve. Tuesday JIT is less likely but possible. Could be tricky Wed/Thu. Hoping for more JIT clearing by the weekend evenings.

As for fall, I'm hoping the atmosphere is getting ridge out of its system; but, there's always pesky SER risk when the Upper Midwest ridge settles down. Winter, I give up.

Yeah we get really fired up in winter time, however last winter I didn't drink any kool aide and so I wasn't disappointed....had my first real measurable snow in 2 years at 1 inch lol
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Mister2011 on July 20, 2020, 11:57:23 AM
Took this shot of Neowise from Hardin Valley area of Knoxville Saturday. No hale bopp but mesmerizing nonetheless, definitely worth going out of your way to see ::popcorn::

(https://i.ibb.co/HBnF8VY/Neowise-2.jpg)
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: cgauxknox on July 20, 2020, 08:16:19 PM
Pretty good little storm cell rolling through Knox right now.

Edit that the SVR warning popped right after the original post.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 20, 2020, 08:34:12 PM
It's good to see that at least one aspect of our world is returning to normal, Bruce is getting hammered over his desire to see severe weather. schneitzeit if you'll jump in and get the cross-generational insults going back and forth with him the forum will almost seem like its old self for a little while.  >:D

hoping. To see some severe... hopefully around fall winter also... looks like favorable pattern. can see se ridge building for nov dec months... thinkin big outbreak for west tn and arklamiss area...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 20, 2020, 08:36:10 PM
I am hoping we can get a classic severe weather event slash outbreak during this la nina winter


[attachimg=1]
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 21, 2020, 09:33:03 AM
The models way overdid the heat forecasts about 10 days ago- when it looked like endless upper 90ís. Itís till hot donít get me wrong, but it just couldnít see the weakness triggering afternoon storms. Heights never rose to those awful predictions. After a week or so looks like the heat might push further west and leave us in a northwest flow with high temps around 90. The night times have had lows still bearable according to my standards anyways. Weíve been able to sit outside most nights comfortably.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: gcbama on July 21, 2020, 09:42:04 AM
The models way overdid the heat forecasts about 10 days ago- when it looked like endless upper 90ís. Itís till hot donít get me wrong, but it just couldnít see the weakness triggering afternoon storms. Heights never rose to those awful predictions. After a week or so looks like the heat might push further west and leave us in a northwest flow with high temps around 90. The night times have had lows still bearable according to my standards anyways. Weíve been able to sit outside most nights comfortably.

Yep everything is always overblown 10+ days out, BUT like you say mid 90's is still nasty. One thing I have noticed is that Nashville now truly has an urban heat island effect usually 1-2 degrees warmer than everybody else for highs and of course at night always about 4-5 degrees warmer
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Clay on July 21, 2020, 03:07:56 PM
Yep everything is always overblown 10+ days out, BUT like you say mid 90's is still nasty. One thing I have noticed is that Nashville now truly has an urban heat island effect usually 1-2 degrees warmer than everybody else for highs and of course at night always about 4-5 degrees warmer
BNA is so warm during the day the ASOS actually fails MADIS quality control checks. JWN is a more accurate representation of Nashville outside of the downtown core.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 22, 2020, 11:01:16 AM
Looks like we *might* get a rare cold front passage for late July next week with a brief drop in DP's into the 50's. That usually means 80's for highs...but maybe some nice "cool" mornings for a couple days.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: NismoWx on July 22, 2020, 11:55:20 AM
Looks like we *might* get a rare cold front passage for late July next week with a brief drop in DP's into the 50's. That usually means 80's for highs...but maybe some nice "cool" mornings for a couple days.


I hope it actually makes it. I have some things to do outside that I've been putting off until cooler mornings. I don't work for free in  ::blowtorch::
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: snowdog on July 22, 2020, 12:50:11 PM
Quite the cell just popped up over Eastern Davidson and pushed east over us. Lots of lightning, high winds, heavy rains. Quite enjoyable. Always a welcome relief in the middle of the day in late July.

Power even went out for a few minutes. Luckily, it's back on.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 22, 2020, 01:18:30 PM
Looks like we *might* get a rare cold front passage for late July next week with a brief drop in DP's into the 50's. That usually means 80's for highs...but maybe some nice "cool" mornings for a couple days.

Gosh I hope not!  Please stay hot and dry!  Cool fronts this time of year make it that much worse when September is blazing hot.  Iíd prefer to see 90-100 until the first week of September, then let a few cool shots start filtering in.

*Edit, just checked the 15 day forecast and do not like what I am seeing. WAYYY to many 87-89 degree days forecasted for this time of year.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 22, 2020, 02:07:19 PM
88-90 degrees this time of the year are actually pretty normal high temperatures- maybe a degree or two below for some locations. Temperatures in the mid 90s are a couple degrees above average.

To elaborate on this, Memphis, which is the hottest place in Tennessee, has an average high temperature of 92 in July and 91 in August. Nashville is 2⁰ cooler: 90 in July and 88 in August.

Source: 1981-2010 normals
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: NismoWx on July 22, 2020, 02:18:26 PM
Gosh I hope not!  Please stay hot and dry!  Cool fronts this time of year make it that much worse when September is blazing hot.  Iíd prefer to see 90-100 until the first week of September, then let a few cool shots start filtering in.

*Edit, just checked the 15 day forecast and do not like what I am seeing. WAYYY to many 87-89 degree days forecasted for this time of year.


No sir, I need the morning cool down. I have trail cameras to put out and miles of scouting to do!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 22, 2020, 04:27:17 PM
Gosh I hope not!  Please stay hot and dry!  Cool fronts this time of year make it that much worse when September is blazing hot.  Iíd prefer to see 90-100 until the first week of September, then let a few cool shots start filtering in.

*Edit, just checked the 15 day forecast and do not like what I am seeing. WAYYY to many 87-89 degree days forecasted for this time of year.

Since we know all or at least most of all of September will torch we will take the cool shots when we can get them
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 22, 2020, 06:34:40 PM
Since we know all or at least most of all of September will torch we will take the cool shots when we can get them

Iím rooting for a shake up. Donít need more bearable and wet summers, need Hot unbearable and dry.  Jeez a third wet and bearable summer  in a row is awful, will probably lead us right into a junk fall and winter.  But hey yíall enjoy your cool weather I guess.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 22, 2020, 06:41:59 PM
Iím rooting for a shake up. Donít need more bearable and wet summers, need Hot unbearable and dry.  Jeez a third wet and bearable summer  in a row is awful, will probably lead us right into a junk fall and winter.  But hey yíall enjoy your cool weather I guess.

If I wanted that, I'd move to the Desert Southwest
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 22, 2020, 06:59:31 PM
If I wanted that, I'd move to the Desert Southwest

I donít mean that dry, but donít need rain every 2-3 days.  Need about 14-20 days of no rain and 90+.  Get the moist soil draw downs going=ducks
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 22, 2020, 07:05:45 PM
I donít mean that dry, but donít need rain every 2-3 days.  Need about 14-20 days of no rain and 90+.  Get the moist soil draw downs going=ducks

I'm really not trying to be a contrarian here, but 2 to 3 weeks without rain anywhere in Tennessee is abnormally dry. In the summer months, it's typical to expect brief rain like we've been having every few days or so. We average close 4 inches of rain in July, equal to approximately 1/8th an inch of rain each day if evenly distributed.

August, September and October is certainly our "dry" season, with rainfall decreasing to an annual low of 3 to 3.5 inches per month.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 22, 2020, 07:09:19 PM
If I wanted that, I'd move to the Desert Southwest

If you can get yourself some pretty significant elevation (think about some of your higher elevation towns/cities in Northern Arizona and Utah) then you have in my opinion one of the best 4-season climates in the world. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 22, 2020, 07:41:49 PM
I'm really not trying to be a contrarian here, but 2 to 3 weeks without rain anywhere in Tennessee is abnormally dry. In the summer months, it's typical to expect brief rain like we've been having every few days or so. We average close 4 inches of rain in July, equal to approximately 1/8th an inch of rain each day if evenly distributed.

August, September and October is certainly our "dry" season, with rainfall decreasing to an annual low of 3 to 3.5 inches per month.

Yea Iíve got our average July precip in 2 storms alone in July lol
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on July 22, 2020, 08:08:43 PM
It's so nice to finally have some rain where I live. I am trying to keep my vegetables going & the lack of rain has not helped. We were passed over by the rain until today.  City water is not as good as the free stuff.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 22, 2020, 08:31:25 PM
It's so nice to finally have some rain where I live. I am trying to keep my vegetables going & the lack of rain has not helped. We were passed over by the rain until today.  City water is not as good as the free stuff.

Iíd gladly give you some of the rain I have been getting. Freaking tomatoes are cracking bc they are growing faster than the skin can keep up. Squash is mildewy bc it stays damp. Oh the joys of a garden. Doesnít help when itís about a 1/4 acre big lol.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 22, 2020, 09:17:15 PM
Where are you located?

wmp600 and I have been getting shut out. I'm in SW Williamson County.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on July 22, 2020, 09:50:43 PM
Where are you located?

wmp600 and I have been getting shut out. I'm in SW Williamson County.
I'm in Ashland City, Cheatham County. Everything seem to die out before it got to us. It was miserable. The only plus was that for the first time this year I could skip mowing for a week.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on July 22, 2020, 09:53:46 PM
Iíd gladly give you some of the rain I have been getting. Freaking tomatoes are cracking bc they are growing faster than the skin can keep up. Squash is mildewy bc it stays damp. Oh the joys of a garden. Doesnít help when itís about a 1/4 acre big lol.
That's the way it's been for me the last couple of years. This year the squash has been drying up. My beans & peppers have been doing great & the tomatoes pretty good. But we have not had any rain since late June to amount to anything. It seems it's either feast or famine.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 23, 2020, 08:52:18 AM
Where are you located?

wmp600 and I have been getting shut out. I'm in SW Williamson County.

I am located in Dyer Coubty. Seems I have caught every little cell that passes by.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wmp600 on July 23, 2020, 12:37:12 PM
I am located in Dyer Coubty. Seems I have caught every little cell that passes by.
We had that the last couple of years. We go more rain today. I know it's bad when the weeds are wilting.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 23, 2020, 12:37:28 PM
All kinds of mid to upper 80ís forecasted for the next 15 days.  Watch, come dove season and woodduck/teal season opener itíll be 98 degrees. Then opener of bow season will be the same, wonít be able to buy 80ís. 🤦‍♂️
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 24, 2020, 05:32:42 AM
Yep. My extended range forecast high temperatures have been scaled down to the 85-88 degree range. It looks steamy and stormy going into August.

I second the disdain for a cooler than normal August followed by a hot September. Those summers are terrible. Cool Septembers are hard to come by these days. It's hard to believe the daily average high for a mid-September day in Nashville is about 83 based on 1981-2010 normals. The past few years make it seem like 90 would be normal.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 24, 2020, 08:14:57 AM
Yep. My extended range forecast high temperatures have been scaled down to the 85-88 degree range. It looks steamy and stormy going into August.

I second the disdain for a cooler than normal August followed by a hot September. Those summers are terrible. Cool Septembers are hard to come by these days. It's hard to believe the daily average high for a mid-September day in Nashville is about 83 based on 1981-2010 normals. The past few years make it seem like 90 would be normal.

Now if the mid 80ís would stay through the rest of summer and lead into fall I would be okay with that.  But what is going to happen is we are going to acclimate to slightly cooler temps and lower humidity and BAM! the switch will flip and weíll be 95 and humid after we were getting ready for some fall in September.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 24, 2020, 08:49:11 AM
Yep. My extended range forecast high temperatures have been scaled down to the 85-88 degree range. It looks steamy and stormy going into August.

I second the disdain for a cooler than normal August followed by a hot September. Those summers are terrible. Cool Septembers are hard to come by these days. It's hard to believe the daily average high for a mid-September day in Nashville is about 83 based on 1981-2010 normals. The past few years make it seem like 90 would be normal.

It used to be 79 I believe but the warmth of the 2000s pushed it to 83.  I wonder if the 1991-2020 normal would push it to like 85 or even 86.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: nrgJeff on July 25, 2020, 04:13:22 PM
Saw Comet Neowise again Thursday 7/23, after a couple cloudy nights. However we had to compromise on viewing location. Lookout Mountain was cloudy Thursday evening, so we dropped into Georgia. Monday 7/20 was second of two great nights on Lookout Mountain.

Friday was cloudy again here, and I think most of Tenn. Hoping for some clearing Chattanooga west this Saturday eve. Could happen after thunderstorms overturned the atmo. Barring new development. Pictures from Monday (darker) and Thursday (more color) are attached.

[attach=1] [attach=2]
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Thundersnow on July 25, 2020, 04:38:10 PM
Nice!

The evenings this week here havenít been conducive to see much... too many storms around and/or leftover clouds have obscured the sky at that time of day. It doesnít help that urban light from Nashville is also in that part of the sky where Iím located.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 26, 2020, 09:10:57 AM
Well looks like another 2-2.5 inches of rain coming over the next few days for west TN.  Sure been a wet one IMBY.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Matthew on July 26, 2020, 12:11:44 PM
To me itís been a great summer so far.  Humid yes and hot at times but having rain every 2-3 days is perfect to keep everything green.  Iím still mowing my yard 2 times a week and itís almost August! 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 26, 2020, 12:22:20 PM
To me itís been a great summer so far.  Humid yes and hot at times but having rain every 2-3 days is perfect to keep everything green.  Iím still mowing my yard 2 times a week and itís almost August!

It has been a tale of two summers here precipiation wise at my location. June to Early July was overall pretty dry and I went 2 and half weeks without needing to mow the yard and was getting concerned about a drought.  After the 4th of July now I can't buy a day that doesn't seem to have at least some showers and/or a rumble of thunder. It is getting hard to mow because it is so humid and you can't buy a lot of time for the grass to dry out.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 26, 2020, 12:56:56 PM
It has been a tale of two summers here precipiation wise at my location. June to Early July was overall pretty dry and I went 2 and half weeks without needing to mow the yard and was getting concerned about a drought.  After the 4th of July now I can't buy a day that doesn't seem to have at least some showers and/or a rumble of thunder. It is getting hard to mow because it is so humid and you can't buy a lot of time for the grass to dry out.

Two and a half weeks without mowing, holy crap! I think the longest I have probably ever been able to go is maybe a week!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Dyersburg Weather on July 26, 2020, 06:37:07 PM
Over all we have had 3 wet summers in a row around here. Last year was actually wetter up to this point because of the hurricane that come through here.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 26, 2020, 07:11:18 PM
Up until yesterday itís actually been quite dry here. My grass was almost dormant. We got an inch of rain yesterday and itís greener back up again.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 26, 2020, 07:20:29 PM
It is late July so you already know that some You-Tubers are promising a cold and snowy winter for the Midwest/Northeast.

Anyway it does look like despite the humidity running rampant that at least the approach of a cold front should force not as hot temperatures which is good this time of year.  Anything that keeps the fiery hot pit of hades away is good.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: BRUCE on July 26, 2020, 07:53:38 PM
It is late July so you already know that some You-Tubers are promising a cold and snowy winter for the Midwest/Northeast.

Anyway it does look like despite the humidity running rampant that at least the approach of a cold front should force not as hot temperatures which is good this time of year.  Anything that keeps the fiery hot pit of hades away is good.
it must be joe bastardi calling for a snowy northeast winter... lol
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Dyersburg Weather on July 26, 2020, 08:03:29 PM
We usually get a winter thread going about the first of August. Who is going to be the one this year ?
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: schneitzeit on July 26, 2020, 08:29:39 PM
Hopefully Mr. Wonderful gets our winter thread cookin'
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 26, 2020, 09:27:34 PM
We usually get a winter thread going about the first of August. Who is going to be the one this year ?

I wonít start the thread, but I will say everyone hold on because this winter is going to be crazy. Cold and snowy!
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 26, 2020, 09:39:05 PM
I wonít start the thread, but I will say everyone hold on because this winter is going to be crazy. Cold and snowy!

We need to do a Fall thread first.  The last two years we did the winter thread first and that didn't go so well.

Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 27, 2020, 06:08:07 AM
Well, now NW TN is looking like we could get 3-4 inches of rain this week. If so that would put me in the neighborhood of 10-12 inches for the month IMBY. Had a 4.5 inch rain early July and a 2.5 inch not long ago with several .5-1 inch rains in between.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Greyhound on July 27, 2020, 07:32:35 AM
Two and a half weeks without mowing, holy crap! I think the longest I have probably ever been able to go is maybe a week!

I got you both beat.  Last time I mowed was June 23rd.  My grass stops growing once it gets hot....but then the buckhorn weeds take over.  Grass isn't that bad, but I refuse to mow just b/c of weeds.  And a majority of our yard is on a hill.  The hill is steep enough that I have to wear baseball cleats to keep my footing. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: snowdog on July 27, 2020, 09:29:36 AM
We need to do a Fall thread first.  The last two years we did the winter thread first and that didn't go so well.

I'm ready for a good cold winter, so you guys do whatever you need to do to make it happen. Tired of these mild winters.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 27, 2020, 11:46:24 AM
Since we get the Fall thread first and one of the other weather forums based out of the Carolinas/Georgia did their Winter thread first I guess that means we get some winter or battleground threats while the Carolinas and Georgia get the ridge.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Matthew on July 27, 2020, 01:13:43 PM
I got you both beat.  Last time I mowed was June 23rd.  My grass stops growing once it gets hot....but then the buckhorn weeds take over.  Grass isn't that bad, but I refuse to mow just b/c of weeds.  And a majority of our yard is on a hill.  The hill is steep enough that I have to wear baseball cleats to keep my footing.
Iím mowing 2 times a week right now. 
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 27, 2020, 02:04:56 PM
Looks like we are going to see some local flooding Wednesday through Saturday. Going to be some frog stranglers.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 27, 2020, 02:32:40 PM
Looks like we are going to see some local flooding Wednesday through Saturday. Going to be some frog stranglers.

Yep ridiculous. This time of year we should be entering dry times. Will be a repeat of last year...
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Clay on July 28, 2020, 09:15:39 PM
Absolute unit of an outflow boundary fueled thunderstorm complex wrapping up over Nashville. Rain was so relentless OHX couldn't even get an 0Z sounding off.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 28, 2020, 09:56:46 PM
Picked up another 1.5 inches today in about an hours time. Just what I wanted. Got 3-4 inches still coming...rain rain go way come again another day
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: StormNine on July 29, 2020, 02:41:39 PM
Paducah picked up 3 inches of rain in 45 minutes.

That just shows how moisture-rich our atmosphere is during these next few days.  I definitely expect to see at least localized reports of flash flooding tonight through the weekend.   
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 30, 2020, 12:50:45 PM
Paducah picked up 3 inches of rain in 45 minutes.

That just shows how moisture-rich our atmosphere is during these next few days.  I definitely expect to see at least localized reports of flash flooding tonight through the weekend.
July is normally the wettest month of the year here. Iíve barely had over 1.50Ē IMBY. Itís been very luck of the draw. All week this week weíve had high percentage chances that havenít panned out. Things look widely scattered today as well. 80% chance might be wasted.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Dyersburg Weather on July 30, 2020, 01:09:47 PM
This has been like a winter threat so far. Calling for 4 to 6 inches here for a couple days. It went down to 2-3. Has not rained a drop yet. Im sure we will get some but i thought the similarities were funny.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: mamMATTus on July 30, 2020, 02:42:10 PM
Where's the rain?
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: TNHunter on July 30, 2020, 03:01:07 PM
Where's the rain?

Sure have missed it big time so far, but what is new! At least this time it was missed for the better. Didnít need 5 inches of rain.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: Curt on July 30, 2020, 03:07:09 PM
Slight risk for tonight west of the TN River. Mostly wind threat but heavy rain a surer bet.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: dwagner88 on July 30, 2020, 06:37:07 PM
Where's the rain?
I set out my sprinkler for the first time since 2016 this evening. My grass was looking rough.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: JHart on July 30, 2020, 06:50:56 PM
Per current radar trends, it looks like the rain will stay north of I40 tonight.  This event has so far been a major bust for those of us hoping for a little rain to dampen what has been a dry month.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: mamMATTus on July 30, 2020, 08:35:38 PM
Bomb forecast. This has been a bad bust so far.
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: wfrogge on July 30, 2020, 10:44:37 PM
Long time no post.....

Tomorrow looks interesting for severe weather including tornadoes for West and maybe Middle Tennessee. Let's see how things shake out after this MCS passes through and lays down some boundaries
Title: Re: July 2020
Post by: JHart on July 31, 2020, 01:46:01 PM
Per current radar trends, it looks like the rain will stay north of I40 tonight.  This event has so far been a major bust for those of us hoping for a little rain to dampen what has been a dry month.
The long-awaited rain just arrived Ö horizontally.  ::drowning::