Tennessee Weather Forum

Weather Forecasting and Discussion => Tropical Spin Zone => Topic started by: Thundersnow on April 03, 2020, 10:39:57 AM

Title: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: Thundersnow on April 03, 2020, 10:39:57 AM
An active season is expected this year.

A total of 16 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes are expected this season.
This is above the 30-year average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2020-04-01-2020-atlantic-hurricane-season-april-outlook
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: schneitzeit on April 03, 2020, 12:28:04 PM
An active season is expected this year.

A total of 16 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes are expected this season.
This is above the 30-year average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2020-04-01-2020-atlantic-hurricane-season-april-outlook

Greeaaaaat. The last thing this country needs is a destructive hurricane season with billions of dollars in damages.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: mamMATTus on April 03, 2020, 12:41:50 PM
We can't take any natural disasters of any kind for at least the next year. We need these storms to remain fish storms. Also, all fault lines need to sit still.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: NashRugger on April 03, 2020, 03:36:37 PM
We'll see what the developing El nio has to say.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: BRUCE on April 03, 2020, 03:50:46 PM
We'll see what the developing El nio has to say.
more rain n flooding what it will say ...
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: cgauxknox on May 13, 2020, 05:38:34 AM
We have a chance at the season's first tropical or subtropical storm forming off the southeast coast in the next few days. If it evolves into a named system it will be Arthur.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: gcbama on May 13, 2020, 11:56:32 AM
Hey all, when was the last time we had inland tropical storm warnings/advisories in our area....I seem to remember early to mid 2000's we had one here in middle Tennessee I think maybe Katrina? I was fascinated by it when it happened
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: Mister2011 on May 13, 2020, 12:46:44 PM
Hey all, when was the last time we had inland tropical storm warnings/advisories in our area....I seem to remember early to mid 2000's we had one here in middle Tennessee I think maybe Katrina? I was fascinated by it when it happened

Katrina appears to be the last time on an almost state wide basis, west TN had some tropical storm warnings from Dennis during the summer of 2005. Appears TN had a bunch of Tropical Storm warnings and damage in Sept 16 and 17 2004, but can't really find what system that was associated with

Had some Topical Depression warnings in west TN from Ike in 2008 as well

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents/choosedates.jsp?statefips=47%2CTENNESSEE
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: dwagner88 on May 13, 2020, 01:38:08 PM
Katrina appears to be the last time on an almost state wide basis, west TN had some tropical storm warnings from Dennis during the summer of 2005. Appears TN had a bunch of Tropical Storm warnings and damage in Sept 16 and 17 2004, but can't really find what system that was associated with

Had some Topical Depression warnings in west TN from Ike in 2008 as well

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents/choosedates.jsp?statefips=47%2CTENNESSEE
Im pretty sure I was under one for Hurricane Michael. It was either Michael or Irma.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: StormNine on May 13, 2020, 02:42:39 PM
Im pretty sure I was under one for Hurricane Michael. It was either Michael or Irma.

Irma (2017) had Franklin, Lincoln, and Moore Counties under a Tropical Storm Warning.   
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: mamMATTus on May 13, 2020, 04:25:31 PM
Hey all, when was the last time we had inland tropical storm warnings/advisories in our area....I seem to remember early to mid 2000's we had one here in middle Tennessee I think maybe Katrina? I was fascinated by it when it happened

I could've sworn I was under one when Opal came through Chattanooga in 95'.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: cgauxknox on May 15, 2020, 10:24:54 AM
NOAA is saying that what is now Invest 90L off the coast of Florida has an 80% chance of development in the next 48 hours.  It looks like it will stay a fish storm, but these can cause rough surf and offshore conditions for the southeast coast, which will be a concern for those who are venturing out for vacations right now.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: cgauxknox on May 17, 2020, 07:46:27 AM
Parts of NC are now under a tropical storm warning for impacts from Arthur even though it is projected to stay offshore. That puts our first mainland tropical system impact this year before the official start of hurricane season.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: TNHunter on May 17, 2020, 08:41:19 AM
Parts of NC are now under a tropical storm warning for impacts from Arthur even though it is projected to stay offshore. That puts our first mainland tropical system impact this year before the official start of hurricane season.

I dont keep up with tropical weather very well but it seems the last few years there is often a tropical system close to Memorial wknd.  Then after that it goes dead awhile it seems
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: mamMATTus on May 26, 2020, 07:51:44 AM
Long range GFS has a tropical storm/low end hurricane coming off the Yucatan Peninsula and landfalling along the Florida west coast.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: cgauxknox on May 26, 2020, 07:56:39 AM
Long range GFS has a tropical storm/low end hurricane coming off the Yucatan Peninsula and landfalling along the Florida west coast.
Let's hope this is just the GFS being the GFS and we don't get a landfalling storm.  My gosh, we don't need more natural disasters (after the flooding in Michigan) on top of everything else our country has faced in 2020. 

I realize based on season projections my hope isn't rational as we should see an above average season this year, but we can still hope for a lucky break.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: mamMATTus on May 26, 2020, 07:59:19 AM
Let's hope this is just the GFS being the GFS and we don't get a landfalling storm.  My gosh, we don't need more natural disasters (after the flooding in Michigan) on top of everything else our country has faced in 2020. 

I realize based on season projections my hope isn't rational as we should see an above average season this year, but we can still hope for a lucky break.

This the year of Murphy's Law I'm afraid. Anything that can go wrong, will lol. I certainly don't want anymore natural disasters. This country cannot handle that right now. This would be incredibly poor timing as well for my friends that just moved from Denver to Tampa.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: StormNine on May 27, 2020, 07:24:06 AM
We have Tropical Storm Bertha right off the coast of South Carolina expected to move into South Carolina between Charleston and Georgetown, SC. 

That is 2 before June 1st.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: cgauxknox on May 27, 2020, 07:33:59 AM
We have Tropical Storm Bertha right off the coast of South Carolina expected to move into South Carolina between Charleston and Georgetown, SC. 

That is 2 before June 1st.

Quote
This the year of Murphy's Law I'm afraid.
- mamMATTus

My gosh our country needs to catch a lucky break soon.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: dwagner88 on May 27, 2020, 03:38:39 PM
Really wild looking radar again over the SE US today with Bertha making landfall and interacting with the large closed low over the lower MS valley.
Title: Re: 2020 Tropical Season Outlook
Post by: wfrogge on May 28, 2020, 08:28:52 AM
Let's hope this is just the GFS being the GFS and we don't get a landfalling storm.  My gosh, we don't need more natural disasters (after the flooding in Michigan) on top of everything else our country has faced in 2020. 

I realize based on season projections my hope isn't rational as we should see an above average season this year, but we can still hope for a lucky break.

Its still showing up on the GFS and now on the GDPS, and ECMWF. With no real flow to push things along my fear is we will get a system that just sits and spins in one spot for days like we are seeing with the ULL systems over TX/AR/LA/TN/MS right now