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« Last post by Bruce on Today at 02:08:02 AM »
Moderate Risk for Friday in the ARKLAMISS area with Enhanced Risk including west half of TN.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
large enhanced also from Little Rock all way to Nashville actually … large Moderate also.
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Moderate Risk for Friday in the ARKLAMISS area with Enhanced Risk including west half of TN. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
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« Last post by Bruce on Yesterday at 09:33:09 PM »
Im jaded bruce, too many events recently have not panned out, is there a risk of supercells, sure there is, but it's not the most likely scenario imo
think most are becoming jaded be honest. But the season is very early still
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« Last post by BALLPARK on Yesterday at 09:19:06 PM »
The heavy rain and flooding might be the biggest issue Friday.
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« Last post by gcbama on Yesterday at 06:46:25 PM »
might want go over. Nam. and euro even little
More … further east go into mid state things line up. More linear …. Meg which west tn says super cells late Friday afternoon early evening ahead of line
Im jaded bruce, too many events recently have not panned out, is there a risk of supercells, sure there is, but it's not the most likely scenario imo
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« Last post by Icestorm on Yesterday at 06:06:53 PM »
1.20 of rain today
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« Last post by Bruce on Yesterday at 05:40:09 PM »
some on this site as well as others overplay every severe threat in the past several months and even I have bought into model data that does not pan out, currently linear mode is expected, every office in our region states the same. sure it could change but right now it's just not accurate to say that  tomorrow may be different lol
might want go over. Nam. and euro even little More … further east go into mid state things line up. More linear …. Meg which west tn says super cells late Friday afternoon early evening ahead of line
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« Last post by StormNine on Yesterday at 05:34:05 PM »
There is a significant, but very conditional threat for severe weather across the Missouri Boothill/NE Arkansas and perhaps even West TN/SW KY.
The three ways this event can bust:
- Moisture Return doesn't quite make it
- Intense Convection forms to the south and zaps the moisture return from up north
- Capping prevents discrete formation out ahead of the line (this is the most common way to bust in low-amp trough events.
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« Last post by gcbama on Yesterday at 05:26:22 PM »
some on this site as well as others overplay every severe threat in the past several months and even I have bought into model data that does not pan out, currently linear mode is expected, every office in our region states the same. sure it could change but right now it's just not accurate to say that tomorrow may be different lol
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« Last post by wfrogge on Yesterday at 05:11:02 PM »
QLCS or discrete, still an issue if we get any clearing in the area during the day. Very well could overperform in W TN
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