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Monthly Discussions and General Weather / Re: December 2021
« Last post by StormNine on Today at 03:16:11 PM »
Slight Risk of severe weather for West TN tomorrow evening-night.

A very conditional risk but the shear and jet dynamics are favorable.
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Winter Weather / Re: Long Range Discussion: Winter 2021-2022
« Last post by mamMATTus on Today at 03:15:18 PM »
Why are replies turned off for the December thread? Need to keep our eyes on next Sunday.
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Monthly Discussions and General Weather / Re: December 2021
« Last post by Thundersnow on Yesterday at 07:24:21 AM »
Blizzard Warnings for the high elevations on the big island of Hawaii.

Quote
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
311 AM HST Fri Dec 3 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE BIG ISLAND SUMMITS...

HIZ028-040215-
/O.CON.PHFO.BZ.W.0001.211204T0400Z-211205T1600Z/
Big Island Summits-
311 AM HST Fri Dec 3 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM HST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations
  of up to 12 inches or more. Winds gusting over 100 mph.

* WHERE...Big Island Summits.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 AM HST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible.
  Blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility at times,
  with periods of zero visibility. See the High Wind Warning
  that is also in effect.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strong winds will likely cause
  significant drifting of snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle.
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Monthly Discussions and General Weather / Re: December 2021
« Last post by Matthew on December 02, 2021, 04:39:16 PM »
Does anyone really do any cliff diving in this area anymore?  I would think everyone is accustomed to these kinda winters now.  Honestly I’m good with only 1-2 weeks of real winter.  I love this 50’s to 60’s wx.  Makes electric bills much cheaper.  I’d say by mid January with the mild days coming for mid month.  We will have some trees trying to bud & grass turning green.  Fescue is still green. 
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Monthly Discussions and General Weather / Re: December 2021
« Last post by schneitzeit on December 02, 2021, 01:57:24 PM »
Don't panic just yet- there's plenty of time left. The pattern right now is no bueno for snow. If we still have this look by mid-January, cliff diving is excused. What isn't good in terms of analogs is the CONUS looks like it did rolling into the 2011-2012 winter. Hardly any snow to be found anywhere except the Upper Great Lakes and the Cascades.

Don't underestimate the power of winter to bring some wild temperature swings, and with it, a surprise snowstorm.
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Winter Weather / Re: Long Range Discussion: Winter 2021-2022
« Last post by Nash_LSU on December 02, 2021, 12:28:53 PM »
Thanks for sharing. From his blog:

"So, what's going to happen in Winter 2021/2022? After looking at all of this data (and much more), here are my bullet points for the Winter of 2021/2022:
Big arctic outbreaks are possible in December. Overnight lows in the teens are likely and single-digit lows are possible
Sleet and freezing rain is more likely than snow this winter.
1 decent snow event. 2-3 sleet and freezing rain events.
Flooding rains are possible, especially in February. Magnitude is still questionable, but seeing 5-6" of rainfall in February is not out of the question.
February will have above average temperatures.
Big swings in temperatures are likely through the winter.
1-2 Severe weather events are possible with damaging winds. Maybe even tornadoes."

Sooo...like most recent winters then?
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Monthly Discussions and General Weather / Re: December 2021
« Last post by rkhvoljohnsoncity on December 02, 2021, 12:15:04 PM »
Right now it appears this could be a winter where even where I live in Northeast Tennessee at 2,000 feet will not even get snow showers. I saw a graph the other day where Burlington, Vermont was averaging 7 degrees warmer in winter the last 10 years compared to the 1970’s. Chattanooga was almost 6 degrees warmer. That would put the northern half of Tennessee with the same temperature Birmingham, Alabama used to have. Crazy


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Monthly Discussions and General Weather / Re: November 2021
« Last post by Dyersburg Weather on December 02, 2021, 06:04:27 AM »
November ended 2-3 degrees below normal statewide.
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Winter Weather / Re: Long Range Discussion: Winter 2021-2022
« Last post by Mr. Golf on December 01, 2021, 08:39:38 PM »
Thanks for sharing. From his blog:

"So, what's going to happen in Winter 2021/2022? After looking at all of this data (and much more), here are my bullet points for the Winter of 2021/2022:
Big arctic outbreaks are possible in December. Overnight lows in the teens are likely and single-digit lows are possible
Sleet and freezing rain is more likely than snow this winter.
1 decent snow event. 2-3 sleet and freezing rain events.
Flooding rains are possible, especially in February. Magnitude is still questionable, but seeing 5-6" of rainfall in February is not out of the question.
February will have above average temperatures.
Big swings in temperatures are likely through the winter.
1-2 Severe weather events are possible with damaging winds. Maybe even tornadoes."
I know Ryan Vaughan pretty good, but trust me when I say he hates winter lol. Unless there is a monumental change, there will be no big arctic outbreaks in December imo. I cant predict the future. No one can, but it will be most likely after Christmas before we have a realistic chance at cold weather here. Like they say, all it takes is one event
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Monthly Discussions and General Weather / Re: December 2021
« Last post by StormNine on December 01, 2021, 07:12:31 PM »
[ Guests cannot view attachments ]

This is what I call the winter cancel look especially those heights in the Aleutian Island region.  If that becomes locked then it is game over.

If we had some solid snow cover in Southern Canada/Northern Plains then eventually we may see W KY/NW TN getting into some action, but since we don't this is the classic everyone torches (minus the Cascades and Alaska) look.     
Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 10

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December 2021
by StormNine
[Today at 03:16:11 PM]
Long Range Discussion: Winter 2021-2022
by mamMATTus
[Today at 03:15:18 PM]
November 2021
by Dyersburg Weather
[December 02, 2021, 06:04:27 AM]