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Author Topic: November 2023  (Read 9554 times)

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Offline Woodvegas

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #60 on: November 13, 2023, 08:16:17 PM »
Looks like we could have below normal temps the last 7-10 days of November IF the EPS, GEFS, and CMCE are right. Attached is the latest from DT…

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"Luck enters into every contingency. You are a fool if you forget it -- and a greater fool if you count upon it." -- Phyllis Bottome

Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #61 on: November 13, 2023, 10:31:15 PM »
 Yep looks like a good cold signal around thanksgiving week. I love a cold crisp thanksgiving day. Maybe we get cold by Christmas time after a warm up in the early-mid part of December. ::cold:: ::guitar:: ::snowman::

Offline Heisman21

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #62 on: November 13, 2023, 10:57:57 PM »
As a Dolphins fan:
 ::rofl:: ::rofl::  8)
I am ready for some wintry precip in any case.
Glad to know there's another long suffering Dolphins fan in Tennessee. We are few and far between, lol.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #63 on: November 14, 2023, 05:45:52 AM »
 ::pirate::
Glad to know there's another long suffering Dolphins fan in Tennessee. We are few and far between, lol.
Just got back from Sunday Night Football in Vegas. Raaaideeerrrs !!!!

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #64 on: November 16, 2023, 10:07:00 PM »
I haven't checked in in a little while. I guess you can thank the boring pattern for that. How is everyone doing?


Temperature and precipitation departures for the first half of November, courtesy of Brian Brettschneider on Twitter/X:





Online cgauxknox

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #65 on: November 17, 2023, 06:10:19 AM »
::pirate:: Just got back from Sunday Night Football in Vegas. Raaaideeerrrs !!!!
I don't really follow the NFL, but Daniel Carlson is our neighbor's son-in-law, so I suppose that makes me a Raiders fan. Enjoy the time in Vegas!

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #66 on: November 17, 2023, 10:41:45 AM »
Hopefully we will get some drought relief next week. 52% of the state is experiencing extreme or exceptional drought…

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"Luck enters into every contingency. You are a fool if you forget it -- and a greater fool if you count upon it." -- Phyllis Bottome

Offline Jilly

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #67 on: November 17, 2023, 02:11:36 PM »
Hopefully we will get some drought relief next week. 52% of the state is experiencing extreme or exceptional drought…
Toured the McMinnville mansion "Falcon's Rest" (cool) and heard that the Warren Co. nurseries around there were having to water the ground in order to harvest their trees and shrubs. Ground is so hard and dry.
KR4EE

Offline joemomma

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #68 on: November 17, 2023, 03:05:24 PM »
HRRR showed a pretty decent rain moving through overnight for me earlier today, but looks to have backed off on that somewhat.  We'll see what we actually get.

Offline stayrose38

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #69 on: November 18, 2023, 12:11:38 PM »
Seeing a rather disturbing trend on the models as they go from 10 days out to 5 or so... a stubborn SER showing its ugly face. Ugh, hope that doesn't bite us in the face mid Winter.
"When an infinitely small variation of the present state will alter only by an infinitely small quantity the state at some future time, the condition of the system, whether at rest or in motion, is said to be stable but when an infinitely small variation in the present state may bring about a finite difference in the state of the system in a finite time, the system is said to be unstable."
James Clerk Maxwell

Offline TNHunter

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #70 on: November 20, 2023, 07:59:49 AM »
Looks like W TN could pick up 2-2.5” of rain tonight

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #71 on: November 20, 2023, 08:27:22 AM »
Looks like W TN could pick up 2-2.5” of rain tonight

Tennessee will luckily score ample rainfall while missing the enhanced severe risk today. To the south, long-track supercells are not unlikely in the warm sector this afternoon along the I-20 corridor.

Offline Jilly

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #72 on: November 20, 2023, 01:42:38 PM »
GSMNP closes popular campgrounds and roads in the park due to fire danger

The park said it is encouraging visitors to leave the park as soon as possible before strong gusty winds arrive tonight.

1:54 AM EST November 20, 2023

Great Smoky Mountains Natl. Park — The Great Smoky Mountains National Park is closing several major roads in the park Monday due to the elevated fire danger across the mountains.

Several East Tennessee counties in the plateau, foothills and mountains are expected to see gusty winds starting this evening and peaking overnight. The combination of those high winds with the historically dry conditions we've seen the past few months will create dangerous fire conditions similar to the conditions on the night of the 2016 Sevier County wildfires.

The park is not taking chances, so it said it is closing off access to most of the park beginning Monday afternoon.

“Employee and visitor safety is our only priority,” said GSMNP Superintendent Cassius Cash. “We understand these closures are an inconvenience, but we are trying to eliminate as much risk as possible during this dangerous weather event.”

The Elkmont and Cades Cove campgrounds went into effect immediately Monday. The park said it will notify campers directly about the closure.

Park rangers will start closing roads by the early afternoon Monday. It is encouraging visitors currently in the park to leave as soon as possible.

Main roads such as Newfound Gap Road (Highway 441) from the Sugarlands Visitor Center to Smokemont Campground will close at 1 p.m.

The GSMNP said the following roads have closed or will close later Monday afternoon:

Clingmans Dome Road
Cherokee Orchard Road and Roaring Fork Motor Nature Trail
Foothills Parkway between Walland and Wears Valley
Little River Road between the Townsend Wye to Sugarlands Visitor Center
Laurel Creek Road and Cades Cove Loop Road
Cataloochee Road
Lakeview Drive
. . .

https://www.wbir.com/article/news/great-smoky-mountains-national-park-tn/great-smoky-mountains-national-park-closures-fire-danger/51-04d5861d-71a1-46ad-a784-db7d1d084c3e

KR4EE

Offline dwagner88

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #73 on: November 21, 2023, 08:43:11 AM »
Getting actual heavy rain for the first time since August 28th. Finally!
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Online cgauxknox

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Re: November 2023
« Reply #74 on: November 21, 2023, 10:19:55 AM »
Happy to be able to give thanks for this good, steady rain when we sit down to dinner on Thursday.

 

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