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Author Topic: Sorta Steamy September 2023  (Read 9781 times)

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Offline Bruce

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #90 on: September 27, 2023, 02:04:18 PM »
This cool spell on the gfs is more than likely the real deal because a +PNA spike should happen allowing a decent front to come through in that 8-12 timeframe in October
not buying … euro starts bite along other models than i pay attention to it
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #91 on: September 27, 2023, 03:04:52 PM »
DT thinks the eastern US may turn cooler around the middle of the month. I’m on board!

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Offline Mr. Kevin

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #92 on: September 27, 2023, 04:19:14 PM »
DT thinks the eastern US may turn cooler around the middle of the month. I’m on board!

(Attachment Link)
I believe it's temporary imo. First tate of fall, which typically happens in mid October. Sometimes earlier

Offline Beth

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #93 on: September 27, 2023, 06:13:20 PM »
Going shut the pool down this weekend.  As usual the leaves are dropping and the water is pretty chilly.

Offline Bruce

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #94 on: September 28, 2023, 03:29:20 AM »
Euro finally showing bit of cool down at the end first week October , but nothing close to any frost ….
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline StormNine

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #95 on: September 28, 2023, 03:55:38 AM »
I would call 60s for highs a pretty significant cooldown, especially compared to where we have been.

Granted, usually, models moderate a bit and are sometimes a bit too quick on a pattern change. While at some point by the end of the 2nd week of Oct we will make that change as the PNA goes back up, it may not be as early as the 6th/7th.

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #96 on: September 28, 2023, 05:50:15 PM »
This month is likely my driest ever. I have had no measureable rainfall at all.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline stayrose38

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #97 on: September 28, 2023, 09:39:41 PM »
Plateau fizzled that stuff out for Chattanooga.. 3rd driest Sept in recorded history (official records back to 1879) I wonder if the pattern shifts in October or another dry month? At that point gotta worry about fires in Nov.
"When an infinitely small variation of the present state will alter only by an infinitely small quantity the state at some future time, the condition of the system, whether at rest or in motion, is said to be stable but when an infinitely small variation in the present state may bring about a finite difference in the state of the system in a finite time, the system is said to be unstable."
James Clerk Maxwell

Offline StormNine

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #98 on: September 29, 2023, 05:19:22 AM »
The latest 8-14 day outlook lost it bright red colors.  It now looks like we will get an actual fall cold front late next week as the Aleutian Island ridging shifts eastward and pops up a western ridge.   

Offline TNHunter

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #99 on: September 29, 2023, 05:26:21 AM »
The latest 8-14 day outlook lost it bright red colors.  It now looks like we will get an actual fall cold front late next week as the Aleutian Island ridging shifts eastward and pops up a western ridge.

Probably won’t see a 90 degree high again until May after next week.

Offline Bruce

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #100 on: September 29, 2023, 06:50:48 AM »
Probably won’t see a 90 degree high again until May after next week.
said that two weeks ago lol… but you may be right this time .
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Coach B

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #101 on: September 29, 2023, 08:00:39 AM »
I haven't reached 90 since the first week of the month. Less than a 1/2" of rain for the month as well.

Offline TNHunter

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #102 on: September 29, 2023, 11:08:27 AM »
said that two weeks ago lol… but you may be right this time .

Yea I definitely didn't say that 2 weeks ago.  Might have said it wasn't steamy like the title of this thread  ::shrug::

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #103 on: September 29, 2023, 05:56:30 PM »
Nice!

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Offline Bruce

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #104 on: September 30, 2023, 09:00:15 AM »
Seasons first widespread 40 s for lows end next week . Bout time
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

 

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