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Author Topic: Sorta Steamy September 2023  (Read 6705 times)

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Offline Bruce

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #75 on: September 25, 2023, 09:03:29 AM »
depending on how much rain CHA gets Tues-Wed, Sept could go down as the 3rd driest in recorded history.. We're sitting at .09 right now.
we are heading toward our driest part of the year on average late September to October
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline stayrose38

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #76 on: September 25, 2023, 09:45:18 AM »
we are heading toward our driest part of the year on average late September to October
I get that, but still very odd.. Usually extreme dryness this time of the year is preceded by a dry Summer.. CHA at least had normal precip June-Aug.

Offline TNHunter

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #77 on: September 25, 2023, 11:58:45 AM »
The Mississippi River is going to hit yet another record low this week of about -3feet.  2 weeks ago it broke last years record low.

Edit- the updated forecast is showing -2 feet now.

Offline Nash_LSU

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #78 on: September 25, 2023, 01:11:50 PM »
USACE has their work cut out for them to keep the river navigable south of St. Louis and also keep the salt wedge from from impacting the New Orleans metro area too much. Barges of water and water processing equipment are being moved in to place now. The Belle Chase intake will be under threat by the second week of October. The wedge is moving upstream about 1.5 miles/day.

Offline TNHunter

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #79 on: September 26, 2023, 03:41:08 PM »
This is quickly turning into a disgusting 10-14 day stretch of heat.  One nice thing is the lows are nice at night.  That said, I would rather endure this heat now because things always balance out.  I would bet good money when things flip they flip to colder than normal.

Offline Bruce

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #80 on: September 26, 2023, 04:35:00 PM »
This is quickly turning into a disgusting 10-14 day stretch of heat.  One nice thing is the lows are nice at night.  That said, I would rather endure this heat now because things always balance out.  I would bet good money when things flip they flip to colder than normal.
would not  hold
My breath this winter, negative pdo strong
Nino east based .  Also.  But least we can save money on heating bills  main thing
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline TNHunter

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #81 on: September 26, 2023, 05:25:59 PM »
would not  hold
My breath this winter, negative pdo strong
Nino east based .  Also.  But least we can save money on heating bills  main thing

Nah, we are NW TN we always score winter weather no matter what.

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #82 on: September 26, 2023, 06:24:08 PM »
I think this winter could go either way. I definitely wouldn’t write it off.

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Offline StormNine

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #83 on: September 26, 2023, 06:55:04 PM »
That Aleutian Island high pressure is a monster in models. 

Until that is gone we are going to torch baby torch.  Very much a 2007/2018 pattern.     

Offline StormNine

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #84 on: September 26, 2023, 07:01:17 PM »
The El-Nino years that have had this similar issue with the Aleutian Island High-Pressure System or (+WPO) are typically nationwide torches.

With 2015-16 and 2018-19 (and the warm neutral of 2019-20) all being classic examples. I believe that 1991-92 had this issue as well.   




Offline Chris

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #85 on: September 27, 2023, 12:11:29 PM »
I was looking at James Spann's page this AM. There is concern of a flash drought for our region: Middle TN and most of AL due to above normal temps and little rain expected for the near future. Looks somewhat like 2019 without the record heat, but some temperatures near 90 are not out of the question.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #86 on: September 27, 2023, 12:12:05 PM »
GFS looking sexy in the mid to long range. First freeze for some in long range. We will see if it holds.

Offline TNHunter

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #87 on: September 27, 2023, 12:16:08 PM »
GFS looking sexy in the mid to long range. First freeze for some in long range. We will see if it holds.

Yep, when it flips it’ll flip fast.

Offline Bruce

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #88 on: September 27, 2023, 01:22:06 PM »
Yep, when it flips it’ll flip fast.
gfs…..
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline JHart

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Re: Steamy September 2023
« Reply #89 on: September 27, 2023, 01:47:27 PM »
According to WunderMap reporting stations, some parts of Murfreesboro picked up over four inches of rain in the past hour.  That may be overdone, but I am at MTSU and can vouch for minor flooding on campus.

We also had a lightning strike on campus and experienced a wet microburst, while my home rain gauge ten miles away caught some mummified beetles and an IOU.
Hire the left-handed --- its fun to watch them write.

 

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