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Author Topic: May 2023  (Read 7971 times)

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Offline TNHunter

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #75 on: May 26, 2023, 08:11:47 PM »
Fantastic weather. Wearing the bluegill, redears, and catfish out!

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #76 on: May 27, 2023, 03:41:28 PM »
A coastal low that almost appears tropical in structure is making landfall in SC. Sunday will be chilly and quite rainy for parts of East Tennessee. The NAM and the HRRR have 1-2+" of QPF for Knoxville up to the Tri-Cities. It will be chilly enough that some parts of the Plateau and East TN won't see any temperature readings above 60 tomorrow. Memphis, on the other hand, will be seasonal with temperatures reaching the lower 80s.

An upper low is developing over the mid MS River Valley right now, and scattered west/southwest-moving thunderstorms are currently developing west of Nashville. This upper low will stick around for the first half of the week, and below normal temperatures will continue until the first week of June. After that, the upper air pattern will smooth out and our temperatures will likely be seasonal again with highs reaching the upper 80s by next weekend.

Happy Memorial Day Weekend  ::flag::

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #77 on: May 27, 2023, 05:41:39 PM »
Very rare for SVR warnings on west moving thunderstorms but we have two in the area now.

Offline dwagner88

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #78 on: May 28, 2023, 10:01:53 AM »
A coastal low that almost appears tropical in structure is making landfall in SC. Sunday will be chilly and quite rainy for parts of East Tennessee. The NAM and the HRRR have 1-2+" of QPF for Knoxville up to the Tri-Cities. It will be chilly enough that some parts of the Plateau and East TN won't see any temperature readings above 60 tomorrow. Memphis, on the other hand, will be seasonal with temperatures reaching the lower 80s.

An upper low is developing over the mid MS River Valley right now, and scattered west/southwest-moving thunderstorms are currently developing west of Nashville. This upper low will stick around for the first half of the week, and below normal temperatures will continue until the first week of June. After that, the upper air pattern will smooth out and our temperatures will likely be seasonal again with highs reaching the upper 80s by next weekend.

Happy Memorial Day Weekend  ::flag::
I had a coworker at Hilton Head this weekend. She reported temps in the mid 50's with 40+ mph wind gusts. Miserable weather.

On the flip side, the SE corner of the state appears to dodge all of this. It's been sunny and beautiful all weekend here.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline Bruce

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #79 on: May 28, 2023, 12:49:20 PM »
I had a coworker at Hilton Head this weekend. She reported temps in the mid 50's with 40+ mph wind gusts. Miserable weather.

On the flip side, the SE corner of the state appears to dodge all of this. It's been sunny and beautiful all weekend here.
we are in Panama City beach this week… thus far been perfect beach weather here
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline TNHunter

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #80 on: May 29, 2023, 07:59:05 AM »
we are in Panama City beach this week… thus far been perfect beach weather here

My wife is there now and she said it’s been one of her best trips weather wise in 25 years

Offline collinsk

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #81 on: May 29, 2023, 08:18:13 AM »
This has to be one of the coldest and wettest March 1-May 31 spring in a long time.

Offline StormNine

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #82 on: May 29, 2023, 09:51:16 AM »
I do wonder if the emerging El-Nino and already signs of a strong subtropical jet will help temper things down this summer as far as widespread/long-lived Heat Index 100+ days are concerned. 

On the flip side, it may be a brutal summer for areas of the Northern Plains/Interior Pacific Northwest and into Canada. 

« Last Edit: May 29, 2023, 09:52:59 AM by StormNine »

Offline dwagner88

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #83 on: May 29, 2023, 09:57:06 AM »
This has to be one of the coldest and wettest March 1-May 31 spring in a long time.
It's been fairly dry here. Cool yes, but we are below normal for precipitation. I'm watering more than I was last year.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline Bruce

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #84 on: May 29, 2023, 11:42:06 AM »
It's been fairly dry here. Cool yes, but we are below normal for precipitation. I'm watering more than I was last year.
it will all average out, with the emerging nino we are going in to, sure we will get our rain chances... cant get over how nice this weather is in florida. cant beat this. , just right on the beach with breeze blowing
« Last Edit: May 29, 2023, 11:46:21 AM by Bruce »
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Clay

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #85 on: May 29, 2023, 06:36:46 PM »
GFS still consistently signals seasonal temps at the warmest in the extended. Has daytime highs in the upper 50s on June 13th on the 18z GFS. Can you imagine a chilly Bonnaroo/CMA fest?

Offline stayrose38

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #86 on: May 29, 2023, 06:42:15 PM »
GFS still consistently signals seasonal temps at the warmest in the extended. Has daytime highs in the upper 50s on June 13th on the 18z GFS. Can you imagine a chilly Bonnaroo/CMA fest?
What a crazy cold upper level low it's showing for Mid June. LOL I don't think that's even possible.
"When an infinitely small variation of the present state will alter only by an infinitely small quantity the state at some future time, the condition of the system, whether at rest or in motion, is said to be stable but when an infinitely small variation in the present state may bring about a finite difference in the state of the system in a finite time, the system is said to be unstable."
James Clerk Maxwell

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #87 on: May 30, 2023, 05:45:13 PM »
Following a return to seasonal temperatures this week, the GFS signals a Rex Block early next week.



The Euro, on the other hand, contains lower heights to the northeast as a positively-tilted trough develops along the Atlantic. Given the discrepancy in both models right now, it's difficult to tell if above normal temperatures will hold into next week or if there will be a few more chilly mornings with temperatures in the lower 50s.



Offline Curt

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #88 on: May 31, 2023, 09:57:44 AM »
Euro has temps over west TN in the upper 90's this weekend- but with dewpoints in the upper 40's/ lower 50's = dry dry dry. With little rain forecast over the next 15 days we are losing soil moisture quickly.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #89 on: May 31, 2023, 10:14:56 AM »
Just watered some of the fescue this morning... that will suffer quickly in the heat if too many days pass with no appreciable rain.

 

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