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Author Topic: May 2023  (Read 7795 times)

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Offline StormNine

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May 2023
« on: April 30, 2023, 12:56:42 PM »
At least the first ten or so days of May look to be more of the same. 

Typically, fading Nina years that lead to El-Nino conditions don't typically feature very active May-June periods for severe weather. More and more, it is looking like this year will follow the 2006/2012/2018 trend. Still, we can get severe weather in late May and even into the summer months but it is more wind/brief tornado spinup threat oriented with MCS or cluster-type setups.   

We don't look to go hot yet, but once that middle of the country ridge amplifies and we start missing our eastern troughs we will quickly find ourselves in the upper 80s and 90s. 

Offline Bruce

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2023, 01:04:00 PM »
At least the first ten or so days of May look to be more of the same. 

Typically, fading Nina years that lead to El-Nino conditions don't typically feature very active May-June periods for severe weather. More and more, it is looking like this year will follow the 2006/2012/2018 trend. Still, we can get severe weather in late May and even into the summer months but it is more wind/brief tornado spinup threat oriented with MCS or cluster-type setups.   

We don't look to go hot yet, but once that middle of the country ridge amplifies and we start missing our eastern troughs we will quickly find ourselves in the upper 80s and 90s.
this eastern trough can kiss my
Big a$$…. Go away  now please
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline stayrose38

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #2 on: April 30, 2023, 04:53:04 PM »
Pattern looks to flip after first week of May. Looks like you're getting your wish.
"When an infinitely small variation of the present state will alter only by an infinitely small quantity the state at some future time, the condition of the system, whether at rest or in motion, is said to be stable but when an infinitely small variation in the present state may bring about a finite difference in the state of the system in a finite time, the system is said to be unstable."
James Clerk Maxwell

Offline StormNine

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #3 on: April 30, 2023, 06:00:56 PM »
Once we get the ridging cranking in the Central US and it starts to link with the Bermuda Ridge then we are going to be off to the races as far as summertime conditions go.  I do think the second half of this month and probably much if not all of June will be solidly above-average temperature-wise.   

I could see July and August being not too bad depending on how the overall pattern sets up as we switch the ENSO phases.   

Offline TNHunter

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #4 on: April 30, 2023, 07:03:36 PM »
Yep Mother Nature always balances her self out. We will pay for this nice cool April big time soon.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2023, 08:50:10 AM »
this eastern trough can kiss my
Big a$$…. Go away  now please

This is one of the most stagnant troughs in a little while. Conveniently, it shows up to haunt us in May instead of January. Yuck!

The surface low over VA yesterday dropped into the 980s. That's pretty spectacular this far in to spring.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2023, 08:55:34 AM »
Also, for those who haven't seen the news yet, the UP of MI is getting 2-3' of snow.  ::snowman::

Offline Icestorm

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2023, 09:20:34 AM »
I had 35 this morning to kick of May.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2023, 04:49:47 PM »
WSWs issued for the mountains of WV.

Offline Icestorm

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #9 on: May 02, 2023, 06:29:42 AM »
I had 37 this morning.

Offline TNHunter

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #10 on: May 03, 2023, 05:55:52 AM »
Looks like we could hit upper 80s this weekend and then followed by another cooler shot next week returning to the 70s.

Offline Coach B

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2023, 07:05:32 AM »
Third morning in row with scattered frost around. Probably make it four in a row tomorrow. Frost the first week of May is not unusual outside of the urban heat islands, but four days in row is a little tiresome this time of year.

Offline JHart

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #12 on: May 03, 2023, 07:18:39 AM »
Third morning in row with scattered frost around. Probably make it four in a row tomorrow. Frost the first week of May is not unusual outside of the urban heat islands, but four days in row is a little tiresome this time of year.

Same here, although the frost was a bit more widespread this morning with a low of 38F.  I am worried there could be some isolated light freezes out here east of Nashville tonight.

It is amazing how fast the rising May sun eats frost, however.
Hire the left-handed --- its fun to watch them write.

Offline Icestorm

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2023, 07:52:40 AM »
I actually got down to 35 again yesterday morning and 34 this morning!

Offline collinsk

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Re: May 2023
« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2023, 12:40:23 PM »
Coldest spring in a few years. I hate cold springs!

 

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