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Author Topic: April 2023  (Read 16629 times)

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Offline Eric

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #15 on: March 29, 2023, 02:56:31 PM »
yeah 12zgfs could be red day … Eric you have come alive , posting severe stuff.  Thanks for your input

I'm never too far away.  Life has gotten easier over the past few weeks is all.

The 500mb pattern shown by the 12z Euro looks a bit goofy...too much elongation.  Not sure how this will determine evolution of surface features.  With that being said, what a system.  April 2011-era highs and Tds (not saying there's going to be a repeat, only the similarity), really good instability, increasing LLJ over the Mississippi/TN River valleys.  Target area, LZK-->SGF-->PAH-->OHX-->HUN-->JAN-->MEG-->LZK.  Plenty of time for the system to ::poo:: on itself, though.
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Offline JHart

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #16 on: March 29, 2023, 04:31:10 PM »
[...]
Target area, LZK-->SGF-->PAH-->OHX-->HUN-->JAN-->MEG-->LZK.  Plenty of time for the system to ::poo:: on itself, though.

I have two pounds of MiraLAX from my last colonoscopy and a box of Chinese sky lanterns from a rather odd party.  I'm ready to start launching any time.
Hire the left-handed --- its fun to watch them write.

Offline StormNine

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #17 on: March 29, 2023, 05:28:46 PM »
I'm not going to focus too much on this system till we clear Friday, but one thing I will say.

Instability and moisture return will not be a problem with this one.   

Offline Bruce

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #18 on: March 29, 2023, 05:41:31 PM »
I'm not going to focus too much on this system till we clear Friday, but one thing I will say.

Instability and moisture return will not be a problem with this one.
plenty plenty shear  also …
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Bruce

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #19 on: March 29, 2023, 05:56:34 PM »
Three main ingredients you pretty much got to have to bake up a tornado , shear , deep moisture  recturn, instability cape . Of course slot of finer ingredients to boot.
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #20 on: March 29, 2023, 08:48:56 PM »
I'm getting that weird vibe that the southeast corner will finally be under the gun next week.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #21 on: March 29, 2023, 08:51:56 PM »

Offline Bruce

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #22 on: March 30, 2023, 04:05:00 AM »
The 4/4 threat looks like a normal severe weather set up for our area nothing to write home about. Might end up with another overall quite severe season this year. No complaints overall it just feels weird coming off a boring winter while the past 2 years the severe weather season was quiet around here as well but we at least had above average snowfalls to make the year more interesting. Maybe we actually will have a spring this year in terms of average temp's and not go straight to 90's like last year.
queit?
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline TNHunter

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #23 on: March 30, 2023, 05:48:11 AM »
queit?

The last decade has been pretty quiet severe wise in W TN.  Yes there have been a few events sprinkled in. It just goes in cycles, like winter weather. I’m not complaining. I hope this severe season is just as boring.  We score more winter events than severe events most years locally.

I’ve had a storm shelter ever since the Nashville tornadoes 3 years ago and luckily have never even had to get close to thinking about getting in it yet.
« Last Edit: March 30, 2023, 05:49:56 AM by TNHunter »

Offline Bruce

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #24 on: March 30, 2023, 06:12:09 AM »
The last decade has been pretty quiet severe wise in W TN.  Yes there have been a few events sprinkled in. It just goes in cycles, like winter weather. I’m not complaining. I hope this severe season is just as boring.  We score more winter events than severe events most years locally.

I’ve had a storm shelter ever since the Nashville tornadoes 3 years ago and luckily have never even had to get close to thinking about getting in it yet.
I agree with you , last decade been fairly quite here, just kind question this spring .
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Bruce

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #25 on: March 30, 2023, 08:07:16 AM »
On another forum , well knowledgeable poster just posted bout 0zepps…. Said it has exact same features trough shape and jectory as the famous 74 April system….   Next weeks system sort soooy bout same date as 74
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Eric

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #26 on: March 30, 2023, 08:43:44 AM »
Given recent global data, if I were living in the St Louis-->Indianapolis corridor, I'd be paying astute attention to this one. 
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Warren Cos. (@WarrenSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

Offline Bruce

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #27 on: March 30, 2023, 09:09:17 AM »
Given recent global data, if I were living in the St Louis-->Indianapolis corridor, I'd be paying astute attention to this one.
several states. Need be paying close attention on next weeks
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #28 on: March 30, 2023, 09:21:45 AM »
The last decade has been pretty quiet severe wise in W TN.  Yes there have been a few events sprinkled in. It just goes in cycles, like winter weather. I’m not complaining. I hope this severe season is just as boring.  We score more winter events than severe events most years locally.

I’ve had a storm shelter ever since the Nashville tornadoes 3 years ago and luckily have never even had to get close to thinking about getting in it yet.
My profile pic is enough for one decade.

Offline Eric

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Re: April 2023
« Reply #29 on: March 30, 2023, 09:47:48 AM »
several states. Need be paying close attention on next weeks

Yeah, goes without saying.  My comment was pointed at those that are currently outside SPC's 30% risk area.
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