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Author Topic: March 31st Outbreak  (Read 15330 times)

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Offline gcbama

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #75 on: March 31, 2023, 02:01:47 AM »
hrrr storm mode looking dangerous still....discrete supercell look from north ms all the way to the midwest
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Offline Bruce

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #76 on: March 31, 2023, 03:13:56 AM »
Quote from: gcbama on March 31, 2023, 02:01:47 AM
hrrr storm mode looking dangerous still....discrete supercell look from north ms all the way to the midwest
yeah 6z hrrr is just downright sick …
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Offline StormNine

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #77 on: March 31, 2023, 04:18:07 AM »
The HRRR is the most aggressive with out in the open discrete action and its spacing has gotten more favorable for strong tornadoes.

It appears the NAM doesn't develop really till closer to the main line although it does show that main line being broken which in and of itself may lead to a decent tornado threat.  The WRF for some reason slams MO/IL/IN and then slams MS/N AL but skips TN.   
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Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #78 on: March 31, 2023, 04:50:17 AM »
HRRR  ::bangingheadintowall::

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Offline spanarkle08

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #79 on: March 31, 2023, 07:20:16 AM »
Big thunder and sharp lightning this morning in northern Carroll Co.
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Offline Thundersnow

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #80 on: March 31, 2023, 07:37:34 AM »
DAY 1 updated… huge MDT risk now. The two areas have been joined to one continuous and more of West TN now involved.



Surrounding Enhanced risk expanded and pulled east to include more of the rest of the state.
« Last Edit: March 31, 2023, 07:40:33 AM by Thundersnow »
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Offline Bruce

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #81 on: March 31, 2023, 07:42:43 AM »
Quote from: Thundersnow on March 31, 2023, 07:37:34 AM
DAY 1 updated… huge MDT risk now. The two areas have been joined to one continuous and more of West TN now involved.



Surrounding Enhanced risk expanded and pulled east to include more of the rest of the state.
yes fixing post this lol …. 15 tornado hatched further east now . Strong wording you ever see in a moderate risk by SPC
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Offline Bruce

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #82 on: March 31, 2023, 08:06:21 AM »
Don’t think I ever seen violent tornadoes used in a moderate risk before , I could be wrong with my brain farts I get ever now then lol… but SPC has have their trigger finger on the high risk button . Clearing starting push east in from Arkansas . Anxious see next update
« Last Edit: March 31, 2023, 08:22:11 AM by Bruce »
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Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #83 on: March 31, 2023, 08:29:50 AM »
Crazy how quickly things are gonna change. My dew point is currently 46.
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Offline ChrisPC

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #84 on: March 31, 2023, 08:49:48 AM »
Quote from: Bruce on March 31, 2023, 08:06:21 AM
Don’t think I ever seen violent tornadoes used in a moderate risk before , I could be wrong with my brain farts I get ever now then lol… but SPC has have their trigger finger on the high risk button . Clearing starting push east in from Arkansas . Anxious see next update

They don’t want people to ignore the risk like they did last week. Barely anyone but meteorologists and weather nerds were paying attention. A lot of storm chasers ended up saving lives, thankfully.
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Offline Bruce

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #85 on: March 31, 2023, 09:10:00 AM »
Quote from: ChrisPC on March 31, 2023, 08:49:48 AM
They don’t want people to ignore the risk like they did last week. Barely anyone but meteorologists and weather nerds were paying attention. A lot of storm chasers ended up saving lives, thankfully.
we going head out after early lunch today …  going be interesting
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Offline gcbama

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #86 on: March 31, 2023, 09:12:00 AM »
ohx still not biting that much
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Offline Bruce

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #87 on: March 31, 2023, 09:14:18 AM »
 ::wow::Just wow at the 12zhrrr
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Offline Bruce

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #88 on: March 31, 2023, 09:15:25 AM »
Quote from: gcbama on March 31, 2023, 09:12:00 AM
ohx still not biting that much
think you see an updated discussion from them around noonish
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Offline Vols1

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Re: March 31st Severe Risk
« Reply #89 on: March 31, 2023, 09:22:39 AM »
Can you post the 12z hrrr please
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