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Author Topic: March 24 Severe Risk  (Read 6565 times)

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Offline Bruce

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Re: March 24 Severe Risk
« Reply #120 on: March 25, 2023, 03:40:23 PM »
Having spent yesterday driving through 3 distinct lines as they paralleled I-40 between Jackson, TN and I-30 towards Texas, the worst line hit us near approx. Prescott, Arkansas. So much so that we had to pull over due to such intense wind and heavy rain. We opted to leave several hours earlier than planned to sneak alongside the northern edge of the area of expected intensity and was a good move. However, knowing that these lines then moved in MS and did so much damage a few hours later is heartbreaking.
I get how people are awestruck by such intense power - and while nice to experience it as a detected observer; the impact that victims in the path of such dangerous storms should never be overshadowed.
very well spoken sir ….
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline StormNine

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Re: March 24 Severe Risk
« Reply #121 on: March 25, 2023, 07:28:45 PM »
The Amory, MS radar couplet of the tornado that happened there is the sickest radar signature I have ever seen for a TVS.  The folding/glitching in the velocity data in the core of the TVS caused by the pure violence and chaos of the system made it even more disturbing.  Like I said last night, I love severe weather, but I am exhausted this  year and my home state needs a break, especially after last night.

I felt the same way after Dec 10th-11th.  I am still going to track severe weather both on here and on my social media platforms.  Although I might seem at times excited about severe weather possibilities on here, I do feel a more creeping sense of subtle dread post-Dec 2021 that I didn't quite feel previous to that event. 

It hits differently when the most pressing issues aren't about going online and having a debate about whether a tornado is an EF-3 vs EF-4 vs EF-5 (not saying there isn't a time a place for that of course) and there are personal stories and connections to the places impacted.

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: March 24 Severe Risk
« Reply #122 on: March 25, 2023, 08:45:39 PM »
We drove across from NC this afternoon coming home from a beach trip and the winds at elevation were heavy enough to push the pickup around several times. When we got home to West Knoxville we saw quite a few limbs down, and got home to a tree down on my woodshed. Worked like mad until dark to get it cleared off, bit still lots to do tomorrow.

Also with this storm system, a former colleague grew up in Amory, MS. The pictures she's sharing from local sources are just devastating for a small town.

Offline StormNine

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Re: March 24 Severe Risk
« Reply #123 on: March 25, 2023, 09:11:42 PM »

Offline bugalou

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Re: March 24 Severe Risk
« Reply #124 on: March 25, 2023, 10:06:20 PM »
Rolling Fork, MS tornado has been given a preliminary rating of EF4 by JAN.

Offline gcbama

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Re: March 24 Severe Risk
« Reply #125 on: March 28, 2023, 11:31:54 AM »
Look at the radar, there is probably multiple intense tornadoes on the ground right now in the moderate risk zone.

This is kind of up to interp....in my opinion a moderate risk verifies if there are multiple (6 or 7+ range) different supercells producing ef2+ damage rather than one or two long track supercells , just my opinion. Much like in my opinion the march 2020 nashville tornado doesn't seem like an "outbreak" but was one powerful long track rogue supercell

Offline Eric

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Re: March 24 Severe Risk
« Reply #126 on: March 28, 2023, 11:59:45 AM »
This is kind of up to interp....in my opinion a moderate risk verifies if there are multiple (6 or 7+ range) different supercells producing ef2+ damage rather than one or two long track supercells , just my opinion. Much like in my opinion the march 2020 nashville tornado doesn't seem like an "outbreak" but was one powerful long track rogue supercell

By nature, supercells have the capacity to spit out many tornadoes - some big, some small.  There's no way in the world the number of parent supercells could be used to quantify a certain level of risk. 

SPC nailed the forecast, save for the northward extent of the ENH:

 
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Warren Cos. (@WarrenSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

Offline gcbama

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Re: March 24 Severe Risk
« Reply #127 on: March 28, 2023, 04:16:08 PM »
By nature, supercells have the capacity to spit out many tornadoes - some big, some small.  There's no way in the world the number of parent supercells could be used to quantify a certain level of risk. 

SPC nailed the forecast, save for the northward extent of the ENH:



thats whats great about this forum, we all have our opinions on these things :)


 

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