*

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length


Author Topic: March 2023  (Read 15186 times)

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline Nashville_Wx

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,164
  • Location: Bellevue,TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 318
Re: March 2023
« Reply #105 on: March 19, 2023, 01:59:39 PM »
Great snowmaking weather tonight. Wet Bulbs should be groovy


Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 13,390
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 840
Re: March 2023
« Reply #106 on: March 20, 2023, 09:19:53 AM »
Unfortunately, I'm reading that a lot of fruit trees were already blooming out ahead of this hard freeze. This is likely going to hurt local peach crop and other things.

Offline Icestorm

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 100
  • Location: Readyville,Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 5
Re: March 2023
« Reply #107 on: March 20, 2023, 11:50:46 AM »
I had 15 this morning at my house in western Cannon County, after a high of 34 yesterday afternoon.

Offline Nash_LSU

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 389
  • Location: Nashville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 52
Re: March 2023
« Reply #108 on: March 20, 2023, 12:01:04 PM »
Unfortunately, I'm reading that a lot of fruit trees were already blooming out ahead of this hard freeze. This is likely going to hurt local peach crop and other things.

Plant life of took a beating this weekend.

Offline gcbama

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,652
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 140
Re: March 2023
« Reply #109 on: March 21, 2023, 12:04:11 PM »
whats the thinking on the potential event friday....euro has better placement of the LP for storms, what does better at this range euro or gfs

Offline Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 11,503
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 4260
Re: March 2023
« Reply #110 on: March 21, 2023, 01:40:54 PM »
whats the thinking on the potential event friday....euro has better placement of the LP for storms, what does better at this range euro or gfs
glide with the euro Clyde …. The gfs has a nice 50kt lower level jet over area …. The nam slightly more even with winds backed. But nam is not for best range yet…. Euro has today we see
« Last Edit: March 21, 2023, 01:48:01 PM by Bruce »
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 13,390
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 840
Re: March 2023
« Reply #111 on: March 22, 2023, 06:22:25 AM »
Slight risk west half of state for Friday, with Enhanced in the ARKLAMISS tri-state region.

Offline Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 11,503
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 4260
Re: March 2023
« Reply #112 on: March 22, 2023, 02:36:10 PM »
If the latest nam is correct, the enhanced risk come north quite bit… but could be nam just being
Nam this range .
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline wfrogge

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 682
  • Location: Oakland
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 88
Re: March 2023
« Reply #113 on: March 22, 2023, 04:33:03 PM »
Long time no posts.....

If we get the clearing that the 3kmNAM and HRR are showing in NW MS and W TN this will be bad. Tonights model runs will be interesting. 

Offline gcbama

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,652
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 140
Re: March 2023
« Reply #114 on: March 22, 2023, 04:39:29 PM »
Long time no posts.....

If we get the clearing that the 3kmNAM and HRR are showing in NW MS and W TN this will be bad. Tonights model runs will be interesting.

mode looks linear for now

Offline Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 11,503
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 4260
Re: March 2023
« Reply #115 on: March 22, 2023, 04:58:13 PM »
West 65 looks have super cellular discrete activity ahead of a line if the euro  and nam correct
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline wfrogge

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 682
  • Location: Oakland
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 88
Re: March 2023
« Reply #116 on: March 22, 2023, 05:11:02 PM »
QLCS or discrete, still an issue if we get any clearing in the area during the day. Very well could overperform in W TN

Offline gcbama

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,652
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 140
Re: March 2023
« Reply #117 on: March 22, 2023, 05:26:22 PM »
some on this site as well as others overplay every severe threat in the past several months and even I have bought into model data that does not pan out, currently linear mode is expected, every office in our region states the same. sure it could change but right now it's just not accurate to say that :) tomorrow may be different lol :)

Offline StormNine

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 6,910
  • Location: Hopkinsville KY/ Bowling Green KY
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 294
Re: March 2023
« Reply #118 on: March 22, 2023, 05:34:05 PM »
There is a significant, but very conditional threat for severe weather across the Missouri Boothill/NE Arkansas and perhaps even West TN/SW KY.

The three ways this event can bust:
- Moisture Return doesn't quite make it
- Intense Convection forms to the south and zaps the moisture return from up north
- Capping prevents discrete formation out ahead of the line (this is the most common way to bust in low-amp trough events. 


Offline Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 11,503
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 4260
Re: March 2023
« Reply #119 on: March 22, 2023, 05:40:09 PM »
some on this site as well as others overplay every severe threat in the past several months and even I have bought into model data that does not pan out, currently linear mode is expected, every office in our region states the same. sure it could change but right now it's just not accurate to say that :) tomorrow may be different lol :)
might want go over. Nam. and euro even little
More … further east go into mid state things line up. More linear …. Meg which west tn says super cells late Friday afternoon early evening ahead of line
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

 

*

Hot and Steamy (July 2024)
by Charles L.
[Today at 09:08:07 AM]
Major Hurricane Beryl
by Bruce
[July 10, 2024, 08:27:56 AM]
Common Links
by bugalou
[July 03, 2024, 10:49:00 PM]
June 2024
by Woodvegas
[July 01, 2024, 05:36:50 PM]
2024 Hurricane Season
by Thundersnow
[July 01, 2024, 08:57:19 AM]