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The SPC has outlined a risk area for Day 6 on Friday, which includes much of TN.
At least a localized flash flooding threat may also develop as well. It is a pretty juiced-up airmass that could produce some local 1-2 inch/per hour rainfall rates. The severe weather potential is a bit cloudy and will depend on trough evolution and whether the system comes out as a stronger piece or a more sheared/hot mess series of smaller systems. That will determine whether this is just a run-of-the-mill locally heavy rain event or if a legit severe thunderstorm/tornado threat is possible. Probably want to wait till we get to Wednesday before we get too set one way or another.
Unfortunately, I'm reading that a lot of fruit trees were already blooming out ahead of this hard freeze. This is likely going to hurt local peach crop and other things.
whats the thinking on the potential event friday....euro has better placement of the LP for storms, what does better at this range euro or gfs
Long time no posts.....If we get the clearing that the 3kmNAM and HRR are showing in NW MS and W TN this will be bad. Tonights model runs will be interesting.