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Author Topic: Possible Ice/ Sleet Jan31 -Feb 2  (Read 19357 times)

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Offline Mr. Kevin

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Re: Possible Ice/ Sleet Jan31 -Feb 2
« Reply #345 on: February 02, 2023, 12:37:31 PM »
Trees here in Hernando are maxed out with ice. Several down around town and more falling. Temp is 32.0. One more day of this and it would be a bad deal.

I have a friend from nesbit ms and he took it on the chin pretty hard also. A big tree barely missed his truck by a few feet. I lived in Hernando for a long time before moving and nothing will ever be as bad as feb 1994. Pure chaos back then.

Offline Curt

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Re: Possible Ice/ Sleet Jan31 -Feb 2
« Reply #346 on: February 03, 2023, 03:03:37 PM »
Overall, a moderate but interesting event. Have to wonder if there isn't a little cold air damming that occurs against the Ozarks similar to the east side of the Apps in the Piedmont. The cold air wins almost every time and was much harder to scour out than most every single model minus the RGEM/ CMC.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Possible Ice/ Sleet Jan31 -Feb 2
« Reply #347 on: February 03, 2023, 07:23:10 PM »
Overall, a moderate but interesting event. Have to wonder if there isn't a little cold air damming that occurs against the Ozarks similar to the east side of the Apps in the Piedmont. The cold air wins almost every time and was much harder to scour out than most every single model minus the RGEM/ CMC.

Perhaps there could be a bit of an effect there.  The relatively flat topography of the Mississippi Embayment area in general likely also plays a role and allows for airmasses to spread out easier as well.  We see this during heat waves and even severe weather setups as it is easier for more unstable air to move into this area.   

Offline Bruce

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Re: Possible Ice/ Sleet Jan31 -Feb 2
« Reply #348 on: February 03, 2023, 07:40:24 PM »
Perhaps there could be a bit of an effect there.  The relatively flat topography of the Mississippi Embayment area in general likely also plays a role and allows for airmasses to spread out easier as well.  We see this during heat waves and even severe weather setups as it is easier for more unstable air to move into this area.
we also see times before were the artic air gets hung up and slows down over the delta area....
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Clay

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Re: Possible Ice/ Sleet Jan31 -Feb 2
« Reply #349 on: February 03, 2023, 08:10:10 PM »
One forecast modeling tip that plays out time and time again.. bet on the icier solution. It's the first one to sniff it out.

Offline Mr. Kevin

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Re: Possible Ice/ Sleet Jan31 -Feb 2
« Reply #350 on: February 03, 2023, 08:53:12 PM »
Overall, a moderate but interesting event. Have to wonder if there isn't a little cold air damming that occurs against the Ozarks similar to the east side of the Apps in the Piedmont. The cold air wins almost every time and was much harder to scour out than most every single model minus the RGEM/ CMC.
The cmc was showing the event 228 hours out and most thought it was off its rocker. When it was still showing it 168hrs out I started to take it more seriously. Rgem is a pretty good model overall imo

Offline bugalou

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Re: Possible Ice/ Sleet Jan31 -Feb 2
« Reply #351 on: February 16, 2023, 01:35:02 PM »
Overall, a moderate but interesting event. Have to wonder if there isn't a little cold air damming that occurs against the Ozarks similar to the east side of the Apps in the Piedmont. The cold air wins almost every time and was much harder to scour out than most every single model minus the RGEM/ CMC.
That cold air damming aspect is something I thought about too! There has to be something to it as this isn't the first time this has happened.
The middle event being mostly sleet saved most of us from a problem with this event.

 

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