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Author Topic: February 2023  (Read 30879 times)

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Offline Woodvegas

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #195 on: February 10, 2023, 12:30:09 AM »
2/10 3k NAM keeps hope alive…
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Offline Woodvegas

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #196 on: February 10, 2023, 12:32:27 AM »
Euro has trended a little better. Last 3 runs of the Euro including the 2/10 0Z run attached…
"Luck enters into every contingency. You are a fool if you forget it -- and a greater fool if you count upon it." -- Phyllis Bottome

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #197 on: February 10, 2023, 12:34:47 AM »
I have no idea what the 2/10 0Z Canadian-RDPS is doing.
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Offline Bruce

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #198 on: February 10, 2023, 05:44:16 AM »
SPC has all west Tennessee to middle Tennessee in day 5 and day 6 severe risk already . This system has a high ceiling . Perhaps first big event year
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #199 on: February 10, 2023, 09:59:44 AM »
Latest 2/10 model runs attached. Maybe 1 or 2 counties in Middle TN might get lucky. That’s all I got.
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Offline Curt

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #200 on: February 10, 2023, 10:23:53 AM »
An ULL like that *should* be pure gold for heavy wet snow. That track and set up screams it even at temps around 34 to 35. Wasting a track like that with these has happened ALOT over here too over the years. Hopefully it’s an over performer. Chatt couldn’t ask for a better set up just needs a little stronger cold push from the ULL itself. These usually can surprise someone.

Offline -

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #201 on: February 10, 2023, 11:55:48 AM »
Hoping an extra cold push with the ULL will benefit the Sewanee area. Would love to take my kiddos there on Sunday.
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Offline Weazel

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #202 on: February 10, 2023, 12:35:54 PM »
I now live in Coalmont area of Grundy county, right at 1900 ft above sea level. I work in Manchester which sets around 1045 ft. Should be an interesting event. 

Offline Bruce

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #203 on: February 10, 2023, 03:13:58 PM »
12 z runs today are quite potent on the system next mid week… all the local weather service office already biting o. The severe wx threat
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline mempho

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #204 on: February 10, 2023, 05:05:14 PM »
12 z runs today are quite potent on the system next mid week… all the local weather service office already biting o. The severe wx threat

What's exciting about 15% probabilities?  I don't get it. 


Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline Bruce

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #205 on: February 10, 2023, 05:15:03 PM »
What's exciting about 15% probabilities?  I don't get it.
don’t worry bro. Only 15 percent cause it’s out time frame for 30 prob.  Stay tuned
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #206 on: February 10, 2023, 05:28:02 PM »
2/10 18Z HRRR…
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Offline gcbama

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #207 on: February 10, 2023, 05:39:12 PM »
2/10 18Z HRRR…
(Attachment Link) (Attachment Link)

LOL i hear ya....anybody east of 65 has a shot at something

Offline gcbama

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #208 on: February 10, 2023, 05:40:05 PM »
don’t worry bro. Only 15 percent cause it’s out time frame for 30 prob.  Stay tuned

this does have "POTENTIAL" ...i would rather had been on the snowy side of this one but oh well such is the pattern for now

Offline StormNine

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #209 on: February 10, 2023, 07:06:57 PM »
The Plateau really hasn't had a great snow this year that I recall.  This may be an interesting event for a place like Grundy County where you may see all rain below say 1,500 feet but have the higher tops of the county covered in snow.   

 

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