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Author Topic: February 2023  (Read 20737 times)

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Offline Bruce

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #195 on: February 09, 2023, 07:48:35 PM »
Quote from: gcbama on February 09, 2023, 07:47:37 PM
Death ,taxes, and bruce talking severe, the 3 constants :)
because it s getting that time year … ::popcorn::
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Offline Michael

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #196 on: February 09, 2023, 09:10:47 PM »
Holy NAM East Tn folks
Yes, those are Kuchera ratios




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According to MRX...
Morristown's Last Measured Snowfall of >5.5" was on Feb 2, 1996 when 11.2" was measured.
We. Are. Way. Overdue. For. A. 6"+ Snowfall.

Jan 3, 2022 - 1.5"
Jan 16-17, 2022 - 2.0"

Offline Cody029

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #197 on: February 09, 2023, 09:14:07 PM »
Quote from: Michael on February 09, 2023, 09:10:47 PM
Holy NAM East Tn folks
Yes, those are Kuchera ratios




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3km nam even puts the snow further west then that. I sure hope it is right I would love some snow showers these events usually produce really pretty snow with fat wet flakes.
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Offline Michael

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February 2023
« Reply #198 on: February 09, 2023, 09:53:45 PM »
We need a thread on this.
Latest 3k run should get a few of you mid Tn folks stirred up for this.

End of 0z NAM3k:





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According to MRX...
Morristown's Last Measured Snowfall of >5.5" was on Feb 2, 1996 when 11.2" was measured.
We. Are. Way. Overdue. For. A. 6"+ Snowfall.

Jan 3, 2022 - 1.5"
Jan 16-17, 2022 - 2.0"

Offline Woodvegas

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #199 on: February 10, 2023, 12:30:09 AM »
2/10 3k NAM keeps hope alive…
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Offline Woodvegas

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #200 on: February 10, 2023, 12:32:27 AM »
Euro has trended a little better. Last 3 runs of the Euro including the 2/10 0Z run attached…
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Offline Woodvegas

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #201 on: February 10, 2023, 12:34:47 AM »
I have no idea what the 2/10 0Z Canadian-RDPS is doing.
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"Luck enters into every contingency. You are a fool if you forget it -- and a greater fool if you count upon it." -- Phyllis Bottome

Offline Cody029

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #202 on: February 10, 2023, 02:36:18 AM »
06Nam and 3km Nam both giving more of Middle Tennessee snow! Maybe we get some snow showers yay
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Offline Bruce

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #203 on: February 10, 2023, 05:44:16 AM »
SPC has all west Tennessee to middle Tennessee in day 5 and day 6 severe risk already . This system has a high ceiling . Perhaps first big event year
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Offline Woodvegas

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #204 on: February 10, 2023, 09:59:44 AM »
Latest 2/10 model runs attached. Maybe 1 or 2 counties in Middle TN might get lucky. That’s all I got.
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"Luck enters into every contingency. You are a fool if you forget it -- and a greater fool if you count upon it." -- Phyllis Bottome

Offline Curt

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #205 on: February 10, 2023, 10:23:53 AM »
An ULL like that *should* be pure gold for heavy wet snow. That track and set up screams it even at temps around 34 to 35. Wasting a track like that with these has happened ALOT over here too over the years. Hopefully it’s an over performer. Chatt couldn’t ask for a better set up just needs a little stronger cold push from the ULL itself. These usually can surprise someone.
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Offline -

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #206 on: February 10, 2023, 11:55:48 AM »
Hoping an extra cold push with the ULL will benefit the Sewanee area. Would love to take my kiddos there on Sunday.
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Offline Weazel

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #207 on: February 10, 2023, 12:35:54 PM »
I now live in Coalmont area of Grundy county, right at 1900 ft above sea level. I work in Manchester which sets around 1045 ft. Should be an interesting event. 
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Offline Bruce

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #208 on: February 10, 2023, 03:13:58 PM »
12 z runs today are quite potent on the system next mid week… all the local weather service office already biting o. The severe wx threat
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Offline mempho

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Re: February 2023
« Reply #209 on: February 10, 2023, 05:05:14 PM »
Quote from: Bruce on February 10, 2023, 03:13:58 PM
12 z runs today are quite potent on the system next mid week… all the local weather service office already biting o. The severe wx threat

What's exciting about 15% probabilities?  I don't get it. 
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Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be
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