January 2023

[InMemphis]

A coworker of mine has family in Union City and they apparently ended up with some snow.

[Bruce]

0z GFS doesn't even get us below freezing but 1 time at the end. Lots of wild changes lol.

summer here with warm shots? More like 

[stayrose38]

00z Euro has a somewhat less pronounced SE Ridge... in line with EPS and GEFS.. thinking Tennessee gets a glancing blow of Arctic air at least first week of Feb. Certainly favors West Tennessee over East for any snow/deep cold at this point. By Friday will tell the tale I think on exactly where the trough lies, and how deeply it goes into the lower 48. For what it's worth, the NAO forecast is solidly positive at that range. PNA looks neg, but rising to just slightly positive.

[Bruce]

The SER is going be a major player rest of winter ….

[Clint]

We have an over-running Winter event showing up next Thursday on both the Euro and GFS now. With the SER and cold north of the boundary, looks like PL, ZR, and snow are all possible.

0Z Euro


6Z GFS

[Curt]

We have an over-running Winter event showing up next Thursday on both the Euro and GFS now. With the SER and cold north of the boundary, looks like PL, ZR, and snow are all possible.

0Z Euro


6Z GFS

All three globals have the same set up. Pretty remarkable. Looks like all precip types possible as arctic air bumps up against the SER. We have seen this before.

[snowdog]

All three globals have the same set up. Pretty remarkable. Looks like all precip types possible as arctic air bumps up against the SER. We have seen this before.

I don't really commit our winter hits to memory like I did when I was younger, but it seems these set-ups have produced more so in recent history than they did the last 20 years overall (or at least for middle to west TN).

[Clint]

Big snow over Northern Arkansas yesterday/overnight. Here are some the preliminary totals.

[gcbama]

I don't really commit our winter hits to memory like I did when I was younger, but it seems these set-ups have produced more so in recent history than they did the last 20 years overall (or at least for middle to west TN).

I believe march 2015 was similar setup....although my area ended up getting dry slotted so only got about 2 inches, but elsewhere did very well

[gcbama]

imo i don't think enough cold air will be in place next week the way things look to me right now....hopefully that will change a bit, right now i would think KY has a chance in our region next week

[Bruce]

I believe march 2015 was similar setup....although my area ended up getting dry slotted so only got about 2 inches, but elsewhere did very well

we got 7 inches on that event. March 2015.

[Bruce]

imo i don't think enough cold air will be in place next week the way things look to me right now....hopefully that will change a bit, right now i would think KY has a chance in our region next week

that’s one strong artic  front poised to come down .  Could get interesting for sure . Think u are in a tough spot where you are  southeast of here….  Strong south east ridge vs artic air … you may want to miss this one if it’s a ice event

[gcbama]

that’s one strong artic  front poised to come down .  Could get interesting for sure . Think u are in a tough spot where you are  southeast of here….  Strong south east ridge vs artic air … you may want to miss this one if it’s a ice event

If it could get in here a bit early would be great...although i remember a few times getting a sleetfest in the mid 20's for a few hours before turning to snow at the end and getting a token inch lol

[Thundersnow]

I don't really commit our winter hits to memory like I did when I was younger

I can relate to this... I couldn't tell you much about any events that might have occurred between about 2010 and 2020, but I can tell you all about the biggest storms of the 1980s and 1990s.

Go figure. 👴

[gcbama]

historically though , we know usually about 70% of the time 6-7 day time frame there is always a northwest trend that starts happening around day 4-5 on the models...would not be surprised if this is an ohio river event if it materalizes