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Author Topic: January 2023  (Read 20638 times)

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Offline InMemphis

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #405 on: January 24, 2023, 11:51:50 PM »
A coworker of mine has family in Union City and they apparently ended up with some snow.
« Last Edit: January 24, 2023, 11:53:31 PM by InMemphis »

Online Bruce

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #406 on: January 25, 2023, 03:06:48 AM »
0z GFS doesn't even get us below freezing but 1 time at the end. Lots of wild changes lol.
summer here with warm shots? More like  ::blowtorch::
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Online stayrose38

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #407 on: January 25, 2023, 05:10:10 AM »
00z Euro has a somewhat less pronounced SE Ridge... in line with EPS and GEFS.. thinking Tennessee gets a glancing blow of Arctic air at least first week of Feb. Certainly favors West Tennessee over East for any snow/deep cold at this point. By Friday will tell the tale I think on exactly where the trough lies, and how deeply it goes into the lower 48. For what it's worth, the NAO forecast is solidly positive at that range. PNA looks neg, but rising to just slightly positive.

Online Bruce

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #408 on: January 25, 2023, 05:17:56 AM »
The SER is going be a major player rest of winter ….
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Clint

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #409 on: January 25, 2023, 06:20:32 AM »
We have an over-running Winter event showing up next Thursday on both the Euro and GFS now. With the SER and cold north of the boundary, looks like PL, ZR, and snow are all possible.

0Z Euro


6Z GFS


Offline Curt

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #410 on: January 25, 2023, 06:40:13 AM »
We have an over-running Winter event showing up next Thursday on both the Euro and GFS now. With the SER and cold north of the boundary, looks like PL, ZR, and snow are all possible.

0Z Euro


6Z GFS

All three globals have the same set up. Pretty remarkable. Looks like all precip types possible as arctic air bumps up against the SER. We have seen this before.

Offline snowdog

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #411 on: January 25, 2023, 07:49:19 AM »
All three globals have the same set up. Pretty remarkable. Looks like all precip types possible as arctic air bumps up against the SER. We have seen this before.

I don't really commit our winter hits to memory like I did when I was younger, but it seems these set-ups have produced more so in recent history than they did the last 20 years overall (or at least for middle to west TN).

Offline Clint

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #412 on: January 25, 2023, 08:33:27 AM »
Big snow over Northern Arkansas yesterday/overnight. Here are some the preliminary totals.

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #413 on: January 25, 2023, 09:43:38 AM »
I don't really commit our winter hits to memory like I did when I was younger, but it seems these set-ups have produced more so in recent history than they did the last 20 years overall (or at least for middle to west TN).

I believe march 2015 was similar setup....although my area ended up getting dry slotted so only got about 2 inches, but elsewhere did very well

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #414 on: January 25, 2023, 10:44:44 AM »
imo i don't think enough cold air will be in place next week the way things look to me right now....hopefully that will change a bit, right now i would think KY has a chance in our region next week

Online Bruce

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #415 on: January 25, 2023, 10:45:20 AM »
I believe march 2015 was similar setup....although my area ended up getting dry slotted so only got about 2 inches, but elsewhere did very well
we got 7 inches on that event. March 2015.
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Online Bruce

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #416 on: January 25, 2023, 10:47:59 AM »
imo i don't think enough cold air will be in place next week the way things look to me right now....hopefully that will change a bit, right now i would think KY has a chance in our region next week
that’s one strong artic  front poised to come down .  Could get interesting for sure . Think u are in a tough spot where you are  southeast of here….  Strong south east ridge vs artic air … you may want to miss this one if it’s a ice event
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #417 on: January 25, 2023, 10:51:45 AM »
that’s one strong artic  front poised to come down .  Could get interesting for sure . Think u are in a tough spot where you are  southeast of here….  Strong south east ridge vs artic air … you may want to miss this one if it’s a ice event

If it could get in here a bit early would be great...although i remember a few times getting a sleetfest in the mid 20's for a few hours before turning to snow at the end and getting a token inch lol

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #418 on: January 25, 2023, 11:44:04 AM »
I don't really commit our winter hits to memory like I did when I was younger

I can relate to this... I couldn't tell you much about any events that might have occurred between about 2010 and 2020, but I can tell you all about the biggest storms of the 1980s and 1990s.

Go figure. 👴

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2023
« Reply #419 on: January 25, 2023, 12:20:13 PM »
historically though , we know usually about 70% of the time 6-7 day time frame there is always a northwest trend that starts happening around day 4-5 on the models...would not be surprised if this is an ohio river event if it materalizes

 

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February 2023
by Bruce
[Today at 03:19:00 AM]
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by Golfmankevin
[February 03, 2023, 08:53:12 PM]