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Author Topic: November 2022  (Read 7621 times)

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Offline dwagner88

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #75 on: November 15, 2022, 01:10:32 PM »
I'd love to snow chase to Buffalo this weekend. Could be a historic lake effect storm for them. 3+ feet seems likely.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
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2/8/20: 4.25

Online cgauxknox

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #76 on: November 15, 2022, 02:03:41 PM »
I'd love to snow chase to Buffalo this weekend. Could be a historic lake effect storm for them. 3+ feet seems likely.
We need to have schneitzeit send us pictures  ::snowman::

Offline Curt

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #77 on: November 16, 2022, 04:50:31 PM »
Global temps have plummeted over the last 30 days most likely due to ash from last year's Tonga eruption finally making its way into the upper atmosphere. Looks like both poles at 2m have cooled significantly as well. There is little known about winter effects from a large volcano sending ash into the atmosphere which most likely blocks incoming solar energy. We had one in the early 1990's but it was with a moderate El Nino and it took a while to cool the earth. Winters warmed until La Nina took over in 1993-94. It's been a year since Tonga went off so not surprising there is a lag. There is a correlation to much cooler summers with large volcanic eruptions, but winter looks mixed. It's theorized that ice ages may result from increased volcanic activity as well. Lots we don't know but interesting, nonetheless.

Offline StormNine

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #78 on: November 16, 2022, 05:21:26 PM »
I'd love to snow chase to Buffalo this weekend. Could be a historic lake effect storm for them. 3+ feet seems likely.

Bills and the Browns are scheduled for NFL football on Sunday if it isn't canceled or postponed also Akron @ Buffalo Bulls as well. 

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #79 on: November 16, 2022, 09:14:19 PM »
Things are starting to look juicy for a SVR outbreak on or around Thanksgiving. Way too early for verification though.

Online Bruce

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #80 on: November 16, 2022, 10:43:13 PM »
Things are starting to look juicy for a SVR outbreak on or around Thanksgiving. Way too early for verification though.
yeah both gfs and euro were pretty nasty runs for that timeframe
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Cody029

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #81 on: November 17, 2022, 05:50:43 AM »
Wasn't expecting it to be this cold here. Its like 19-20 at my house.

Offline Curt

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #82 on: November 17, 2022, 05:55:02 AM »
Buffalo max snowfall now up to nearly 50 inches plus on the south side of town starting tonight. This will be headlines over the weekend.

Offline Curt

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #83 on: November 17, 2022, 05:59:32 AM »
yeah both gfs and euro were pretty nasty runs for that timeframe
Highs in the low 50’s on T-giving? Euro barely paints precip over the region? I would say the severe risk as of this moment is nearly zero.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #84 on: November 17, 2022, 07:03:56 AM »
Without looking at anything, maybe they’re looking at something well south of Tennessee.

Offline Curt

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #85 on: November 17, 2022, 08:34:39 AM »
Without looking at anything, maybe they’re looking at something well south of Tennessee.
Maybe south central and southeast TX with current modeling but that’s about it. Of course, 7 days will have changes.

Offline WXHD

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #86 on: November 17, 2022, 09:18:56 AM »
10 degrees below freezing at my house this morning. The abrupt change in afternoon daylight and temps has rocked me. I feel like SAD is setting in early this year.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #87 on: November 17, 2022, 09:31:20 AM »
Maybe south central and southeast TX with current modeling but that’s about it. Of course, 7 days will have changes.

Yeah- I'm getting the sense there may have been an older model run or runs that were more bullish than what's on the table now. My sense of the current pattern and climatology would tell me risks would tend to be confined to the immediate Gulf Coast. It's probably too much to ask for the right air mass to come up here in such a short time frame.

Offline Coach B

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #88 on: November 17, 2022, 09:41:29 AM »
Buffalo max snowfall now up to nearly 50 inches plus on the south side of town starting tonight. This will be headlines over the weekend.
A lake effect road trip is on my retirement bucket list. Probably have to go it alone, my wife says its plenty cold enough here.  ::shrug::

Online Bruce

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Re: November 2022
« Reply #89 on: November 17, 2022, 09:44:06 AM »
Yeah- I'm getting the sense there may have been an older model run or runs that were more bullish than what's on the table now. My sense of the current pattern and climatology would tell me risks would tend to be confined to the immediate Gulf Coast. It's probably too much to ask for the right air mass to come up here in such a short time frame.
it really dont matter with being little cold air mass place for a period, look back january 99... first year we had sleet ice on ground for week with temps mid teens for lows and sub freezing highs...two weeks later we went to a severe weather pattern quick. january 17th was the big ef4 jackson tornado, than less few days the clarksville tn twister. this air mass really hasnt been that cold  just yet to be honest.
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

 

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