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Author Topic: October 2022  (Read 7114 times)

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Offline Thundersnow

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October 2022
« on: September 29, 2022, 07:18:59 PM »
New month on Saturday- Go!

Offline Bruce

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2022, 07:37:07 PM »
DRY, that sums it up... october is the driest month of the year on average
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Matthew

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2022, 09:44:17 PM »
DRY, that sums it up... october is the driest month of the year on average

Does that mean no severe wx? 😬👊🏻

Offline Matthew

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2022, 09:48:28 PM »
The extended looks absolutely perfect.  Mostly 70’s during day & cool nights.  Yeah no rain but at this point yards are slowing down.  Sucks for overseeding. 

Offline Bruce

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #4 on: September 30, 2022, 03:51:42 AM »
Does that mean no severe wx? 😬👊🏻
usually our fall severe season occurs November to early December , least that’s peak period. That’s if there will be any.
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline TNHunter

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2022, 05:10:09 PM »
usually our fall severe season occurs November to early December , least that’s peak period. That’s if there will be any.

Sure hope there won’t be any

Offline Matthew

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2022, 10:07:50 AM »
Looking at forecast with absolutely no rain in sight.  Going into dry season with leaves falling is not good. My neighbor is part of the local helping fight brush & forest fires.  He said they were doing control burns already up on the plateau.  He said we are dry but there it’s really dry.  He said if we don’t get rain soon it’s going to be trouble.

Offline Matthew

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2022, 10:51:57 AM »
Not a single drop of rain in the forecast.  Brush fires & other fires are going to become a lot more frequent I’m afraid.  Especially with these low humidity days that are coming.

Offline wmp600

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2022, 06:47:53 PM »
Not a single drop of rain in the forecast.  Brush fires & other fires are going to become a lot more frequent I’m afraid.  Especially with these low humidity days that are coming.
I was thinking the same. I know this is the driest time of the year but it seems even more dry than normal, especially with the dry air.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2022, 06:02:19 AM »
We just seem to be in an exceptionally dry pattern, even with dry frontal passages. I’m seeing temperature drops in the extended… temperatures up and down this whole week (upcoming weekend looks really cool), but it’s dry, dry, and dry. Unusual.

Offline Crockett

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2022, 10:27:18 AM »
There have been several times through the years that it has been rumored that the TN Wildlife Resources Agency was going to cancel Tennessee's muzzleloading deer hunt (which has traditionally begun around the end of October or the first of November) because of dry conditions. The rumors were always just that, but my takeaway from that is that exceptionally dry starts to fall aren't terribly uncommon. October is our driest month of the year, on average, and it's fairly common to have wet Octobers (last year, for example)...so there has to be very dry Octobers to drag the average down (like 2016).

That said, it's obviously becoming very dry right now. Our last measurable precipitation up here was Sept. 11, so it's been three full weeks. I was curious how this year stacks up to the 2016 fall drought and the wildfire season that followed. That year we went from Sept. 19 to Oct. 20 with essentially no rain (less than one-tenth of an inch) before a soaking rain (0.75 inch) on Oct. 21. That was followed by no rain until a measly two-tenths of an inch fell on Nov. 19 (almost one week before the infamous Gatlinburg fire). Then drought-busting rains set in the week after Thanksgiving and December wound up being quite wet.

So basically in 2016 we went two full months with no real rain event. We're at one full month, and counting, so far this year. The wildfire season is about to become significant if we don't get a good soaking rain soon.
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Offline Crockett

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2022, 01:25:37 PM »
What are the colors looking like off the plateau? (No, I don't get out much!) I imagine they're not starting to show much, but it does appear up here that we'll have an early fall foliage season, at least relative to the last few years. It has become common to have foliage hanging on well into November, but there are splashes of color starting to turn up here and there already.
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Offline dwagner88

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2022, 03:51:35 PM »
What are the colors looking like off the plateau? (No, I don't get out much!) I imagine they're not starting to show much, but it does appear up here that we'll have an early fall foliage season, at least relative to the last few years. It has become common to have foliage hanging on well into November, but there are splashes of color starting to turn up here and there already.
Still mostly green here, but the tops of the oaks are starting to show some color.
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Offline schneitzeit

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2022, 05:35:19 PM »
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Offline StormNine

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Re: October 2022
« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2022, 05:42:12 PM »
I am definitely seeing what I would consider being legit "patchy" foilage here in Western KY especially the Dogwoods and smaller trees, but the maples and oaks are starting to turn in spots as well.   

As long as we get cooler nights and stay dry, I would say most areas in Western KY and probably the Eastern Highland Rim of Tennessee peak in the Oct 27th-Nov 4th timeframe, which is only about a week away from the historical fall foilage date but earlier than recent years that waited as long as the 2nd week of November. 

I am going on a vacation to Wisconsin next week and most of the northern and western areas should be at peak or close to it when I get there. 

 

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