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Author Topic: Hurricane Ian  (Read 2275 times)

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Online cgauxknox

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Hurricane Ian
« on: September 23, 2022, 03:48:55 PM »
We can update the thread title when it strengthens into a named storm, but with the high likelihood right now of this storm hitting Florida and the potential for it to buzz saw the east coast it seems worth tracking in a dedicated thread.
« Last Edit: September 26, 2022, 05:35:30 AM by Thundersnow »

Offline jwr2914

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Re: TD9
« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2022, 09:59:30 PM »
I agree. If the Tampa Bay region stays on the current trajectory, major surge issues will be present Wednesday. I grew up in the Gibsonton and Riverview area of Tampa and I remember as a kid seeing the signs on power pools telling you how high the surge could be for a major hurricane. Always was ominous.
Humboldt, TN (Gibson County).

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Offline BeetleChe13

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Re: TD9
« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2022, 10:15:27 PM »
The latest NHC update is out, and it's officially Tropical Storm Ian. NHC has had their eye on this one for awhile because the shear is beginning to ease up and other conditions seem favorable for potential rapid intensification. I moved from Tn to FL to now Colorado as of this month, but I still enjoy monitoring these storms.

Offline Bruce

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Re: TD9
« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2022, 11:26:29 PM »
The latest NHC update is out, and it's officially Tropical Storm Ian. NHC has had their eye on this one for awhile because the shear is beginning to ease up and other conditions seem favorable for potential rapid intensification. I moved from Tn to FL to now Colorado as of this month, but I still enjoy monitoring these storms.
congrats to you if your a big snow lover … Denver area gets there share for sure
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline StormNine

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Re: TD9
« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2022, 07:24:33 AM »
It is now Tropical Storm and eventually will be Hurricane Ian.

Another potentially infamous I named storm.   

Online cgauxknox

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Re: TD9
« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2022, 08:14:29 AM »
The NHC forecast has it reaching major hurricane strength before landfall. This could be rough by the middle of the week.

Offline gcbama

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Re: TD9
« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2022, 08:28:40 AM »
One thing models have still have some trouble with in long range modeling is strength as a system nears landfall.....this has all the potential in the world to be upper end cat 3 low end cat 4 , won't be over cuba for too long and have probably another 24 hours of gulf water to work with. Doesn't look good for western and central florida

Offline StormNine

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Re: TD9
« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2022, 11:03:25 AM »
One thing models have still have some trouble with in long range modeling is strength as a system nears landfall.....this has all the potential in the world to be upper end cat 3 low end cat 4 , won't be over cuba for too long and have probably another 24 hours of gulf water to work with. Doesn't look good for western and central florida

If it goes too far west (say the panhandle west of PCB) though it will run into some shear and dryer/continental air which could cause it to be loopsider and a good deal weaker. 

Offline gcbama

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Re: TD9
« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2022, 11:27:18 AM »
If it goes too far west (say the panhandle west of PCB) though it will run into some shear and dryer/continental air which could cause it to be loopsider and a good deal weaker.

Agreed , however that scenario as of now is not looking likely....to me doesn't look like it gets west of the Apalachicola bay area in latitude before it turns northeast, but hey it could happen and that would bee a very good thing!

Offline DocB

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Re: TS Ian
« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2022, 04:58:52 PM »
Heading down to Destin area tomorrow for a planned vacation with family for the week. Still going, but expecting to pull the plug by Wednesday if they call for evac. Still selfishly pulling for a more eastern landfall as I need the break.

Offline gcbama

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Re: TD9
« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2022, 06:25:54 PM »
Agreed , however that scenario as of now is not looking likely....to me doesn't look like it gets west of the Apalachicola bay area in latitude before it turns northeast, but hey it could happen and that would bee a very good thing!

And now the track has shifted about another 50-75 miles northwest lol

Offline StormNine

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Re: TD9
« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2022, 07:09:34 PM »
And now the track has shifted about another 50-75 miles northwest lol

Due to the cold push/trough being stronger.  Now we are looking at upper 60s/lower 70s for a few days for Middle TN instead of middle to upper 70s due to this.   

Online cgauxknox

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Re: TS Ian
« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2022, 07:21:29 PM »
Official forecast is now for Ian to strengthen to a Cat 4 once it gets in the Gulf.

Offline dwagner88

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Re: TS Ian
« Reply #13 on: September 25, 2022, 11:02:04 AM »
This is looking like a decent rain maker for the eastern half of the state.
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Offline Beth

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Re: TS Ian
« Reply #14 on: September 25, 2022, 05:07:14 PM »
I sure hope we get a lot more rain. (Never thought I would say that!). We got a few showers last night and this morning but not near enough. 
We are enjoying the cooler weather now.  Love sleeping with the windows open!!!😍

 

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October 2022
by Bruce
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