*

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length


Author Topic: Summertember 2022  (Read 12525 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Online mamMATTus

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,740
  • Location: Chattanooga
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 224
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #75 on: September 21, 2022, 07:56:47 AM »
The GFS has a landfalling Cat 3/4 in the Gulf at the end of the month.
« Last Edit: September 21, 2022, 02:16:48 PM by mamMATTus »

Offline DocB

  • TNWX Supporter
  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ******
  • Posts: 491
  • Location: Historic Nolensville, TN (20m SSE of Nashville)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 425
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #76 on: September 21, 2022, 08:30:54 AM »
The GFS has a landfilling Cat 3/4 in the Gulf at the end of the month.
oh goody - the one week I am planning a vacation.  ::doh:: Good thing we bought some trip insurance for this EXACT reason.

Offline Clay

  • Moderator Supporter
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,325
  • Location: South Nashville/Whispering Hills
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 933
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #77 on: September 21, 2022, 04:39:43 PM »
BNA and MEM have both recorded 100F as of 4:30. Going to be 50F colder in 36 hours.

Offline Clint

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 400
  • Location: Olive Branch, Ms.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 778
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #78 on: September 21, 2022, 05:21:37 PM »
The cold front looks to be on the move with temperatures in the mid 50’s in NW Kansas and many locations over 100 in SE Kansas.
 ::applause::

Offline schneitzeit

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,461
  • Location:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 3113
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #79 on: September 21, 2022, 07:24:33 PM »
Heck of a  ::blowtorch:: down there. I'm watching y'all torch from afar as Upstate NY is within a slight risk from the SPC, which is rare for this area. My shot-in-the-dark prediction at the end of August that the western half of TN wouldn't be finished with 100s yet verified. The Plains ridge has been so hard to erase.

Enjoy the cooldown! First snow is tap for the highest elevations in the Adirondacks on Thursday night going into Friday morning.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,358
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 900
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #80 on: September 22, 2022, 07:06:07 AM »
The first strong north wind of Fall. So refreshing.

Offline cgauxknox

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,311
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 791
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #81 on: September 22, 2022, 08:07:44 AM »
This weekend looks to be as close to perfect as you can get for late September. We'll be at an outdoor event for most of the day with sunny weather in the upper 70s. The mornings will be chilly enough to let us know that fall is really here. It's a wonderful time of year when we get to have a season like this rather than going from summer straight to winter.

Online Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,972
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 3901
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #82 on: September 22, 2022, 08:22:47 AM »
This weekend looks to be as close to perfect as you can get for late September. We'll be at an outdoor event for most of the day with sunny weather in the upper 70s. The mornings will be chilly enough to let us know that fall is really here. It's a wonderful time of year when we get to have a season like this rather than going from summer straight to winter.
I call a true classic fall day with highs upper 60s low in lower 40s.  The mid 80 least look be coming back end next week
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 13,127
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 810
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #83 on: September 22, 2022, 09:56:20 AM »
I call a true classic fall day with highs upper 60s low in lower 40s.  The mid 80 least look be coming back end next week

That's a classic late fall day, as in November. Fall is a gradual transition. There's early fall, mid-fall, and late fall, with a big difference in weather from start to finish. No one should be expecting weather that cool this early (and, I don't want anything quite that cool just yet anyway). Starting to see more 70s and 50s (with some intermittent rises back into the 80s before the next fronts) is par for the course for late September/early October. This week was indeed hot/broke some records... but, at least we are cooling off today with more fall-like weather with some nicer 70s and 50s again as we move forward. Warming trends after cool-offs are to be expected before the next cool shots.

It will be a good while before we get to 60s and 40s. I personally enjoy the journey on the way there.
« Last Edit: September 22, 2022, 10:10:13 AM by Thundersnow »

Online Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,972
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 3901
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #84 on: September 22, 2022, 10:20:09 AM »
That's a classic late fall day, as in November. Fall is a gradual transition. There's early fall, mid-fall, and late fall, with a big difference in weather from start to finish. No one should be expecting weather that cool this early (and, I don't want anything quite that cool just yet anyway). Starting to see more 70s and 50s (with some intermittent rises back into the 80s before the next fronts) is par for the course for late September/early October. This week was indeed hot/broke some records... but, at least we are cooling off today with more fall-like weather with some nicer 70s and 50s again as we move forward. Warming trends after cool-offs are to be expected before the next cool shots.

It will be a good while before we get to 60s and 40s. I personally enjoy the journey on the way there.
seems like the rides just get little more bumpier they used take place . Back In mid late 70s mid September you pretty much
 Had wear jacket at night to go to local hs football game or the fair . Not anymore
« Last Edit: September 22, 2022, 10:22:31 AM by Bruce »
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Crockett

  • Guest
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #85 on: September 22, 2022, 11:27:51 AM »
seems like the rides just get little more bumpier they used take place . Back In mid late 70s mid September you pretty much
 Had wear jacket at night to go to local hs football game or the fair . Not anymore

1974-1976 were all anomalously cool early autumns. But all the other years in the '70s were almost identical to the weather we've had thus far this September. Data doesn't lie.

Online Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,972
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 3901
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #86 on: September 22, 2022, 11:41:35 AM »
1974-1976 were all anomalously cool early autumns. But all the other years in the '70s were almost identical to the weather we've had thus far this September. Data doesn't lie.
my memory doesn’t either …
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 13,127
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 810
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #87 on: September 22, 2022, 11:57:00 AM »
my memory doesn’t either …

Perhaps, you are remembering those anomalously cool early autumns (1974-1976) that Crockett cited.

Crockett

  • Guest
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #88 on: September 22, 2022, 11:58:08 AM »
my memory doesn’t either …

Memory fades, my friend.

Average low temps for month of September in Nashville:
1970: 65.9 (nights in 50s or below: 7/40s or below: 1)
1971: 64.6 (6/0)
1972: 66.0 (3/1)
1973: 66.3 (5/1)
1974: 58.4 (17/3)
1975: 59.5 (16/4)
1976: 56.4 (21/4)

1977: 64.8 (6/0)
1978: 65.0 (5/0)
1979: 60.9 (14/0)
2020: 62.7 (9/1)
2021: 62.4 (11/1)
2022: 65.0 (3/0)

Online Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 10,972
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 3901
Re: Summertember 2022
« Reply #89 on: September 22, 2022, 12:21:00 PM »
Memory fades, my friend.

Average low temps for month of September in Nashville:
1970: 65.9 (nights in 50s or below: 7/40s or below: 1)
1971: 64.6 (6/0)
1972: 66.0 (3/1)
1973: 66.3 (5/1)
1974: 58.4 (17/3)
1975: 59.5 (16/4)
1976: 56.4 (21/4)

1977: 64.8 (6/0)
1978: 65.0 (5/0)
1979: 60.9 (14/0)
2020: 62.7 (9/1)
2021: 62.4 (11/1)
2022: 65.0 (3/0)
well mine hasn’t just yet .  There is a difference from early falls to the recent fall weather of today . Just like winter season .
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

 

*

Steamy September 2023
by TNHunter
[Today at 05:26:21 AM]
EL-NINO (23-24)
by StormNine
[September 23, 2023, 03:21:27 PM]
2023 Hurricane Season
by cgauxknox
[September 21, 2023, 07:08:20 PM]
August 2023
by StormNine
[September 03, 2023, 01:42:36 PM]
Hurricane Idalia
by schneitzeit
[September 01, 2023, 01:49:11 PM]