*

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length


Author Topic: 2022 Tropical Season  (Read 2038 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline cgauxknox

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,212
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 732
2022 Tropical Season
« on: April 08, 2022, 11:50:00 AM »
It may be April, but Colorado State has released an above normal prediction for 2022: https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html

Offline BeetleChe13

  • Sunny
  • *
  • Posts: 25
  • Location: Gainesville, FL
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 43
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2022, 10:33:31 AM »
Many others are forecasting an above average season as well. We already have warmer than normal sea surface temps and are in a La Nina pattern like last year.

Offline cgauxknox

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,212
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 732

Offline dwagner88

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,926
  • Location: Apison, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 189
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #3 on: May 15, 2022, 01:27:28 PM »
The GFS would like to skip early season tropical storms and go directly to eastern GOM hurricanes. It’s been showing up for a couple of days now.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline Cody029

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 177
  • Location: Wilson County
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 68
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #4 on: May 15, 2022, 02:25:34 PM »
The GFS would like to skip early season tropical storms and go directly to eastern GOM hurricanes. It’s been showing up for a couple of days now.
Yeah 1 run had it go straight north then it had it go more towards the Carolinas now its been several runs with it hitting Florida.

Offline wfrogge

  • Supercell
  • *****
  • Posts: 675
  • Location: Oakland
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 87
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2022, 12:36:45 PM »
fairly common for the GFS to show canes in the gulf this far out. Always needs to be watched but I have seen this show before

Offline cgauxknox

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,212
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 732
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #6 on: May 22, 2022, 08:44:11 PM »
We've now got Invest 90L in the Gulf, just south of the FL panhandle/AL. NOAA has it with less than a 40% chance of development, but it is the first organized system this season.

Offline dwagner88

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,926
  • Location: Apison, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 189
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #7 on: May 23, 2022, 01:55:57 PM »
First good rain since the start of April! Over 2" in the bucket from 90L as it swings overhead.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline cgauxknox

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,212
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 732
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #8 on: May 31, 2022, 07:50:55 AM »
It looks like we have a good chance of Hurricane Agatha crossing into the Gulf and turning into a TD or TS Alex by the end of the week. Right now there seems to be too much shear to develop into much of a threat, so it will mostly be a rain-maker. It is something to track with the first day or hurricane season tomorrow.

Offline cgauxknox

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,212
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 732
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #9 on: June 02, 2022, 06:05:14 PM »
We should see our first tropical storm of the season tomorrow and FL has TS watches coming out.

Offline Beth

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,744
  • Location: Dickson
  • Snowbird
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2809
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #10 on: June 03, 2022, 03:37:02 PM »
We should see our first tropical storm of the season tomorrow and FL has TS watches coming out.

I am glad it is heading up the East coast. Leaving tomorrow night to head to Clearwater Beach.  So ready to have a relaxing time! 😎😎😎

Offline cgauxknox

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,212
  • Location: Knoxville
  • KM4UMK
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 732
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #11 on: June 03, 2022, 03:44:23 PM »
I am glad it is heading up the East coast. Leaving tomorrow night to head to Clearwater Beach.  So ready to have a relaxing time! 😎😎😎
You should be free and clear for a great trip - enjoy!

Offline Cody029

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 177
  • Location: Wilson County
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 68
Re: 2022 Tropical Season
« Reply #12 on: June 09, 2022, 10:02:36 PM »
Past few days the GFS has been hinting at a system in the Gulf around June 20th. Something to watch as thats also what seems to be what gives us a break from the ridge for a little after next weeks torch. If ridge holds it could push the storm towards Texas/Mexico or curve it to Florida. But if the ridge breaks/weakens earlier it could allow the storm to push deeper into the Gulf and being a decent storm.

 

*

August 2022
by TNHunter
[Today at 09:48:30 AM]
July 2022 (For those who like it hot)
by Bruce
[August 02, 2022, 08:10:55 AM]