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Author Topic: "Perfect" Winter Storm Setup Scenario - Memphis  (Read 440 times)

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Offline bugalou

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"Perfect" Winter Storm Setup Scenario - Memphis
« on: January 22, 2022, 09:42:12 PM »
Lets have a little fun.  We can do one of these for each city, but since I am starting this thread, I am picking my side of the state.
What would be the perfect winter storm setup you would like to see for the Memphis / West TN area?  Feel free to describe analogs, make maps, cite old storms, etc. 

For me I am always partial to the rare long duration over running split flow events where you get Pacific atmospheric rivers and impulsed over riding in place arctic air.  The tricky part with this in Memphis is always ice.  I like this setup less for the block buster single events, but more for the the increased chances of repeat events.  These are more rare these days with less quality arctic surges and a southern stream that can overwhelm the whole thing and bring warmth.  So that's mine, whats yours?

Offline StormNine

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Re: "Perfect" Winter Storm Setup Scenario - Memphis
« Reply #1 on: January 23, 2022, 12:32:54 PM »
What is interesting and why it is so hard to get a statewide storm is the situation you need for Memphis isn't the same for Nashville, Knoxville, or Chattanooga. 

Memphis needs western-tier APP runners, overrunning events, or well-timed ULL's typically. Setups to really look at include March 2008 or even a Dec 2012 if you shift it east/southeast by 50-75 miles would be solid analogs.  Feb 2006 as well.  In a matter of fact, often when Memphis gets a hit then it is somewhat common for Nashville to get warm-nosed (see Feb 2006). 

For anyone a well-timed upper level low is always a treat as well but there will always be great winners and losers with that situation (see Feb/early March 2009 and 1/15-1/16 of this year)

Online snowdog

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Re: "Perfect" Winter Storm Setup Scenario - Memphis
« Reply #2 on: January 23, 2022, 01:39:52 PM »
How was Nashville historically scored their few 10+" snowfalls?

Offline Bruce

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Re: "Perfect" Winter Storm Setup Scenario - Memphis
« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2022, 01:52:54 PM »
Memphis and most west middle even do good deep gulf lo tracking towards Georgia coming out the northern gulf
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: "Perfect" Winter Storm Setup Scenario - Memphis
« Reply #4 on: January 23, 2022, 01:55:19 PM »
Memphis and most west middle even do good deep gulf lo tracking towards Georgia coming out the northern gulf
Not me. To heck With a gulf low.

Offline Bruce

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Re: "Perfect" Winter Storm Setup Scenario - Memphis
« Reply #5 on: January 23, 2022, 02:25:23 PM »
Not me. To heck With a gulf low.
think it was the second snow I n the famous winter 85 January was gulf low coming out heading to Georgia .
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: "Perfect" Winter Storm Setup Scenario - Memphis
« Reply #6 on: January 23, 2022, 03:48:53 PM »
Memphis and most west middle even do good deep gulf lo tracking towards Georgia coming out the northern gulf
I agree, the bad thing is them type often just miss us in northwest middle or we get the lighter side of it. What works for Dyersburg usually works for us, unless it’s clippers or something to our south. What I would like to see 1. A good old slow moving west to east southern slider that gets the entire state. 2. A long duration over running situation with more snow than ice. 3. A west apps runner, not good for eastern areas but west and most of middle often do very well. ::guitar:: ::snowman::
« Last Edit: January 23, 2022, 03:55:40 PM by Clarksville Snowman »

 

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