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Author Topic: 2021 Tropical Season  (Read 2922 times)

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Offline cgauxknox

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2021 Tropical Season
« on: May 22, 2021, 06:36:40 AM »
I know we usually call this an outlook thread but with our first storm of the season making an appearance today (Ana) and an invest causing massive flooding in Louisiana we're already talking about active storms.

It is predicted to be another above average season, although hopefully we won't see anything close to what happened last year.

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2021, 04:39:16 PM »
I expect it to be just as active as last year but with more landfalls. For whatever reason I feel like Kate is going to be a monster.

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2021, 05:50:26 PM »
I expect it to be just as active as last year but with more landfalls. For whatever reason I feel like Kate is going to be a monster.

I think Mexico is going to have a lot more issues this time as well especially as storms get caught under the ridging.  If we see breaks in the Sonora and Bermuda Ridge like we did in 2017 and 2020 then we will have major trouble in the Gulf Coast.   

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2021, 03:31:25 PM »
TD2 has formed off of NC but will probably stay offshore. There's also an invest developing in the Gulf. We're already a couple of weeks into hurricane season so it's time to start watching the tropical forecasts before you travel.

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2021, 04:15:12 PM »
Going to be watching this season closely. I'm not a beach person and haven't been in many years, but I've got a fishing trip booked in Port St. Joe with a group of friends August 14-18 which is the start of the peak of the season.
« Last Edit: June 14, 2021, 04:19:19 PM by mamMATTus »

Offline WXHD

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2021, 04:17:06 PM »
TD2 has formed off of NC but will probably stay offshore. There's also an invest developing in the Gulf. We're already a couple of weeks into hurricane season so it's time to start watching the tropical forecasts before you travel.

We’re supposed to arrive on Dauphin Island Saturday. We’re hoping it’s just a wet and windy start, nothing more. We were forced to evacuate from there in October mid trip. Don’t want this one shortened by a storm too! Let’s keep it moving west.
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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2021, 05:49:41 PM »
We’re supposed to arrive on Dauphin Island Saturday. We’re hoping it’s just a wet and windy start, nothing more. We were forced to evacuate from there in October mid trip. Don’t want this one shortened by a storm too! Let’s keep it moving west.

With this one the heavy rain threat will extend quite a bit east of center.  Although we are not expecting a full-blown hurricane (at least I hope not) some widespread flooding is possible. 

With the tendency to have strong ridging to the north and west of us, I am very concerned that we are eventually going to get one of these tropical systems stuck underneath the ridge as we head deeper into the year.   

Offline Matthew

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2021, 09:18:33 PM »
We’re heading to Anna Marie Island on Friday.  Can’t wait!

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #8 on: June 15, 2021, 12:24:38 PM »
We now have TS Bill in the Atlantic but it's thankfully moving away from the coast. The Invest in the Gulf is looking to be a Tropical Depression by the weekend with early rain coming into the northern Gulf Coast. Overall development is pretty unclear at this point, although nobody is talking about more than the potential for a TS at the moment. My concern is that depending on where it tracks, especially inland, even a TD with significant rainfall could bring problems to areas that have already been deluged in the past several weeks.

Offline jwr2914

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #9 on: June 17, 2021, 05:57:24 AM »
We’re heading to Anna Marie Island on Friday.  Can’t wait!

Been there! Saying it is beautiful does not do it justice. It is breathtaking.
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Offline Matthew

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #10 on: June 17, 2021, 07:06:32 AM »
Been there! Saying it is beautiful does not do it justice. It is breathtaking.

Glad to hear this.  Looking forward to it.

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #11 on: June 17, 2021, 09:09:14 AM »
The Euro tracks the remains through the southern part of Tennessee, but the moisture is displaced quite a bit to the south and east so therefore the heavier rains look to stay south and east of the state by large.   

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #12 on: June 17, 2021, 04:39:48 PM »
The season's first tropical storm warnings are being issued along the Gulf coast.

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #13 on: June 20, 2021, 10:44:59 AM »
After coming on shore from the Gulf TS Claudette is now putting up TS warnings on the Atlantic coast. I know this has happened with storms before but I'm always amazed to see a storm retain that kind of power after crossing a continent.

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: 2021 Tropical Season
« Reply #14 on: June 28, 2021, 10:49:35 AM »
TD4 has come out of nowhere off the SC/GA coast and is expected to landfall in just a few hours and there are TS warnings across southern SC in the event that it it strengthens. The inland track actually takes it across SE TN and into the mid-state so we might get some weather impacts from this one.

 

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