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Author Topic: 5/4/21 Hailer  (Read 3691 times)

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Offline Thundersnow

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #120 on: May 04, 2021, 04:03:38 PM »
The N MS complex mass looks like it's going to crush the potential for much in the way of explosive development here in TN, IMO.

I doubt we'll get much more than a decaying rain shield with embedded thunder, TBH.
« Last Edit: May 04, 2021, 04:05:36 PM by Thundersnow »

Offline gcbama

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #121 on: May 04, 2021, 04:09:47 PM »
Still a possibility of severe storms here though?

If so it will be very isolated imo, nothing but a big rain shield blob headed our way now, will kill all instability that we had developed it seems

Online 10ec_dad

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #122 on: May 04, 2021, 05:03:39 PM »
Some lightning and soaking rain on the way. If the wind is not too strong, it might be a good night for a covered porch.

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #123 on: May 04, 2021, 06:44:07 PM »
Sure would like to see a velocity scan from about 3 am this morning for Union City. There is stuff tore all to h3ll from Lake County to Henry County. It sure looks like straight line wind about 3 miles wide with spin up tracks. There had to be 100 mph winds. One fatality in Weakly County.

Offline gcbama

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #124 on: May 04, 2021, 07:06:57 PM »
Those west tn cells might have a chance for a few hours out that way to get bumpy, they didn't get worked over by rain this afternoon.

That memphis cell just all alone....
« Last Edit: May 04, 2021, 07:13:51 PM by gcbama »

Offline Bruce

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #125 on: May 04, 2021, 07:35:06 PM »
Those west tn cells might have a chance for a few hours out that way to get bumpy, they didn't get worked over by rain this afternoon.

That memphis cell just all alone....
dont seem to be to bad at the moment.
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline StormNine

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #126 on: May 04, 2021, 08:02:43 PM »
Sure would like to see a velocity scan from about 3 am this morning for Union City. There is stuff tore all to h3ll from Lake County to Henry County. It sure looks like straight line wind about 3 miles wide with spin up tracks. There had to be 100 mph winds. One fatality in Weakly County.

We had 3 confirmed tornadoes in Western KY including an EF-2 in Fulton County.  There may have been 10 tornadoes in Middle TN according to News Channel 5.   

That line was quite the prolific tornado producer.   

Offline StormNine

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #127 on: May 04, 2021, 08:06:18 PM »
Clinton, KY was hit by its first tornado since the 5/27/1917 outbreak this morning. 

Offline gcbama

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #128 on: May 04, 2021, 08:45:58 PM »
Just a discussion topic * No right or wrong answer*

If there really were ten ef0 tornadoes as has been a topic on local news today in midstate, Do you consider that a local "outbreak"

I have a hard time with calling it an actual outbreak in the traditional sense imo.

Offline Bruce

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #129 on: May 04, 2021, 09:31:23 PM »
Just a discussion topic * No right or wrong answer*

If there really were ten ef0 tornadoes as has been a topic on local news today in midstate, Do you consider that a local "outbreak"

I have a hard time with calling it an actual outbreak in the traditional sense imo.
guess you could call it a outbreak of weak tornadoes if there such thing ... imo only
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #130 on: May 04, 2021, 10:20:29 PM »
Just a discussion topic * No right or wrong answer*

If there really were ten ef0 tornadoes as has been a topic on local news today in midstate, Do you consider that a local "outbreak"

I have a hard time with calling it an actual outbreak in the traditional sense imo.

I think it’s possible to overthink it.

If a system spawns multiple tornadoes, it’s an outbreak in my book. Now, it may be a low magnitude outbreak in terms of the effects, but still an outbreak nonetheless.

Offline Navywxman

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #131 on: May 04, 2021, 10:29:35 PM »
Just a discussion topic * No right or wrong answer*

If there really were ten ef0 tornadoes as has been a topic on local news today in midstate, Do you consider that a local "outbreak"

I have a hard time with calling it an actual outbreak in the traditional sense imo.
It fits the definition of an outbreak, regardless of the rated intensity.

Offline StormNine

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #132 on: May 05, 2021, 04:22:09 AM »
I think it’s possible to overthink it.

If a system spawns multiple tornadoes, it’s an outbreak in my book. Now, it may be a low magnitude outbreak in terms of the effects, but still an outbreak nonetheless.

Pretty much my answer.  There was an EF-2 in Fulton County KY so big picture-wise it wasn't all weak tornadoes, but obviously, it was no 2/5/2008 or 3/2-3/3/2020 but it was a widespread severe weather event.  I'm sure the NWS of Memphis will find some things in NW TN as well.   

Offline gcbama

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #133 on: May 05, 2021, 08:18:14 AM »
Pretty much my answer.  There was an EF-2 in Fulton County KY so big picture-wise it wasn't all weak tornadoes, but obviously, it was no 2/5/2008 or 3/2-3/3/2020 but it was a widespread severe weather event.  I'm sure the NWS of Memphis will find some things in NW TN as well.

I love hearing everybody's opinion on things like this, for me I had a hard time thinking that March 2020 was an outbreak because it was just One lone supercell dropping tornadoes instead of multiple storms, but the more I look at it the more I think I might be starting to change my mind on that one

Offline JayCee

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #134 on: May 05, 2021, 12:30:58 PM »
Recorded 2.95" of rain yesterday.  It was welcome moisture.  I had barely over an inch of rain in April, so that made up some of the deficit.

"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

 

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