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Author Topic: 5/4/21 Hailer  (Read 3689 times)

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Offline 10ec_dad

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #105 on: May 04, 2021, 12:24:24 PM »
Looking at weather stations on Wundermap, it is interesting to see the sections of dew points. East of 24, the dew points hover just above 60. South of Birmingham, they are mid 70s and above. It looks like TN west of 65 is around 70.

Offline JayCee

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #106 on: May 04, 2021, 12:27:47 PM »
I doubt we'll reach our forecast high of 81 today, unless the sun suddenly appears.  Still moderate rain falling and only 63 currently.   If we do reach it, it will be an extremely muggy 81 after this much rain.   
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Offline gcbama

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #107 on: May 04, 2021, 12:43:29 PM »
Looking at weather stations on Wundermap, it is interesting to see the sections of dew points. East of 24, the dew points hover just above 60. South of Birmingham, they are mid 70s and above. It looks like TN west of 65 is around 70.
Yeah I am at around 70 myself in lewis county, we shall see if that means anything this afternoon, had filtered sunshine for about 2 hours now, still doesn't have that feel to it yet but that doesn't mean anything

Offline 10ec_dad

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #108 on: May 04, 2021, 12:45:47 PM »
Based on mesa discussion, it looks like north MS will begin firing up soon.

Offline gcbama

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #109 on: May 04, 2021, 01:43:14 PM »
Went to town on lunch, the FEEL is now there, very sticky and warm, it happened fast, 3 hours of sunshine, i would think cape would be up now here at least to the 412 corridor

Offline gcbama

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #110 on: May 04, 2021, 02:08:22 PM »
spc just stuck a fork in chances for a watch in eastern arkansas

Offline 10ec_dad

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #111 on: May 04, 2021, 02:54:22 PM »
20% is not very much confidence for sure.

Offline gcbama

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #112 on: May 04, 2021, 03:12:07 PM »
going to be a lot of flash flooding in Bama

Looks like west of 65 there is decent cape over 1,000 most areas, near 1,500 around tn river area, we shall see what happens , thats sufficient cape, is there enough forcing ?
« Last Edit: May 04, 2021, 03:15:16 PM by gcbama »

Offline 10ec_dad

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #113 on: May 04, 2021, 03:15:02 PM »
I wonder how much rain Chattanooga received so far today.

Offline dwagner88

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #114 on: May 04, 2021, 03:21:11 PM »
I wonder how much rain Chattanooga received so far today.
So far the airport says only 1.28". My PWS is at 1.98". I think we are getting a wake low. It's very blustery and this storm has lasted far longer than anticipated.
« Last Edit: May 04, 2021, 03:29:05 PM by dwagner88 »
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline 10ec_dad

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #115 on: May 04, 2021, 03:37:59 PM »
So far the airport says only 1.28". My PWS is at 1.98". I think we are getting a wake low. It's very blustery and this storm has lasted far longer than anticipated.

Thanks. My two sons live in Chatt and love it.

Offline Vols1

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #116 on: May 04, 2021, 03:42:04 PM »
Well what’s everyone’s thinking on storms west of 65 in Tennessee this afternoon and evening

Offline gcbama

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #117 on: May 04, 2021, 03:42:55 PM »
Well CAMS are now in agreement with radar trends, looks like south of TN border event again, even though cape is in place here west of 65

Mid state has lucked out this year considering how many events could have been much worse than what they were
« Last Edit: May 04, 2021, 03:44:34 PM by gcbama »

Offline Vols1

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #118 on: May 04, 2021, 03:45:46 PM »
Still a possibility of severe storms here though?

Offline 10ec_dad

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Re: 5/4/21 Hailer
« Reply #119 on: May 04, 2021, 03:53:17 PM »
Still a possibility of severe storms here though?

My interp of the NWS 2:30 discussion is that isolated severe are still possible. Some strong storms with wind and localized heavy rain more likely.

Others more experienced can advise.

 

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