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Author Topic: April 2021  (Read 15693 times)

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Offline gcbama

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #210 on: April 15, 2021, 07:59:56 AM »
That was one of the scariest days as far as absolute potential was concerned for the KY/TN border area.  You essentially had March/Early April dynamics and shear with late May instability.  Thankfully the LCL's and Mixing that also saved us on our next High Risk came through on what could have been a horrible day.  I have only felt that dreadful fear on a few other setups since tracking these starting in 2006-07 (e.g. 2/5/08, 4/10/08, 4/27/11, 3/2/12).  Thankfully 3 out of 5 didn't verify to that level (3/2 did but not quite to that level locally) but of course we know what the other 2 did.

The most nervous i ever was was the 2006 outbreak in april, 60% tornado probs over my area tends to get you nervous lol

Offline gcbama

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #211 on: April 15, 2021, 08:38:08 AM »
gotta say these cool crisp mornings we have had sure are beautiful

Offline dwagner88

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #212 on: April 16, 2021, 09:31:46 AM »
Snow flurries Wednesday per GFS. I’m supposed to be driving my car on a racetrack for the first time in my life. Going to be interesting with cold pavement and cold tires.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #213 on: April 16, 2021, 09:38:08 AM »
Snow flurries Wednesday per GFS. I’m supposed to be driving my car on a racetrack for the first time in my life. Going to be interesting with cold pavement and cold tires.

Yeah, looks like some 30s for lows again. We're just not able to get past the risk of frost and freeze just yet.

This is dogwood winter now since the dogwoods are in full bloom. Next week might really be the continuation of this cold pattern since there isn't much of a warm-up in between. It's certainly a reinforcing shot of cold air on the maps. I suppose it might be locust winter next. Blackberry winter should be after that in early May. Surely, we'll be done with frost and freeze by then, but there was a May freeze last year, so we can't rule that out either.


Offline gcbama

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #214 on: April 16, 2021, 10:12:34 AM »
23 years ago today we witnessed one of our worst weather events and our only "recorded" F5

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #215 on: April 16, 2021, 10:35:29 AM »
I sure remember that day well. I guess it's the only time I've viewed a tornado, or at least a rotating wall cloud, with my own eyes.

I was on the campus of Lipscomb University and watched that rotating mass move across downtown.

Offline gcbama

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #216 on: April 16, 2021, 10:50:00 AM »
I sure remember that day well. I guess it's the only time I've viewed a tornado, or at least a rotating wall cloud, with my own eyes.

I was on the campus of Lipscomb University and watched that rotating mass move across downtown.

I have seen two, the scariest was i just happened as a teenager to be riding to my uncles house in southern birmingham metro in april 1998, It was lightning like crazy and as we passed south through malfuntcion junction into birmingham there was a LOT of lightning to the west, I saw in the distance (4-5 miles) the upper half of what was the F5 in oak grove region lit up in the lightning, i was TERRIFIED, and we booked it south in a hurry.

Offline Clay

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #217 on: April 17, 2021, 12:44:42 AM »
I sure remember that day well. I guess it's the only time I've viewed a tornado, or at least a rotating wall cloud, with my own eyes.

I was on the campus of Lipscomb University and watched that rotating mass move across downtown.
Ahh those views from the 8th floor of highrise. Remember all too well.  ;)

Offline StormNine

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #218 on: April 17, 2021, 12:54:55 PM »
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FWDCszNS2dg

Some of our concerns heading into the Summer especially the Western and Central USA.   

Offline Bruce

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #219 on: April 17, 2021, 02:40:41 PM »
Today’s euro starting look interesting ... but it’s day 10  ::coffee::
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Bruce

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #220 on: April 18, 2021, 07:23:33 AM »
0z euro still holding on to a severe wx setup ...longer range ... keep eye on bout the 4 27 timeframe ... date ring a bell ...
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline StormNine

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #221 on: April 18, 2021, 10:24:21 AM »
[ Guests cannot view attachments ]

The pattern after the 27th storm looks quite ripe for MCS/NW Flow action especially if we keep this going into May.  You would probably have impluses running around the Northern Plains/Great Lakes and a weakness in the future death ridge over our area allowing for MCS systems or NW Flow shortwaves to plunge into our region.   


Offline mamMATTus

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #222 on: April 18, 2021, 02:02:42 PM »
I'm loving this weather lately. At the same time I am also bored to tears.

Offline JayCee

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #223 on: April 18, 2021, 02:25:53 PM »
Spent over a week in KY and came to most of the hickories leafed out, and the oaks not far behind.  Interesting to see the differences in tree foliage change over a short distance.  In KY, the trees had just put out the first signs of spring.  North of Morristown, it was much of the same.  Once I moved a little further south toward the Smokies, there was a noticeable difference in how the trees looked, as in much more green and some trees fully leafed out.

Despite the recent rains of March, most of April has been dry.  Quite the flip flop from just a few weeks ago.  Good for farmers, I suppose, to till and prepare the soil for spring plantings--despite winter making a brief visit later this week with frost and even freezes possible. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
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Offline JayCee

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Re: April 2021
« Reply #224 on: April 18, 2021, 02:28:39 PM »
(Attachment Link)

The pattern after the 27th storm looks quite ripe for MCS/NW Flow action especially if we keep this going into May.  You would probably have impluses running around the Northern Plains/Great Lakes and a weakness in the future death ridge over our area allowing for MCS systems or NW Flow shortwaves to plunge into our region.

With most of the west dry or in drought conditions, hopefully that death ridge will stay out of our area this summer, or at least put us on the eastern edge of it. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

 

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