*

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length


Author Topic: March 2021  (Read 12441 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Online gcbama

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,311
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 19
Re: March 2021
« Reply #165 on: March 26, 2021, 07:57:53 AM »
is there going to be a thread for the 10% tornado probs for west of 65 to discuss? Or is everybody still arguing over busts and spc lol

Offline schneitzeit

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,744
  • Location: SW Williamson County
  • Tornado Alley moved SE.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2337
Re: March 2021
« Reply #166 on: March 26, 2021, 07:59:28 AM »
is there going to be a thread for the 10% tornado probs for west of 65 to discuss? Or is everybody still arguing over busts and spc lol

Need to focus on Saturday. I'm in the Enhanced risk.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Online gcbama

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,311
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 19
Re: March 2021
« Reply #167 on: March 26, 2021, 08:06:29 AM »
Need to focus on Saturday. I'm in the Enhanced risk.

stp's on the nam have steadily risen from jackson east to I-65

plus lets not forget our massive history of over preforming in tennessee on slight and enhanced risks heck, even marginal (march 2020) being a prime example
« Last Edit: March 26, 2021, 08:11:43 AM by gcbama »

Online gcbama

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,311
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 19

Offline JayCee

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,761
  • Location: East Sevier County
  • Still a wxfreak
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1862
Re: March 2021
« Reply #169 on: March 26, 2021, 12:54:58 PM »
April fools'!

"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline dwagner88

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,714
  • Location: Chattanooga (East Brainerd) TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 166
Re: March 2021
« Reply #170 on: March 28, 2021, 03:44:36 PM »
Don’t be surprised if we bust high on QPF again on the Tuesday/Wednesday system. The GFS is once again making a last minute adjustment upwards. All of the globals have been low on QPF for all of these systems since mid March.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 12,257
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 609
Re: March 2021
« Reply #171 on: March 29, 2021, 08:28:54 AM »
Some frost in the area this morning. Brief warm-up before next system on Wednesday (hopefully not enough rain to complicate saturated grounds and high rivers from this weekend). That will finish off the month of March, before a cold start to April and subsequent warm-up again by the weekend.

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 12,257
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 609
Re: March 2021
« Reply #172 on: March 29, 2021, 08:31:32 AM »
Well, there's this from the OHX AFD:

Quote
This will be primarily a rain event,
which is not something we want with the ground still saturated and
rivers and streams running so full. At this time, storm total QPF
from Tuesday evening through Wednesday ranges from 1" to 1.5",
which would ordinarily be no cause for alarm. But many areas will
be ill-equipped to bear the additional burden of more rainfall.

Offline schneitzeit

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,744
  • Location: SW Williamson County
  • Tornado Alley moved SE.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2337
Re: March 2021
« Reply #173 on: March 29, 2021, 09:15:13 AM »
Well, there's this from the OHX AFD:

That's not good. Places like Ensworth @ Bellevue were (and might still be) submerged. The stress of 1-2" of additional rainfall is really going to hurt these low-lying areas.

I heard on Lightning 100 driving in to work this morning that a locality north of Franklin measured 8.66" of rain. The May 2010 event was something like 15-20" for the same area, but this past weekend's rain event was no joke.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 12,257
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 609
Re: March 2021
« Reply #174 on: March 29, 2021, 08:57:34 PM »
OHX has issued a flash flood watch for Middle TN Tuesday night through Wednesday night.

Online gcbama

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,311
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 19
Re: March 2021
« Reply #175 on: March 30, 2021, 08:00:47 AM »
OHX has issued a flash flood watch for Middle TN Tuesday night through Wednesday night.

It sure won't take much to make things just a bit worse

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 12,257
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 609
Re: March 2021
« Reply #176 on: March 30, 2021, 08:10:47 AM »
NWS sites seem to be having issues.

Offline joemomma

  • Severe Thunderstorm
  • ****
  • Posts: 457
  • Location: Putnam County
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 90
Re: March 2021
« Reply #177 on: March 30, 2021, 10:58:34 AM »
NWS sites seem to be having issues.

Yep, our zone forecast is unavailable.

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 12,257
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 609
Re: March 2021
« Reply #178 on: March 30, 2021, 11:23:25 AM »
It's working now.

Online gcbama

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,311
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 19
Re: March 2021
« Reply #179 on: March 30, 2021, 11:58:12 AM »
nice to see an event come through with only 2% tornado probs!

Although crazier things have happened ( putnam county) seems to be a general t storm issue with more heavy rain :(

 

*

April 2021
by gcbama
[Today at 03:47:20 PM]
Severe Weather Experiences
by gcbama
[Yesterday at 08:43:45 AM]
Your Ideas on Better Severe Weather Communications Methodology
by Eric
[April 12, 2021, 11:21:08 AM]
April 8-9 Severe Risk (mainly South of TN)
by Charles L.
[April 09, 2021, 09:01:54 PM]
4/8/2021 Plateau Tornadoes
by gcbama
[April 09, 2021, 04:55:50 PM]