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I wasn't discounting that, just stating the area basically saw only 1 significant supercell split between the chaos to the north & the morning disrespect in the Huntsville area that pummeled Chattanooga as well.
No worries! It's so interesting though to me how in the past year we had two f3+ supercell tornadoes in the south in what was considered marginal to barely slight risk environment . You just never know
Bruce will go big. He'll drive out to Oklahoma and storm the Storm Prediction Center in Norman.
Every deadly tornado in Kentucky or Tennessee in the last five years has occurred during a Marginal, Slight, or Enhanced Risk.With low-amp troughs that is what you have to watch for those classic Oh **** Slight/Enhanced Risk events. It may not always be the sexy sub 990mb low in Iowa that is your textbook Moderate to High Risk. Backed winds, solid moisture return, at least decent to good shear, and just 500-700 CAPE can take of business just like our more highly sheared/unstable events can.
Other than somewhat wet at times, it's looking like a calm first half of March to me... nothing particularly interesting on the temperature side of things (50s-60s for highs with 40s for lows). I still don't see much to write home about on either severe or winter weather fronts... just a generous hydration of soils and water tables as we move into early spring.Hopefully, there will be some nice days between systems.
severe Weather starts second week March... and winter is done here . Guess wet times for now appears ...
Book it! Bruce can you pinpoint the locations that will be seeing Severe weather in 3 weeks?