*

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length


Author Topic: March 2021  (Read 3276 times)

0 Members and 4 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,963
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2804
Re: March 2021
« Reply #60 on: Yesterday at 07:27:59 AM »
good article over on yahoo news and also msn,,, bill bunting chief forecaster for SPC explains on this up coming severe season, saying dont get fooled bout the slow start, 2011 actually started out little slower he said. also describes the most intesnse severe wether will be centered over the midouth and tennessee valleys and dixie regions. sounds like per bunting april through most may will be very active with above normal chances for violent tornadoes in the mentioned regions ::coffee:: also the ohio valley region was another area be watched this spring.
« Last Edit: Yesterday at 07:31:16 AM by Bruce »
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline JayCee

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,630
  • Location: East Sevier County
  • Still a wxfreak
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1786
Re: March 2021
« Reply #61 on: Yesterday at 11:08:33 AM »
12Z GFS has another very heavy rain event just to our south around March 18-20th, associated with a strong upper level low that slowly wobbles over the lower Mississippi Valley into the Southeast.  It's concerning, because the previous heavy rain event was depicted over TN by the GFS in it's long range, but it shifted more into KY in reality.  It wouldn't take much of a northward shift to put this new heavy rain axis over TN. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline pandadug

  • Sunny
  • *
  • Posts: 47
  • Location: La Vergne
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 0
Re: March 2021
« Reply #62 on: Yesterday at 02:22:35 PM »
I was just thinking: some people (like me) would spend $2000-$4000 to ride out west, desperately searching for a tornado to pop up so they can see it in person, but do everything they can to avoid one if it shows up in their area.  ::scratch::

Offline dwagner88

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 3,657
  • Location: Chattanooga (East Brainerd) TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 162
Re: March 2021
« Reply #63 on: Yesterday at 04:03:15 PM »
I was just thinking: some people (like me) would spend $2000-$4000 to ride out west, desperately searching for a tornado to pop up so they can see it in person, but do everything they can to avoid one if it shows up in their area.  ::scratch::
We need a “super like” button. Get that damaging crap away from me. After last year, we are at 3 EF3+ tornadoes here in the last decade. The 2011 Apison EF4 was only 6 mph away from EF5. The 2012 Harrison EF3 was just barely shy of EF4. Last year’s East Brainerd EF3 was on the verge of EF4. Makes one think seriously about moving.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,963
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2804
Re: March 2021
« Reply #64 on: Today at 05:56:52 AM »
SPC already has a multiple 3 day risk west of here . Day 5 day6 and a day 7...
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline gcbama

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,903
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 17
Re: March 2021
« Reply #65 on: Today at 08:04:36 AM »
good article over on yahoo news and also msn,,, bill bunting chief forecaster for SPC explains on this up coming severe season, saying dont get fooled bout the slow start, 2011 actually started out little slower he said. also describes the most intesnse severe wether will be centered over the midouth and tennessee valleys and dixie regions. sounds like per bunting april through most may will be very active with above normal chances for violent tornadoes in the mentioned regions ::coffee:: also the ohio valley region was another area be watched this spring.

I don't think it's really too slow of a start really bruce, it's not even the middle of march yet, things really usually get going end of march through mid may around here, hope nobody is discounting that fact, peak season in this region is from about now until early and mid may, hopefully everybody in this area already knows that and will pay attention for future threats!

Offline Navywxman

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,274
  • Location: St. Louis, MO
  • US Navy meteorologist
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 97
Re: March 2021
« Reply #66 on: Today at 08:50:09 AM »
I don't think it's really too slow of a start really bruce, it's not even the middle of march yet, things really usually get going end of march through mid may around here, hope nobody is discounting that fact, peak season in this region is from about now until early and mid may, hopefully everybody in this area already knows that and will pay attention for future threats!
Well, it's hard to shake the fact we've have only 25 tornadoes confirmed so far this year, versus 97 by the end of February in 2011. We're well under the average of 64 by the end of February for the United States, so we're off to a very slow start compared to average, and not even 1/3 the total to this point in 2011.

Offline gcbama

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,903
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 17
Re: March 2021
« Reply #67 on: Today at 08:54:43 AM »
Well, it's hard to shake the fact we've have only 25 tornadoes confirmed so far this year, versus 97 by the end of February in 2011. We're well under the average of 64 by the end of February for the United States, so we're off to a very slow start compared to average, and not even 1/3 the total to this point in 2011.

True it is a slow start no doubt,  but not earth shatteringly slow to me, We know it will all ramp up soon, where exactly it sets up is the question

Offline schneitzeit

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,621
  • Location: SW Williamson County
  • Tornado Alley moved SE.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2217
Re: March 2021
« Reply #68 on: Today at 08:59:37 AM »
Well, it's hard to shake the fact we've have only 25 tornadoes confirmed so far this year, versus 97 by the end of February in 2011. We're well under the average of 64 by the end of February for the United States, so we're off to a very slow start compared to average, and not even 1/3 the total to this point in 2011.

Praise that cold wave last month.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline gcbama

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,903
  • Location: Lewis County Tn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 17
Re: March 2021
« Reply #69 on: Today at 09:07:48 AM »
Praise that cold wave last month.

yep, it had a major impact on severe season initiation time

Offline Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,963
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2804
Re: March 2021
« Reply #70 on: Today at 09:40:35 AM »
Well, it's hard to shake the fact we've have only 25 tornadoes confirmed so far this year, versus 97 by the end of February in 2011. We're well under the average of 64 by the end of February for the United States, so we're off to a very slow start compared to average, and not even 1/3 the total to this point in 2011.
yeah but things just now starting to ramp up now. When it does expect all **** to break loose . To think not even spring time yet...
« Last Edit: Today at 09:48:56 AM by Bruce »
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Eric

  • IF THE NAM VERIFIES
  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 15,282
  • Location: MTSU by day, Morrison by night
  • Call sign: KJ4IXE
    • My Blog...
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 972
Re: March 2021
« Reply #71 on: Today at 09:41:36 AM »
yeah but things just now starting to ramp up now. When it does expect all **** to break loose

*saves post for later*
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Warren Cos. (@WarrenSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

Offline Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,963
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2804
Re: March 2021
« Reply #72 on: Today at 09:45:25 AM »
*saves post for later*
ok...sure you be reminded. Lol
« Last Edit: Today at 11:13:04 AM by Bruce »
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 12,082
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 586
Re: March 2021
« Reply #73 on: Today at 10:40:00 AM »
Looking forward to this week's pleasant temperatures.

Since some are interested in a focused discussion on next week's cooldown, that thread is here: https://tennesseewx.com/index.php/topic,4034.msg259564/topicseen.html#new.

Otherwise, any other possible weather this month can continue in this space.

Offline David

  • Administrator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,396
  • Location: Nashville TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1
Re: March 2021
« Reply #74 on: Today at 02:14:38 PM »
yeah but things just now starting to ramp up now. When it does expect all **** to break loose . To think not even spring time yet...

BRUCE WHEN WILL YOU LEARN MAKING BASELY CLAIMS?

 

*

March 2021
by David
[Today at 02:14:38 PM]
Mid-March 2021 Cold/Wintry Chances (week of 3/15) Severe vs Winter Epic Battle Month
by schneitzeit
[Today at 01:27:18 PM]
Winter 2020-2021 Fame and Infamy Candidates!
by StormNine
[March 06, 2021, 03:09:26 PM]
March 3, 2020 Tornado Outbreak
by mamMATTus
[March 05, 2021, 09:50:14 PM]
BloomSky Weather Stations
by ryandourius
[March 05, 2021, 02:05:17 AM]