March 2021

[Bruce]

good article over on yahoo news and also msn,,, bill bunting chief forecaster for SPC explains on this up coming severe season, saying dont get fooled bout the slow start, 2011 actually started out little slower he said. also describes the most intesnse severe wether will be centered over the midouth and tennessee valleys and dixie regions. sounds like per bunting april through most may will be very active with above normal chances for violent tornadoes in the mentioned regions also the ohio valley region was another area be watched this spring.

[JayCee]

12Z GFS has another very heavy rain event just to our south around March 18-20th, associated with a strong upper level low that slowly wobbles over the lower Mississippi Valley into the Southeast.  It's concerning, because the previous heavy rain event was depicted over TN by the GFS in it's long range, but it shifted more into KY in reality.  It wouldn't take much of a northward shift to put this new heavy rain axis over TN. 

[pandadug]

I was just thinking: some people (like me) would spend $2000-$4000 to ride out west, desperately searching for a tornado to pop up so they can see it in person, but do everything they can to avoid one if it shows up in their area. 

[dwagner88]

I was just thinking: some people (like me) would spend $2000-$4000 to ride out west, desperately searching for a tornado to pop up so they can see it in person, but do everything they can to avoid one if it shows up in their area. 

We need a “super like” button. Get that damaging crap away from me. After last year, we are at 3 EF3+ tornadoes here in the last decade. The 2011 Apison EF4 was only 6 mph away from EF5. The 2012 Harrison EF3 was just barely shy of EF4. Last year’s East Brainerd EF3 was on the verge of EF4. Makes one think seriously about moving.

[Bruce]

SPC already has a multiple 3 day risk west of here . Day 5 day6 and a day 7...

[gcbama]

good article over on yahoo news and also msn,,, bill bunting chief forecaster for SPC explains on this up coming severe season, saying dont get fooled bout the slow start, 2011 actually started out little slower he said. also describes the most intesnse severe wether will be centered over the midouth and tennessee valleys and dixie regions. sounds like per bunting april through most may will be very active with above normal chances for violent tornadoes in the mentioned regions also the ohio valley region was another area be watched this spring.

I don't think it's really too slow of a start really bruce, it's not even the middle of march yet, things really usually get going end of march through mid may around here, hope nobody is discounting that fact, peak season in this region is from about now until early and mid may, hopefully everybody in this area already knows that and will pay attention for future threats!

[Navywxman]

I don't think it's really too slow of a start really bruce, it's not even the middle of march yet, things really usually get going end of march through mid may around here, hope nobody is discounting that fact, peak season in this region is from about now until early and mid may, hopefully everybody in this area already knows that and will pay attention for future threats!

Well, it's hard to shake the fact we've have only 25 tornadoes confirmed so far this year, versus 97 by the end of February in 2011. We're well under the average of 64 by the end of February for the United States, so we're off to a very slow start compared to average, and not even 1/3 the total to this point in 2011.

[gcbama]

Well, it's hard to shake the fact we've have only 25 tornadoes confirmed so far this year, versus 97 by the end of February in 2011. We're well under the average of 64 by the end of February for the United States, so we're off to a very slow start compared to average, and not even 1/3 the total to this point in 2011.

True it is a slow start no doubt,  but not earth shatteringly slow to me, We know it will all ramp up soon, where exactly it sets up is the question

[schneitzeit]

Well, it's hard to shake the fact we've have only 25 tornadoes confirmed so far this year, versus 97 by the end of February in 2011. We're well under the average of 64 by the end of February for the United States, so we're off to a very slow start compared to average, and not even 1/3 the total to this point in 2011.

Praise that cold wave last month.

[gcbama]

Praise that cold wave last month.

yep, it had a major impact on severe season initiation time

[Bruce]

Well, it's hard to shake the fact we've have only 25 tornadoes confirmed so far this year, versus 97 by the end of February in 2011. We're well under the average of 64 by the end of February for the United States, so we're off to a very slow start compared to average, and not even 1/3 the total to this point in 2011.

yeah but things just now starting to ramp up now. When it does expect all **** to break loose . To think not even spring time yet...

[Eric]

yeah but things just now starting to ramp up now. When it does expect all **** to break loose

*saves post for later*

[Bruce]

*saves post for later*

ok...sure you be reminded. Lol

[Thundersnow]

Looking forward to this week's pleasant temperatures.

Since some are interested in a focused discussion on next week's cooldown, that thread is here: https://tennesseewx.com/index.php/topic,4034.msg259564/topicseen.html#new.

Otherwise, any other possible weather this month can continue in this space.

[David]

yeah but things just now starting to ramp up now. When it does expect all **** to break loose . To think not even spring time yet...

BRUCE WHEN WILL YOU LEARN MAKING BASELY CLAIMS?