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Author Topic: Long Range Discussion: Spring 2021  (Read 4506 times)

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Offline Eric

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #30 on: February 17, 2021, 08:52:02 PM »
I can't hang on to the cliff for very long. Need more info ASAP!!

Andy is the harbinger of doom.  And sadly, we're all here for it.
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Offline Matthew

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #31 on: February 17, 2021, 09:42:56 PM »
Ok I like winter.  It has no tornadoes!

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #32 on: February 17, 2021, 09:43:32 PM »
Ok I like winter.  It has no tornadoes!

False
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline jwr2914

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #33 on: February 17, 2021, 10:12:19 PM »
Ok I like winter.  It has no tornadoes!

Feb. 5th 2008!
Humboldt, TN (Gibson County).

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Offline Bruce

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #34 on: February 17, 2021, 10:40:04 PM »
January 17 th 1999. January 22! 1999
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Matthew

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #35 on: February 17, 2021, 11:02:19 PM »
Thanks for reminding me. 

Offline andyhb

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #36 on: February 18, 2021, 12:26:19 AM »
I'll just say that the background state this year is more favorable for significant severe weather outbreaks east of the Mississippi River than any since 2011 and leave it at that. Whether the synoptic pattern takes advantage of that remains to be seen, but I don't have a great feeling about what is around the corner in March and April.
Dynamic upper level troughs with adequate warm sector instability

Offline Eric

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #37 on: February 18, 2021, 12:32:46 AM »
January 30, 2913.
#tSpotter Coordinator for Rutherford and Warren Cos. (@WarrenSevereWx and @RuthSevereWx)

Offline Bruce

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #38 on: February 18, 2021, 12:38:07 AM »
January 30, 2913.
this needs be taken serious.  Please
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline DocB

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #39 on: February 18, 2021, 06:52:50 AM »
this needs be taken serious.  Please
Must be contagious. James Spann's morning video he says its "Friday" Feb 18.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #40 on: February 18, 2021, 06:53:54 AM »
Must be contagious. James Spann's morning video he says its "Friday" Feb 18.

The snow's got everyone high.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline DocB

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #41 on: February 18, 2021, 06:57:38 AM »
The snow's got everyone high.
I grew up in the 70'/80's - that was a different kind of 'snow'

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #42 on: February 18, 2021, 07:43:41 AM »
Must be contagious. James Spann's morning video he says its "Friday" Feb 18.

It seems like Friday. This has been the longest week ever, but somehow it

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #43 on: February 18, 2021, 08:00:07 AM »
I'll just say that the background state this year is more favorable for significant severe weather outbreaks east of the Mississippi River than any since 2011 and leave it at that. Whether the synoptic pattern takes advantage of that remains to be seen, but I don't have a great feeling about what is around the corner in March and April.

We were coming out of a La Nina back in 2011, IIRC, though the Nina from the 10-11 winter was much stronger than this year's. Nina winters are infamous for leading into destructive spring outbreaks.

What other factors are setting us up? Teach me what I don't know. We've got a stubborn SER supplying the warm air to our region (thanks to the MJO doing laps in phases 5, 6 and 7), Arctic cold in the Southern Plains, and certainly no lack of moisture. To an amateur like me, that's the extent of my knowledge.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline Bruce

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Re: Spring 2021
« Reply #44 on: February 18, 2021, 08:27:43 AM »
This thread going get buisy soon. Not talking bout all the pretty flowers blooming and birds singing either kind of way ...
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

 

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