January 2021

[Beth]

Yeah, if we can't have snow, 60 and sunny is a-ok in my book. I don't like cold without the white stuff. And I think we all agree it's better than 33 and rain.

The only gripe I have about warm weather now is the effect it has on plants later. My fruit trees have taken a beating the past several years due to warm February's and hard freezes in March.

And the bugs!  Last summer was horrible as we had no long cold spells and looking like the same this year.  Hopefully February will be a cold one with lots of snow. If not then sunshine and 60 please!!! And lots of bug spray!

[Curt]

Quality update from BAMwx. Nice job explaining what they expect, but also what could give us some hope for a wintry week in the middle of February.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?hd=1&v=2TW3x6T0rE8&feature=youtu.be&ab_channel=BAMWX

Looks like the MJO could finally swing into colder phases per longer range Euro. That should promote a neutral to negative EPO although PNA looks to stay negative which would provide some resistance. The most likely period looks around February 8th and after. Euro Control has been latching on to overrunning with Arctic air on the move into the central plains.

[Coach B]

Euro Control has been latching on to overrunning with Arctic air on the move into the central plains.

GFS has had that look a couple of times as well. We'll see:

[schneitzeit]

Came to post about the MJO, but glad to see it's being discussed. This would be great. We couldn't get the MJO to move out of phase 5 for the life of us last winter.

(Click to view)

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[rkhvoljohnsoncity]

We have a winter storm watch for the East Tennessee mountains Wednesday night for 4 inches of snow. They are calling for 1-3 inches in Johnson City. We will see


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[StormNine]

The Sierra Nevada region and the Cascades of Northern California are getting plastered.  Winter Storm Warnings and Blizzard Warnings everywhere with as much snow as what is meteorologically possible from one system.  That will really help that area out to at least get close to being caught up for the water year.   

[rkhvoljohnsoncity]

Johnson City has a winter weather advisory tonight for 3 inches of snow.  We will soon see


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[Matthew]

This pattern is like ground hog day.  Repeating itself.  Cold rains yay! 

[rkhvoljohnsoncity]

Every snow seems elevation based. Above 3,500 feet they are calling for up to 8 inches with 3 inches at 1,800 feet in Johnson City. It is close to the Christmas Eve snow we got but not near as cold


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[Thundersnow]

See the visible satellite animation (time sensitive, of course) to see some prominent snow cover showing up from Southern IL/MO north into the upper Midwest, between the weather systems.

[rkhvoljohnsoncity]

Not looked at any long range trends. I know Minnesota looks to finally be getting some shots of true attic air over the next 2 weeks but I know that doesn

[rkhvoljohnsoncity]

Artic air, can

[snowdog]

Artic air, can

[Curt]

[rkhvoljohnsoncity]

Wow, my phone got me the first time and I left out the c the second time, lol. Looks like the cold air that will finally cross over into the northern part of the lower 48 stays there and we actually look warmer now. Just can