*

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length


Author Topic: January 2021  (Read 42425 times)

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline snowdog

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,576
  • Location: Mt. Juliet, TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 260
Re: January 2021
« Reply #825 on: January 22, 2021, 11:49:04 AM »
I just started watching them.  They are young and seem to be a bit defensive but we get that way here too. Going to give them a chance.

What I like is they explain why they are breaking with the weather models. A lot of mets have become model watchers and the better modeling gets, the more this will happen. We even saw this with OHX during the last "event", if you can call it that, they kept refiguring their map as new modeling came out however their initial gut feel was probably right all along.

Offline schneitzeit

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,620
  • Location: SW Williamson County
  • Tornado Alley moved SE.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2217
Re: January 2021
« Reply #826 on: January 22, 2021, 01:36:23 PM »
That storm on January 28/29 is almost a Nor'easter, according to the latest run of the CMC.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Online Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,636
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 0
Re: January 2021
« Reply #827 on: January 22, 2021, 01:44:14 PM »
Well, people were coming at them for their forecast considering the -AO/-NAO and SSW occurring but they held firm. Yeah, they are young and a little brash in their defense of their ideas...but they are good at what they do. They were really good last winter, that is when I found them.
They actually jumped all over the AO and NAO in early January then backed off. I don

Offline Flash

Re: January 2021
« Reply #828 on: January 23, 2021, 08:20:45 AM »
I'm not saying our VA will see any wintry precip through 2/1; however, I will be curious if any suppression trends (see 0z Euro) develop for the 1/26-1/28 storm. How far south will the rain/snow line be and will our friends north of the border cash in? Just a few things to watch if you have the means to snowchase next week. I'd rather lose my games 24-21 in OT than a 41-0 blowout.
« Last Edit: January 23, 2021, 08:24:09 AM by Flash »
"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Offline StormNine

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 5,049
  • Location: Hopkinsville KY/ Bowling Green KY
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 190
Re: January 2021
« Reply #829 on: January 23, 2021, 11:19:02 AM »
The GFS took a more suppressed and stronger trend in the 12Z.  It actually shows accumulating snowfall in the NW corner of TN for Wednesday.

It is now a system of interest for Western KY and far NW TN.

Online Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,963
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2803
Re: January 2021
« Reply #830 on: January 23, 2021, 11:23:23 AM »
The GFS took a more suppressed and stronger trend in the 12Z.  It actually shows accumulating snowfall in the NW corner of TN for Wednesday.

It is now a system of interest for Western KY and far NW TN.
sure the euro will be completely different lol
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,727
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 734
Re: January 2021
« Reply #831 on: January 23, 2021, 11:29:09 AM »
The GFS took a more suppressed and stronger trend in the 12Z.  It actually shows accumulating snowfall in the NW corner of TN for Wednesday.

It is now a system of interest for Western KY and far NW TN.
I posted about this in the wrong thread . ::bangingheadintowall:: . GFS also continues to have a bomb in the long range.

Offline Flash

Re: January 2021
« Reply #832 on: January 23, 2021, 11:35:19 AM »
The GFS took a more suppressed and stronger trend in the 12Z.  It actually shows accumulating snowfall in the NW corner of TN for Wednesday.

It is now a system of interest for Western KY and far NW TN.

Yep. Had you in mind when I posted earlier. I'm really hoping western KY can score on this one. Have some good connects Hopkinsville up through Madisonville on route to Evansville. Hopin' I can get back on the Pennyrile at some point.
"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Online Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,963
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2803
Re: January 2021
« Reply #833 on: January 23, 2021, 11:37:40 AM »
Yep. Had you in mind when I posted earlier. I'm really hoping western KY can score on this one. Have some good connects Hopkinsville up through Madisonville on route to Evansville. Hopin' I can get back on the Pennyrile at some point.
could be a st.louis late season special brewing ...
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Nashville_Wx

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,863
  • Location: Bellevue,TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 269
Re: January 2021
« Reply #834 on: January 23, 2021, 02:59:26 PM »
could be a st.louis late season special brewing ...

*Mid Season


Online Bruce

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,963
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2803
Re: January 2021
« Reply #835 on: January 23, 2021, 03:44:55 PM »
*Mid Season
not much difference when it comes to a cruddy winter like this again. think you left a letter out.  letter L
« Last Edit: January 23, 2021, 04:03:54 PM by BRUCE »
BRING ON SEVERE WEATHER SEASON..

Offline Nashville_Wx

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,863
  • Location: Bellevue,TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 269
Re: January 2021
« Reply #836 on: January 23, 2021, 05:41:55 PM »
not much difference when it comes to a cruddy winter like this again. think you left a letter out.  letter L

Are you missing a chromosome?


Offline JayCee

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,630
  • Location: East Sevier County
  • Still a wxfreak
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1786
Re: January 2021
« Reply #837 on: January 23, 2021, 07:20:16 PM »
Sunny with temps in the 40's today.  Nothing epic or wild in terms of winter weather.  But it's a day of living and breathing on the 3rd planet from the Sun.  I'll take it, and love it. 
"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline Nashville_Wx

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,863
  • Location: Bellevue,TN
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 269
Re: January 2021
« Reply #838 on: January 23, 2021, 07:40:22 PM »
Sunny with temps in the 40's today.  Nothing epic or wild in terms of winter weather.  But it's a day of living and breathing on the 3rd planet from the Sun.  I'll take it, and love it.

It was nice here today. Low 40's low wind, nice to fly the drone around in.


Offline bugalou

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,601
  • Location: Southaven, MS
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 220
Re: January 2021
« Reply #839 on: January 23, 2021, 10:42:13 PM »
Man the pattern had potential but there is just not quite enough cold air in Canada to get the low levels cold seeps this far south.
I am going to get homicidal if the VA snow storm verifies that would.  be several winters in a row with significant snow tracks to the north and south of TN with us just getting screwed in the process.

If there is any hope its that the teleconnection forecasts have not been great (and thus where we are now) but it also mean the warm look for feb may premature. I never say die on winter here until about the second week of march so I will continue to be hopeful for something.

Lastly, has anyone else noticed how the NE winter weenies are like that drunk attention starved girl at the club on twitter?  Its so hard to get pro forecasters to even bother to look at storms beyond the mid Atlantic and New England and it makes me ragey sometimes. ::bangingheadintowall::

 

*

Mid-March 2021 Cold/Wintry Chances (week of 3/15) Severe vs Winter Epic Battle Month
by Bruce
[Today at 11:31:31 AM]
March 2021
by Thundersnow
[Today at 10:40:00 AM]
Winter 2020-2021 Fame and Infamy Candidates!
by StormNine
[March 06, 2021, 03:09:26 PM]
March 3, 2020 Tornado Outbreak
by mamMATTus
[March 05, 2021, 09:50:14 PM]
BloomSky Weather Stations
by ryandourius
[March 05, 2021, 02:05:17 AM]