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Interesting storm on the 0z GFS. Of course it's not for us and it's over 200 hours out, but the model is showing a noreaster undergoing bombogenesis and absolutely throwing a ton of snow across the northeast. At 213 the SLP is in south central KY at 996. 24 hours later the SLP is in prime position off of the east coast at 970. That's 26 mb within 24 hours (Attachment Link)
The long range through February 3rd is looking like last year except a little cooler. The Pacific is screwing us big time it appears. How many winters in a row is that going to happen. It seems every year now it locks in out west regardless of a Greenland block or not. I think the chance of winter events is fading away when 7 days ago it looked very promising. It seems to always trend warmer and never colder. Just not sure what pattern we need to bring winter our waySent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Some Tennessee counties have been drier than normal, so the coming rains will help with that.https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?TN
Euro has a system could be first severe wx this season. Especially for the south 25. 26 th period . Dew points easily getting in the low to mid 60 range approaching north ms.
models are actually backing off on the overall precip it was showing . That
A good amount of precip will fall over the next 10 days. European still showing a mean of over 3" of rainfall. GFS Ensemble vs Yesterday through day 10 show a increase in QPF....
was showing over 5 inches two days ago