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Author Topic: January 2021  (Read 25786 times)

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Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #645 on: January 13, 2021, 01:33:18 PM »
Pretty good pattern thoughts from DT:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cq_mmGlRalY&ab_channel=DTwxrisk
I hope he is right, maybe the lag time with the SSW is just taking a little longer than we expected. The last of January into the first 7-10 days of Feb is still a good time for us climo wise. I do still think the back half of Feb goes warm, but if we could get a good 2 weeks of action I would be happy. The period from the 22nd to the 28th has to start bringing the goods I would think, we don't need the start time pushed into Feb it's gets more risky at that point in my opinion. But the last 7-10 days of Jan through the first 7-10 days of Feb could be sweet if it happens during that time frame.The maps projecting the overrunning scenario were exciting.::fingerscrossed::  ::popcorn::  ::snowman::
« Last Edit: January 13, 2021, 01:42:40 PM by Clarksville Snowman »

Offline Coach B

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #646 on: January 13, 2021, 01:37:45 PM »
I hope he is right, maybe the lag time for the SSW is just a little longer than we expected. The last of January into the first 7-10 days of Feb is still a good time for us climo wise.

I'm pretty sure I remember reading from Cohen that the lag time was as much as 25-30 days for the effects of a SSW to potentially be felt in the eastern US. That would put us in the first week of February.

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #647 on: January 13, 2021, 02:39:37 PM »
I hope he is right, maybe the lag time with the SSW is just taking a little longer than we expected. The last of January into the first 7-10 days of Feb is still a good time for us climo wise. I do still think the back half of Feb goes warm, but if we could get a good 2 weeks of action I would be happy. The period from the 22nd to the 28th has to start bringing the goods I would think, we don't need the start time pushed into Feb it's gets more risky at that point in my opinion. But the last 7-10 days of Jan through the first 7-10 days of Feb could be sweet if it happens during that time frame.The maps projecting the overrunning scenario were exciting.::fingerscrossed::  ::popcorn::  ::snowman::

Be careful sharing an opinion that is even slightly negative, you will get bashed :) .

Offline bugalou

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #648 on: January 13, 2021, 02:52:25 PM »
Pretty good pattern thoughts from DT:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cq_mmGlRalY&ab_channel=DTwxrisk
This further reenforces my thoughts on ice.  Someone is going to get wacked by an icestorm in this kind of pattern.  Of course to the north of that will be some good snows too.  Over all I like the way things look for us over the next few weeks.

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #649 on: January 13, 2021, 03:16:35 PM »
never underestimate the power of shade lol, i still have around a quarter inch of snow from the first ULL in all shady areas of my yard lol

Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #650 on: January 13, 2021, 06:30:43 PM »
Be careful sharing an opinion that is even slightly negative, you will get bashed :) .
What was negative? Everyone on here knows I love snow. I see no negative. ::shrug::

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #651 on: January 13, 2021, 06:41:15 PM »
What was negative? Everyone on here knows I love snow. I see no negative. ::shrug::

you weren't negative at all to me lol, but i made a similar type of comment recently and got some comments at me , some people just get their feathers ruffled easy :)

Offline BRUCE

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #652 on: January 13, 2021, 06:44:53 PM »
you weren't negative at all to me lol, but i made a similar type of comment recently and got some comments at me , some people just get their feathers ruffled easy :)
what if someone is negative... I mean this winter been pretty plain this far . Hope for better we see as we move forward
Come on severe wx season...

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #653 on: January 13, 2021, 07:00:05 PM »
The NAM and RGEM want us to look at this coming weekend for some light accumulations. We'll see.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #654 on: January 13, 2021, 07:53:19 PM »
what if someone is negative... I mean this winter been pretty plain this far . Hope for better we see as we move forward
You know me, I am glass half full guy and I am hopeful for the end of Jan-beginning of Feb. But living here all my life I am a realist when I have to be when it comes to the weather. It has been cooler and some places that usually don't get snow have gotten it so far, but we all look out for our own areas as well. At least we have had a few things to track and I do think things are going to pick up here soon for at least a few weeks hopefully. I just believe if we haven't had a good storm by the end of the 2nd week of Feb we are probably not going to see it. Again give me a snow in late feb and early march I will gladly say I was wrong. ::snowman::

Offline Thundersnow

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Offline snowdog

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #656 on: January 13, 2021, 08:56:54 PM »
https://www.wkrn.com/news/local-news/warming-above-the-arctic-circle-could-mean-snow-several-weeks-from-now

"So keep an eye out toward the end of this month. Somewhere in the United States, possibly even the mid-south could see a major snowstorm."

Don't go too far out on that limb, Davis. Geez.

Online Flash

Re: January 2021
« Reply #657 on: January 13, 2021, 09:07:19 PM »
"So keep an eye out toward the end of this month. Somewhere in the United States, possibly even the mid-south could see a major snowstorm."

Don't go too far out on that limb, Davis. Geez.

He said "could" so by today's standards, he's covered. ;)
"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #658 on: January 13, 2021, 09:08:41 PM »
"So keep an eye out toward the end of this month. Somewhere in the United States, possibly even the mid-south could see a major snowstorm."

Don't go too far out on that limb, Davis. Geez.

Good ol davis, he loves winter events!

Offline Michael

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #659 on: January 13, 2021, 09:18:42 PM »


Little Rock snow drought. Memphis International is in the same boat currently although localized areas around here have had minor 1-3 inch events in November 2018 and again in February 2020. The 90’s were atrocious in Little Rock - and here too actually. But good to know there are plenty of droughts NOT in the current (or close to)100 year period. Little Rock actually has turned things around there until the last 2 crappy years. Nothing beats Birmingham’s nearly 3000 day snow drought from 2000-2008.
Look at #1 and #10. Appears they had one 1”+ snow in 2900 days.


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