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Author Topic: January 2021  (Read 25165 times)

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Offline schneitzeit

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #630 on: January 12, 2021, 08:06:01 PM »
American cities getting the shaft (snow dome/ well below normal snow):

Rochester, NY
Atlantic City, NJ
Washington, DC
Virginia Beach/Norfolk, VA
Charlotte, NC
Raleigh, NC
Nashville, TN
Memphis, TN
Chattanooga, TN
Cincinnati, OH
Louisville, KY
Evansville, IN
Indianapolis, IN
Chicago, IL
Kalamazoo, MI
St. Louis, MO
Little Rock, AR
Texarkana, AR
Williston, ND
Salt Lake City, UT
Portland, OR

Updated list. Using my best idea of where these cities are located, plus weather records and observations from you all, this is what I've come up with. The biggest loser so far this winter might just be the suburbs just to the west of Rochester, NY. They average more than 70" of snow per season, and they haven't even gotten more than some areas in Middle Tennessee per the map. I checked Rochester's wx records and they report 12" since July 1. That's well below normal.

Rural areas such as western North Dakota, north-central Kansas, central Michigan, and a large swath of Missouri, llinois, and Indiana have less than many of us Tennessee have reported so far. Western Kentucky, too, has sat out this winter. That could quickly change, but it has been a very lousy winter for much of the Midwest and the Great Lakes.

The coastal Mid-Atlantic has also done badly. Most of North Carolina, Virginia, eastern Maryland, DC, Delaware, and Southern New Jersey have struck out entirely, measuring less than an inch.

Areas that usually see an accumulating snow event by mid-January which have been shut out include Central/SW Arkansas, the western reaches of the Dallas/FW metro, most of North Alabama, North Georgia, and Eastern North Carolina, and patches of West Tennessee and Western Kentucky.

Overperformers: West Texas and Western Oklahoma, Northern Louisiana, Central Mississippi, eastern Ohio and Western PA, and stretches of the Apps from East Tennessee to southern New York state.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #631 on: January 12, 2021, 08:16:32 PM »
Updated list. Using my best idea of where these cities are located, plus weather records and observations from you all, this is what I've come up with. The biggest loser so far this winter might just be the suburbs just to the west of Rochester, NY. They average more than 70" of snow per season, and they haven't even gotten more than some areas in Middle Tennessee per the map. I checked Rochester's wx records and they report 12" since July 1. That's well below normal.

Rural areas such as western North Dakota, north-central Kansas, central Michigan, and a large swath of Missouri, llinois, and Indiana have less than many of us Tennessee have reported so far. Western Kentucky, too, has sat out this winter. That could quickly change, but it has been a very lousy winter for much of the Midwest and the Great Lakes.

The coastal Mid-Atlantic has also done badly. Most of North Carolina, Virginia, eastern Maryland, DC, Delaware, and Southern New Jersey have struck out entirely, measuring less than an inch.

Areas that usually see an accumulating snow event by mid-January which have been shut out include Central/SW Arkansas, the western reaches of the Dallas/FW metro, most of North Alabama, North Georgia, and Eastern North Carolina, and patches of West Tennessee and Western Kentucky.

Overperformers: West Texas and Western Oklahoma, Northern Louisiana, Central Mississippi, eastern Ohio and Western PA, and stretches of the Apps from East Tennessee to southern New York state.

My old town as a kid in Ocean county NJ got 5.5 inches on that nor'easter, so they are on decent pace to get to their 25 inch average....one thing about the mid atlantic and northeast is all it takes is ONE storm and you can get your entire season average in one day, I saw it as a kid just your standard noreaster bringing 8-10 inches and crazy wind and snow , those things are POWERFUL . I think those places will catch up this year , but last year i think they did HORRIBLE

Offline JayCee

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #632 on: January 13, 2021, 07:04:47 AM »
Skies didn't clear here yesterday until sunset. A perfect recipe for widespread freezing fog this morning with abundant low level moisture left over.

Quote
...FREEZING FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Visibility less than one mile in freezing fog.

* WHERE...Portions of east Tennessee, southwest Virginia and
  southwest North Carolina.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility and
  potential frost on bridges.

"For many years I was self-appointed inspector of snowstorms and rainstorms, and did my duty faithfully, though I never received one cent for it.." 
Henry David Thoreau

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #633 on: January 13, 2021, 07:44:24 AM »
Freezing fog left a beautiful mark on Middle Tennessee this morning.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline dwagner88

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #634 on: January 13, 2021, 07:50:02 AM »
Freezing fog left a beautiful mark on Middle Tennessee this morning.
Same. Looks like snow or ZR accumulation on every single tree branch. Very efficient radiational cooling last night. Got down to 19.2 IMBY despite a reported low of 25 a few miles away at the airport.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #635 on: January 13, 2021, 08:05:42 AM »
hoping we don't enter just a blah type of cool dry pattern during peak winter time over the next 10 days, i really am not seeing much popping up yet to get me excited, that type of weather is so boring lol

Offline BRUCE

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #636 on: January 13, 2021, 08:09:48 AM »
hoping we don't enter just a blah type of cool dry pattern during peak winter time over the next 10 days, i really am not seeing much popping up yet to get me excited, that type of weather is so boring lol
pattern looks kind meh to me bama moving forward . Sux we are heading into prime time winter man
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Nashville_Wx

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #637 on: January 13, 2021, 09:01:46 AM »
Yeah since the models are set in stone from start to finish there is nothing coming up for us to be excited about. ::scratch::


Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #638 on: January 13, 2021, 09:06:12 AM »
Yeah since the models are set in stone from start to finish there is nothing coming up for us to be excited about. ::scratch::

my post said i "hope" we don't enter a blah pattern, and that i don't see anything popping up "yet" so obviously that means i understand that models can change and are not set in stone

Offline snowdog

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #639 on: January 13, 2021, 09:18:39 AM »
pattern looks kind meh to me bama moving forward . Sux we are heading into prime time winter man

Someone say Priiiiiiime Time....


Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #640 on: January 13, 2021, 09:53:29 AM »
Someone say Priiiiiiime Time....



LOL that man could FLY!

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #641 on: January 13, 2021, 10:54:32 AM »
Our higher elevations may see some light accumulations this weekend. I can't speak much for places below 1000 feet, but cities like Clarksville might have a shot.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline gcbama

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #642 on: January 13, 2021, 11:10:22 AM »
Our higher elevations may see some light accumulations this weekend. I can't speak much for places below 1000 feet, but cities like Clarksville might have a shot.

Pretty much in northeastern zones you think right?  I am really hoping some of our west tn and nw middle tn friends can get something soon too

Offline JHart

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #643 on: January 13, 2021, 11:40:12 AM »
The 12Z GFS looks cold from January 25 - 29.  That look would be frigid if there were significant cold air in Canada that could be tapped.

The 12Z  GFS Para on the other hand, could not be much more different in that time frame.
Hire the left-handed --- its fun to watch them write.

Offline Coach B

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Re: January 2021
« Reply #644 on: January 13, 2021, 12:28:45 PM »

 

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