December 2020

[Curt]

For some reason I’m up. Euro only went 500 miles to the west. Geez. Cmc and euro are identical.

[MemphisJDJ]

Welp. That was one ugly run. Eastern Oklahoma comes out a winner.

[BRUCE]

For some reason I’m up. Euro only went 500 miles to the west. Geez. Cmc and euro are identical.

yep me too still up. Plasters eastern Oklahoma.

[schneitzeit]

Model madness going on. Unlike our Christmas Eve storm, they are thoroughly confused about this one.

This appears to be a lot of sleet and I'm sure it's amplifying those totals, such as in the 0Z GFS. This may be an Arkansas storm that nudges the NW'ern corner of TN. Areas between I-44 and I-55 are the early winners.

I know it's early to make such a judgment, but if you're more than 50 miles east of I-55 I'd go ahead and assume heavy rain and wind will be the prevailing elements of this system. Not seeing anything wintry in store that's plausible east of Jackson.

[mamMATTus]

The wind is absolutely roaring right now. Reminds me of the wake low from earlier this year.

[StormNine]

The New Year's Eve storm track mimics what a tropical storm does.  Very interesting and rare to see that kind of track in the winter.   

[JayCee]

Some drought relief for Texas over the next 3 days suffering under moderate to exceptional drought conditions.  Good see that, as we don't want intense drought in the southern Plains heading into spring.  It doesn't usually bode well for those who hate hot, dry summers.  2012 comes to mind. 

[StormNine]

Some drought relief for Texas over the next 3 days suffering under moderate to exceptional drought conditions.  Good see that, as we don't want intense drought in the southern Plains heading into spring.  It doesn't usually bode well for those who hate hot, dry summers.  2012 comes to mind.

Sometimes it can also lead to increased and more intense severe weather events later on in 2021 because that dry air can be advected into the system and clear out any junk convection setting the stage for more intense rounds of storms. 2008 and 2011 along with 2012 are recent examples of that. It can also cause drought to spread eastward as well. 

[StormNine]

Alpine, Texas is the place to be for a snow chase with this one.  As the storm occludes things get disorganized which is why things have been on a downward trend especially north of the KS/OK border.  This is probably going to be a historic storm for the Big Bend region of Texas up into the Permian Basin.

The Euro is showing up to 12-13 inches of snow across the
Chihuahuan Desert region of Mexico and far SW Texas. 

[schneitzeit]

GFS has a heavy sleetstorm for our friends in Paducah, Kentucky. I'm not sure they want any of that, though.

NAM has the heaviest ice totals right along the Ohio River.

[Drifter]

GFS has a heavy sleetstorm for our friends in Paducah, Kentucky. I'm not sure they want any of that, though.

NAM has the heaviest ice totals right along the Ohio River.

I’ll take a sleetfest, it has staying power.


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[JayCee]

I’ll take a sleetfest, it has staying power.


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Yep.  Sure does.  I'll take a truckload of that over freezing rain.

[JayCee]

Sometimes it can also lead to increased and more intense severe weather events later on in 2021 because that dry air can be advected into the system and clear out any junk convection setting the stage for more intense rounds of storms. 2008 and 2011 along with 2012 are recent examples of that. It can also cause drought to spread eastward as well.

Considering that, I hope they get several more deluges out that way.  I love crapvection.  Just regular, run-of-the-mill storms that are 'nader killers. 

[StormNine]

The 3k NAM has Alpine, TX receiving 32 inches of snow lol.   

[StormNine]

Just for historic purposes lol.