November 2020

[Coach B]

Good frost at my home this morning. Looks like a nice Thanksgiving week scene outside.

Quite the spread on temps. I had 41 at 6am on the hill at elevation, across town official reading was 27.

[Crockett]

Quite the spread on temps. I had 41 at 6am on the hill at elevation, across town official reading was 27.

The first thing I do every morning is check temps at my location and down in the valley in Oak Ridge. It's always easy to tell when that south wind has kicked up overnight!

[schneitzeit]

I'm ready for the hard freeze to come through. The ants in my yard are relentless this year. Those effers need to freeze to death already.

[dwagner88]

I'm ready for the hard freeze to come through. The ants in my yard are relentless this year. Those effers need to freeze to death already.

I once heard on a discovery channel show that all the ants in the world weigh about the same as all the people in the world. That's a horrifying thought. Not sure if it's true anymore though.

[StormNine]

There is a small window today for severe weather.  I would probably expect to see at least Southern Middle TN down into Alabama get upgraded to a Slight Risk of severe weather as the HRRR is showing some cells that have just enough instability to go severe if it verifies across Central Alabama up into Southern Middle and Southeastern TN.   

It is far from a big-time outbreak, but it wouldn't be out of the question to see a storm or two trigger a tornado warning this afternoon in Southern Middle to perhaps Southeastern TN. 

[snowdog]

For those of you in the southern half of TN...

https://twitter.com/NashSevereWx/status/1331625820138385409

[dwagner88]

Doesn’t look like anything else is on the table to me. Absolutely nothing popping behind this initial round of rain.

[StormNine]

Doesn’t look like anything else is on the table to me. Absolutely nothing popping behind this initial round of rain.

That rain shield over AL/GA lingered too long.   

[JayCee]

Beautiful morning here for Thanksgiving.  Already 60 before noon.  Yeah, not exactly right for the season, but going to make the best of it. 

Hope everyone has a safe and blessed Thanksgiving day.

[JayCee]

Interesting forecast for my area tomorrow.  One of the few times you'll see widespread dense fog in the afternoon.  The temperature falling to the dewpoint and staying there for most of the day would be one way to do it.

Monday: Patchy fog in the morning, then widespread dense fog early in the afternoon. Rain showers in the morning. Rain showers likely in the afternoon. Snow showers likely late. Visibility one quarter mile or less at times early in the afternoon. Snow accumulation up to 1 inch. Highs in the mid to upper 40s. Temperatures falling into the mid 30s in the afternoon. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

[schneitzeit]

OHX issued a WWA for the upper Plateau.

[JayCee]

The NWS website makes the forecast confusing for even those of us who are armchair meteorologists. Currently this is my "zone" forecast for far northeastern Sevier County for Monday night.

Monday Night: Cloudy, colder. A chance of rain showers in the evening. Snow showers likely until early morning, then a chance of snow showers late. Snow accumulation up to 2 inches. Total snow accumulation up to 3 inches. Lows in the lower to mid 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Snow accumulation up to three inches.  Seems a bit much.  Yet the "point and click" forecast says 1 inch or less.  Two different forecasts for the same area.  I've seen this for several years now, and for the average person who doesn't know better, it creates a lot of confusion, since most people don't bother with weather radios any longer.  Are all these forecasts computer generated now?   

[schneitzeit]

So the NAM and HRRR both have this weird heavy band of snow that moves through Nashville and points south and east in the middle of the night. Check it out on the latest runs. Weird!

Hopefully Middle TN can cash in on some minor November accumulations. I'm a little more confident now. OHX is just sitting this one out for everyone but the Plateau though.

[Clay]

So the NAM and HRRR both have this weird heavy band of snow that moves through Nashville and points south and east in the middle of the night. Check it out on the latest runs. Weird!

Hopefully Middle TN can cash in on some minor November accumulations. I'm a little more confident now. OHX is just sitting this one out for everyone but the Plateau though.

I will not stay up till 2 am. I will not stay up till 2am. I will not *pours a cup of coffee* stay up till 2 am.

[schneitzeit]

I will not stay up till 2 am. I will not stay up till 2am. I will not *pours a cup of coffee* stay up till 2 am.

I am such a freaking dork that I might set an alarm for 2-3am to see if this verifies.

I only live once, after all.