November 2020

[Thundersnow]

Seems like temps undercut overnight. OHX was showing a low of 36.

Well, Smyrna airport is showing a current temperature of 29 degrees a few minutes before 7:00.

[BRUCE]

Seems like temps undercut overnight. OHX was showing a low of 36.

Well, Smyrna airport is showing a current temperature of 29 degrees a few minutes before 7:00.

low 30 here with forecast low of 34... skies cleared out faster than forecasted ...

[TNHunter]

Yep got a good feeze and another coming tomorrow night.  This November has been far from a torch in my opinion.  I think some of ya'll are starting to lose it from old age.

[gcbama]

Yep got a good feeze and another coming tomorrow night.  This November has been far from a torch in my opinion.  I think some of ya'll are starting to lose it from old age.

well there was several days in a row with mid 70's and low 80's , for November that is quite torchy ...it may end up all averaging out though

[Thundersnow]

Yep got a good feeze and another coming tomorrow night.  This November has been far from a torch in my opinion.  I think some of ya'll are starting to lose it from old age.

Weird response.

 

Just noting that temperatures were colder than forecast overnight, that's all.

Yes, November has been warmer than normal up to this point.

[schneitzeit]

It has definitely been an above normal November. Once the month is settled, I wouldn't call it a torch, but statewide highs in the low to mid 80s in November are likely for the record books.

[TNHunter]

Weird response.

 

Just noting that temperatures were colder than forecast overnight, that's all.

Yes, November has been warmer than normal up to this point.

Wasn't directed at your response.  Just stating 3-4 days of warm last week and everyone was up in arms yelling torch and cancel winter.  Just busting people's balls on here.  Schneezy is easy to bust lol.  Ive lurked on here for years and most posters tend to inflate everything.

[BRUCE]

Wasn't directed at your response.  Just stating 3-4 days of warm last week and everyone was up in arms yelling torch and cancel winter.  Just busting people's balls on here.  Schneezy is easy to bust lol.  Ive lurked on here for years and most posters tend to inflate everything.

your torch going start mid January to most or if not all of February. At least for the winter part of it...

[gcbama]

Wasn't directed at your response.  Just stating 3-4 days of warm last week and everyone was up in arms yelling torch and cancel winter.  Just busting people's balls on here.  Schneezy is easy to bust lol.  Ive lurked on here for years and most posters tend to inflate everything.

it wasn't just 3-4 days lol, it was a solid week of 70+ temps in November

[BRUCE]

December 20th to January 15th. Be our best shot score a nice winter storm ... calling it now January 3rd major winter storm for most state wide .. dominated mainly by sleet .. but after the mid of January ... mmmm do I even have to tell u. Lol

[TNHunter]

December 20th to January 15th. Be our best shot score a nice winter storm ... calling it now January 3rd major winter storm for most state wide .. dominated mainly by sleet .. but after the mid of January ... mmmm do I even have to tell u. Lol

Bruce if I had to put money on anyone here it would probably be you.  Seems many of your predictions come to life.  But I am glad some don't lol mainly severe

[schneitzeit]

Models are reaching a stronger consensus on the AO going negative by early December. You can view the latest update here:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif


Our chances for cold air extending to the  Tennessee Valley are greater with a -AO. 


In the meantime, is anyone else eyeing potential severe weather Thanksgiving week? The GFS hints at one or two strong fronts moving through next week. This may be of concern as we draw near.

[cgauxknox]

In the meantime, is anyone else eyeing potential severe weather Thanksgiving week? The GFS hints at one or two strong fronts moving through next week. This may be of concern as we draw near.

I'm watching next week's weather closely as it will have a big impact on our Thanksgiving plans. We have friends who aren't traveling the way they usually do because of COVID so will be hosting here, IF the weather is dry and we can have tables set apart from each other out on our patio. We can keep a fire in our chiminea and manage if the temps are a bit chilly, but if it rains we're out of luck.

[BRUCE]

I'm watching next week's weather closely as it will have a big impact on our Thanksgiving plans. We have friends who aren't traveling the way they usually do because of COVID so will be hosting here, IF the weather is dry and we can have tables set apart from each other out on our patio. We can keep a fire in our chiminea and manage if the temps are a bit chilly, but if it rains we're out of luck.

i got my eye out around that period too  strong trough coming down on euro around turkey day . Going negative tilted

[TNHunter]

i got my eye out around that period too  strong trough coming down on euro around turkey day . Going negative tilted

Is it looking like a heavy rain event also?  Historically we usually get a heavy rain event around that time.  Usually just before duck season opens.