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Author Topic: November 2020  (Read 12798 times)

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Offline Thundersnow

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #105 on: November 16, 2020, 06:50:59 AM »
Seems like temps undercut overnight. OHX was showing a low of 36.

Well, Smyrna airport is showing a current temperature of 29 degrees a few minutes before 7:00.

Online BRUCE

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #106 on: November 16, 2020, 07:33:57 AM »
Seems like temps undercut overnight. OHX was showing a low of 36.

Well, Smyrna airport is showing a current temperature of 29 degrees a few minutes before 7:00.
low 30 here with forecast low of 34... skies cleared out faster than forecasted ...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline TNHunter

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #107 on: November 16, 2020, 07:49:49 AM »
Yep got a good feeze and another coming tomorrow night.  This November has been far from a torch in my opinion.  I think some of ya'll are starting to lose it from old age.

Online gcbama

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #108 on: November 16, 2020, 08:03:49 AM »
Yep got a good feeze and another coming tomorrow night.  This November has been far from a torch in my opinion.  I think some of ya'll are starting to lose it from old age.

well there was several days in a row with mid 70's and low 80's , for November that is quite torchy :) ...it may end up all averaging out though

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #109 on: November 16, 2020, 08:29:39 AM »
Yep got a good feeze and another coming tomorrow night.  This November has been far from a torch in my opinion.  I think some of ya'll are starting to lose it from old age.

Weird response.

 ::scratch::

Just noting that temperatures were colder than forecast overnight, that's all.

Yes, November has been warmer than normal up to this point.
« Last Edit: November 16, 2020, 08:34:22 AM by Thundersnow »

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #110 on: November 16, 2020, 08:49:06 AM »
It has definitely been an above normal November. Once the month is settled, I wouldn't call it a torch, but statewide highs in the low to mid 80s in November are likely for the record books.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline TNHunter

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #111 on: November 16, 2020, 09:01:19 AM »
Weird response.

 ::scratch::

Just noting that temperatures were colder than forecast overnight, that's all.

Yes, November has been warmer than normal up to this point.

Wasn't directed at your response.  Just stating 3-4 days of warm last week and everyone was up in arms yelling torch and cancel winter.  Just busting people's balls on here.  Schneezy is easy to bust lol.  Ive lurked on here for years and most posters tend to inflate everything.

Online BRUCE

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #112 on: November 16, 2020, 09:56:29 AM »
Wasn't directed at your response.  Just stating 3-4 days of warm last week and everyone was up in arms yelling torch and cancel winter.  Just busting people's balls on here.  Schneezy is easy to bust lol.  Ive lurked on here for years and most posters tend to inflate everything.
your torch going start mid January to most or if not all of February. At least for the winter part of it...
Come on severe wx season...

Online gcbama

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #113 on: November 16, 2020, 10:02:30 AM »
Wasn't directed at your response.  Just stating 3-4 days of warm last week and everyone was up in arms yelling torch and cancel winter.  Just busting people's balls on here.  Schneezy is easy to bust lol.  Ive lurked on here for years and most posters tend to inflate everything.

it wasn't just 3-4 days lol, it was a solid week of 70+ temps in November :)

Online BRUCE

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #114 on: November 16, 2020, 10:06:01 AM »
December 20th to January 15th. Be our best shot score a nice winter storm ... calling it now January 3rd major winter storm for most state wide .. dominated mainly by sleet .. but after the mid of January ... mmmm do I even have to tell u. Lol
Come on severe wx season...

Offline TNHunter

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #115 on: November 16, 2020, 10:30:08 AM »
December 20th to January 15th. Be our best shot score a nice winter storm ... calling it now January 3rd major winter storm for most state wide .. dominated mainly by sleet .. but after the mid of January ... mmmm do I even have to tell u. Lol

Bruce if I had to put money on anyone here it would probably be you.  Seems many of your predictions come to life.  But I am glad some don't lol mainly severe

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #116 on: November 16, 2020, 12:47:49 PM »
Models are reaching a stronger consensus on the AO going negative by early December. You can view the latest update here:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif


Our chances for cold air extending to the  Tennessee Valley are greater with a -AO. 


In the meantime, is anyone else eyeing potential severe weather Thanksgiving week? The GFS hints at one or two strong fronts moving through next week. This may be of concern as we draw near.
Nashville's Big Hits (since '98)

April 16, 1998 Tornado
January 16, 2003 Snowstorm
Summer 2007 Drought
May 1-2, 2010 Great Flood of Nashville
June 2012 Record Heat Wave
February 2015 Tennessee Ice Storm
January 22, 2016 Winter Storm Jonas
March 3, 2020 Tornado

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #117 on: November 16, 2020, 12:58:04 PM »
In the meantime, is anyone else eyeing potential severe weather Thanksgiving week? The GFS hints at one or two strong fronts moving through next week. This may be of concern as we draw near.
I'm watching next week's weather closely as it will have a big impact on our Thanksgiving plans. We have friends who aren't traveling the way they usually do because of COVID so will be hosting here, IF the weather is dry and we can have tables set apart from each other out on our patio. We can keep a fire in our chiminea and manage if the temps are a bit chilly, but if it rains we're out of luck.

Online BRUCE

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #118 on: November 16, 2020, 01:14:43 PM »
I'm watching next week's weather closely as it will have a big impact on our Thanksgiving plans. We have friends who aren't traveling the way they usually do because of COVID so will be hosting here, IF the weather is dry and we can have tables set apart from each other out on our patio. We can keep a fire in our chiminea and manage if the temps are a bit chilly, but if it rains we're out of luck.
i got my eye out around that period too  strong trough coming down on euro around turkey day . Going negative tilted
Come on severe wx season...

Offline TNHunter

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Re: November 2020
« Reply #119 on: November 16, 2020, 02:04:02 PM »
i got my eye out around that period too  strong trough coming down on euro around turkey day . Going negative tilted

Is it looking like a heavy rain event also?  Historically we usually get a heavy rain event around that time.  Usually just before duck season opens.
« Last Edit: November 16, 2020, 02:11:03 PM by TNHunter »

 

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