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Author Topic: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)  (Read 2561 times)

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Offline StormNine

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #45 on: October 09, 2020, 10:21:10 AM »
We give models a lot of grieve but they scored a huge win with Delta as far as landfall position.  Within the past 48-72 hours, they nailed the area between Cameron and Abbeville, LA as the landfall point and now it looks to make landfall east of Cameron or about 10-25 miles east of where Laura went.

They also had landfall pretty conistent at either a CAT 2 or 3 storm and now barring a rapid weakening phase it looks to come in as a 105MPH-110MPH CAT 2.

Offline gcbama

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #46 on: October 09, 2020, 10:23:50 AM »
We give models a lot of grieve but they scored a huge win with Delta as far as landfall position.  Within the past 48-72 hours, they nailed the area between Cameron and Abbeville, LA as the landfall point and now it looks to make landfall east of Cameron or about 10-25 miles east of where Laura went.

They also had landfall pretty conistent at either a CAT 2 or 3 storm and now barring a rapid weakening phase it looks to come in as a 105MPH-110MPH CAT 2.

GFS nailed this western track 3 days ago, quite impressive

Offline Eric

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #47 on: October 09, 2020, 11:10:53 AM »
GFS nailed this western track 3 days ago, quite impressive

GFS has done surprisingly well with the tropical events this season. 
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Offline gcbama

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #48 on: October 09, 2020, 11:38:21 AM »
GFS has done surprisingly well with the tropical events this season.

if only our winter storm promises the GFS makes us 4 days in advance would pan out so well LOL!!!!!

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #49 on: October 09, 2020, 12:44:38 PM »
if only our winter storm promises the GFS makes us 4 days in advance would pan out so well LOL!!!!!

Oh boy, here we go again  ::)
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Offline gcbama

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #50 on: October 09, 2020, 02:18:14 PM »
Oh boy, here we go again  ::)

you know how butthurt I get over that LOL!

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #51 on: October 09, 2020, 05:26:50 PM »
Some of the globals are hinting at some training convection Sunday in the eastern TN valley. That could present some isolated very heavy rain totals if it comes to fruition. Looks like the GFS is alone in showing lighter rain amounts of around 1. Euro, UK, Canadian all have 2-3 widespread. The higher res models have pockets of 4-6, but they appear to be based on convection becoming rooted in isolated parts of the valley.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #52 on: October 09, 2020, 07:33:46 PM »
you know how butthurt I get over that LOL!

We'll start up a GoFundMe for you to retreat to a cabin in northern Michigan for a few days
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Offline mamMATTus

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #53 on: October 10, 2020, 05:59:21 PM »
Gotta say I wasn't expecting to see this many TOR's in Georgia. Southeast TN needs to be on the lookout.
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Offline StormNine

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #54 on: October 10, 2020, 07:02:50 PM »
So far no reports out of the tornado warnings.  They might haver some rotation and bite but they aren't getting on the ground. 

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #55 on: October 10, 2020, 10:47:43 PM »
2.45 in the bucket today. Might get a storm total over 3 by tomorrow afternoon.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

 

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