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Author Topic: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)  (Read 2556 times)

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Offline gcbama

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Re: Another GoM Double Header
« Reply #30 on: October 06, 2020, 09:34:55 PM »
LSU moved their game to Columbia, MO because of the hurricane threat



Take notes, Gators

i am thinking Bama ole miss may move to tuscaloosa instead of oxford or maybe a netural site somewhere in southeast since a tropical storm will be going on in north ms during game time

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Another GoM Double Header
« Reply #31 on: October 07, 2020, 07:04:57 AM »
While all the potential shuffling of college football games is unfortunate I have to wonder if there's a lot less concern this year than there would be otherwise. With such limited capacities and small crowd noise I don't know how much home field advantage there is this year. It's hard to find positives from COVID but maybe that sort of counts?

Offline StormNine

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Re: Another GoM Double Header
« Reply #32 on: October 07, 2020, 07:36:58 AM »
Cancun took a hit, but they sorta got lucky as Delta underwent an Eye-Replacement cycle causing it to come into Cancun as a CAT 2 versus a CAT 4/borderline CAT 5.   

The storm is now transitioning from a compact storm to a traditional GOM storm with a wider eye and larger wind field. 

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #33 on: October 07, 2020, 09:19:31 AM »
Renamed the thread to be more Delta-specific, since Gamma was kind of meh.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #34 on: October 07, 2020, 10:02:21 AM »
Galveston is under a Tropical Storm Watch. Still no Hurricane Watches yet but figured that they probably need to be coming out in the next 3 hours since we are about 40-48 hours away from impact somewhere in Louisiana. 

Offline StormNine

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #35 on: October 07, 2020, 10:08:04 AM »
The strike zone looks to be consistent as somewhere between Cameron and Morgan City. 


Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #36 on: October 07, 2020, 11:34:12 AM »
The forecast cone now shows Delta as a Tropical Storm all the way into southern Arkansas. It will be interesting to see if it can actually hold together that well over land, but if it does I expect we may see widespread power outages from wind damage and potentially some inland flooding as well.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #37 on: October 07, 2020, 12:13:37 PM »
The latest track is only about 40 maybe 50 miles at most from where Laura made landfall about 6 weeks ago.   

Offline mempho

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #38 on: October 07, 2020, 03:23:50 PM »
i am thinking Bama ole miss may move to tuscaloosa instead of oxford or maybe a netural site somewhere in southeast since a tropical storm will be going on in north ms during game time
Tropical storm is playable plus I don't think it's in the interest of Ole Miss to move the game-  they will need plenty of help.

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Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline StormNine

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #39 on: October 07, 2020, 05:41:32 PM »
A faster Hurricane Gustav is the best analog for this storm as far as intensity and impacts go. A CAT 2 that will probably contain a CAT 3 like surge and some wind potential. 

Offline cgauxknox

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #40 on: October 08, 2020, 06:22:13 AM »
This morning's forecast cone looks like Delta is going to be much slower after landfall. It's showing as still in north Mississippi on Sunday morning rather than all the way into Kentucky or Virginia. That could really change inland flood risks.

Offline StormNine

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #41 on: October 08, 2020, 06:55:09 AM »
It also has trended slightly west towards another Cameron, LA landfall versus New Iberia.   

Offline StormNine

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #42 on: October 08, 2020, 09:17:11 PM »
Quote
ABBEVILLE, La. (KLFY) – Vermilion Parish officials have issued a Mandatory Evaucation for any low lying areas prone to flooding and trailers. There is a Voluntary Evacuation for all areas below LA Hwy 14.

Here is the statement they released:

Effective immediately, the Vermilion Parish Police Jury has ordered a Mandatory Evacuation for these areas. If the storm maintains its current track and projected strength as a CAT 3 or higher, it will cause massive tidal flooding with a possible 11 foot or higher storm surge and catastrophic wind damage to structures in Vermilion Parish creating a very dangerous situation to include loss of life.

Evacuation for these areas are Mandatory:• Any low lying areas prone to flooding and trailersThose choosing to stay and face this very dangerous storm must understand that rescue efforts cannot and will not begin until after the storm and surge has passed and it is sag.

Please evacuate and if you choose to stay and we can’t get to you, write your name, address, social security number and next of kin and put it in a Ziploc bag in your pocket that it does not come to this!Expecting the worse but praying for the best.

BE SAFE AND GOD BLESS!!

Voluntary Evacuation for all areas below LA Hwy 14.

Even with a CAT 2 instead of a 3 landfall you will have a significant surge threat. Probably even more widespread than Laura even if it isn't as severe as Laura. 

Offline mempho

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #43 on: October 08, 2020, 09:59:25 PM »
So, it has to be on the back of your mind since it's 2020 but the fact that this storm is named Delta (and it's a potential major US landfall) and its slated to go thru the delta of the largest river in North America....

Well, I can just feel a wild card coming.

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Put on my big snow boots and
I boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the freezing rain

Snow up high
Won't you pour down over me
Yeah, I got some accretion
But I'm as blue as a boy can be

Offline dwagner88

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Re: Hurricane Delta (Another GoM Double Header)
« Reply #44 on: October 09, 2020, 07:57:43 AM »
Wasn't expecting the rain so soon. It hasn't even made landfall yet.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25”

 

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