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Author Topic: October 2020  (Read 2466 times)

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Offline mamMATTus

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #30 on: October 09, 2020, 07:24:06 AM »
Been up in the Black Hills of SD this week. Unseasonably warm up here. Went to Badlands today and it was 87.

Beautiful country up here though. I'd recommend it.

We're off a week lol. I was there the week before.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #31 on: October 10, 2020, 11:03:39 AM »
Noticed an enhanced SE ridge beyond the 200+ hours of today's 0z GFS run

Temps cool after this weekend's AN tropical weather, but appear to rise again to AN in the long range--- we will see if this holds. Very dependent on the tropics
.

Offline snowdog

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #32 on: October 10, 2020, 10:03:29 PM »
We're off a week lol. I was there the week before.

They said they got a decent snow around labor day, but it was warm all week. I can't imagine driving those mountain roads in the snow. Glad we had good weather.

Offline StormNine

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #33 on: October 10, 2020, 10:37:38 PM »
Noticed an enhanced SE ridge beyond the 200+ hours of today's 0z GFS run

Temps cool after this weekend's AN tropical weather, but appear to rise again to AN in the long range--- we will see if this holds. Very dependent on the tropics

The long range may be a preview to what winter will be like.  With strong ridging in the Desert SW and along the I-81/I-95 corridors and a cool area in between.  Potentially setting up a battle ground zone from Middle TN through the I-44 area.

The Euro monthlies show a everybody in Canada and the USA minus a few select NW Canada and Pacific Northwest/High Plains locations after January is set on fire by warmth to record warmth this upcoming winter.   

Offline StormNine

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #34 on: October 10, 2020, 10:45:14 PM »
The dive to -1.5C ish significant La-Nina conditions by November followed by a quick return to Neutral ENSO conditions by March is interesting.  It could be a significant but very short-lived event. 

We haven't recorded an winter that got down to -1.5C but it only -1.0C for only say like 3 tri-month periods.  The other option that typically happens is that models tend to want to end both Nino and Nina events too early. 

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #35 on: October 12, 2020, 10:48:43 AM »
Foliage is definitely well on its way, and I'm optimistic we're going to see some nice color over the next week or two, with another cool snap this week with 60s/40s. Some young trees in my neighborhood are already peaking out with yellows, oranges, and reds. Seems like Delta didn't strip off too much at least in my area. Love this gradual stepdown like fall should be. Trees and plants should be able to slide gently into winter dormancy before the first hard freeze ends the growing season.

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #36 on: October 12, 2020, 10:59:32 AM »
This is the time of year, when it starts to be fun to look at forecasts for mountains of the Pacific Northwest.

Mount Rainier, WA:

Tonight

Snow, mainly after 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to around 24 by 3am. Wind chill values between 1 and 8. Windy, with a west southwest wind 24 to 34 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 19 to 25 inches possible.

Tuesday

Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature falling to around 14 by 5pm. Wind chill values between -1 and -11. Windy, with a west southwest wind 48 to 53 mph increasing to 55 to 60 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 85 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible.



Nashville_Wx, if you're out there, this is your kind of weather. You're probably hiking in it.  >:D
« Last Edit: October 12, 2020, 11:07:07 AM by Thundersnow »

Offline TNHunter

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #37 on: October 12, 2020, 04:50:39 PM »
This has been the best fall in years. Next 15 days looks to be nice and cool possibly BN.

Offline nrgJeff

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #38 on: October 15, 2020, 07:54:48 AM »
Agree fall foliage will be great this year. Higher elevations of the Blue Ridge and Smoky Mtns were lit last weekend. We will take a drive and hike in the 3,000 FT range this weekend. Following weekend will be the 2,000 FT operation.

Regarding La Nina moderate but quick, storm chasers hope for a +TNI coming out of Nina. It would be warm waters right off South America, with continuing cool out in the 3.4 region. That's approximate. Google Trans Nina Index for pictures.
Jeff H
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Thoughts are my own.

Offline Curt

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #39 on: October 15, 2020, 08:17:13 AM »
This has been the best fall in years. Next 15 days looks to be nice and cool possibly BN.
Fall foliage in the West is usually ok- but we are 2 weeks early with it here and itís lighting up. The next 2 weeks should be ideal.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #40 on: October 15, 2020, 08:29:48 AM »
Fall foliage in the West is usually ok- but we are 2 weeks early with it here and itís lighting up. The next 2 weeks should be ideal.
always remember it being Alabama Tennessee game week is peak for fall foliage here... next week be getting close
Come on severe wx season...

Offline TNHunter

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #41 on: October 15, 2020, 07:02:52 PM »
Light misty rain tonight with a low of 38, only 6 degrees away from seeing snowflakes in West TN tonight mid October. Pretty cool.

Offline schneitzeit

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #42 on: October 15, 2020, 07:50:43 PM »
GFS believes our first freeze will arrive before the end of the month, around 10 days from now.
.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #43 on: October 15, 2020, 10:30:26 PM »
Light misty rain tonight with a low of 38, only 6 degrees away from seeing snowflakes in West TN tonight mid October. Pretty cool.
Halloween night of 93 we got 2 n half inches snow that night here west tn area..
Come on severe wx season...

Offline joemomma

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Re: October 2020
« Reply #44 on: October 16, 2020, 08:17:46 AM »
I can remember snow on Halloween a couple of times in my life - '93 was one of them. 

 

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