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Author Topic: July 2020  (Read 8029 times)

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Offline NismoWx

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #75 on: July 09, 2020, 12:51:58 PM »
I think we are looking at a mix of 2007 and 2018/2019 from Mid-July through September.

I'm more interesting in Oct-Dec, personally. 90* days in October suck.

Offline Curt

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July 2020
« Reply #76 on: July 09, 2020, 03:19:25 PM »
Gfs is notorious for not estimating soil moisture well so some of its runs have wild high temps. For example, the 6z run has 109 at Memphis one day next week. Thatís an all time record high and wonít happen.

Much more accurate EURO is more realistic. It sucks too with nearly 6 days of 100 plus readings for much of west and middle. However, itís not forever as all models retrograde the high in favor of cooler low 90ís by weeks end. Maybe the heat will actually peak when itís supposed to in July vs late August and all of September

Offline Curt

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #77 on: July 09, 2020, 04:18:02 PM »
Excessive Heat Warnings are almost a sure bet area wide starting Tuesday and lasting until Thursday. That should be the worst of the heat for now. Should see 110-115 fairly easily with high temps from 100-103.

Offline JKT1987

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #78 on: July 09, 2020, 04:24:50 PM »
Excessive Heat Warnings are almost a sure bet area wide starting Tuesday and lasting until Thursday. That should be the worst of the heat for now. Should see 110-115 fairly easily with high temps from 100-103.

Feels like it's been a few summers since we've had a stretch like the one that looks to be coming up. Hopefully it will stay relatively short lived...

Offline mamMATTus

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #79 on: July 09, 2020, 04:44:56 PM »
I think we are looking at a mix of 2007 and 2018/2019 from Mid-July through September.

Please no 2007. I remember how bad it was just in June. I went to Bonnaroo that year and thought I wouldn't make it through the whole weekend. People were passing out left and right with heat exhaustion. There was a mirage in front of the Which Stage during the White Stripes.

Offline Nash_LSU

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #80 on: July 09, 2020, 04:59:26 PM »
here was a mirage in front of the Which Stage during the White Stripes.

Yeah, those mirages typically appear 30-45 minutes after a stroll down Shakedown Street.

Offline JHart

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #81 on: July 10, 2020, 02:24:34 PM »
Sarcasm lives at NWS.

000
FXUS64 KOHX 101857
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
157 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

.DISCUSSION...
[Ö]
We`ll just skip over Monday and Tuesday and get right to the
extended forecast. Do you like summer heat and humidity boys and
girls? Well if your birthday is next week and that`s what you`re
wishing for, Happy Birthday from us here at the National Weather
Service in Nashville! We all chipped in and got you a nice 594m
ridge axis at 500mb over the state for Thursday and Friday, with
850mb temps warming to 20-22C as early as Wednesday.
[Ö]


They shouldn't have.  Really.
« Last Edit: July 10, 2020, 02:27:39 PM by JHart »
Hire the left-handed --- its fun to watch them write.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #82 on: July 10, 2020, 03:22:36 PM »
Sarcasm lives at NWS.

000
FXUS64 KOHX 101857
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
157 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2020

.DISCUSSION...
[Ö]
We`ll just skip over Monday and Tuesday and get right to the
extended forecast. Do you like summer heat and humidity boys and
girls? Well if your birthday is next week and that`s what you`re
wishing for, Happy Birthday from us here at the National Weather
Service in Nashville! We all chipped in and got you a nice 594m
ridge axis at 500mb over the state for Thursday and Friday, with
850mb temps warming to 20-22C as early as Wednesday.
[Ö]


They shouldn't have.  Really.
yea 12z euro actually upped the highs for next week a bit . Should be a solid area of 100 degrees heat. Summer time midsouth... refreshing
Come on severe wx season...

Offline DocB

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #83 on: July 10, 2020, 06:33:14 PM »
....Well if your birthday is next week and that`s what you`re
wishing for, Happy Birthday from us here at the National Weather
Service in Nashville! We all chipped in and got you a nice 594m
ridge axis at 500mb over the state for Thursday and Friday, with
850mb temps warming to 20-22C as early as Wednesday.

Well, it IS my birthday next week. There better be a **** gift receipt as THAT wasn't on my wishlist.

Offline Clay

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #84 on: July 10, 2020, 07:16:51 PM »
GFS has backed off the 597dm death ridge scenario.. not saying it won't be hot but improvements.

Offline TNHunter

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #85 on: July 10, 2020, 09:07:11 PM »
yea 12z euro actually upped the highs for next week a bit . Should be a solid area of 100 degrees heat. Summer time midsouth... refreshing

Itís about time we get a good shot of this kind of heat.  Hopefully itíll last through end of August and then have a more normal fall.

Offline TNHunter

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #86 on: July 10, 2020, 09:09:14 PM »
GFS has backed off the 597dm death ridge scenario.. not saying it won't be hot but improvements.

**** come on....need the heat baby!

Offline Clay

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #87 on: July 10, 2020, 10:27:02 PM »
**** come on....need the heat baby!
If 90/70 isn't hot enough you need to move to Texas.

Offline BRUCE

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #88 on: July 10, 2020, 10:31:49 PM »
Itís about time we get a good shot of this kind of heat.  Hopefully itíll last through end of August and then have a more normal fall.
yeah we are over due for some 100 degree heat... hopefully late July , and most August we can top 100 or more ... fairly common actually see some 100 hundred degree days in west and middle Tennessee
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Clay

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Re: July 2020
« Reply #89 on: July 10, 2020, 11:51:36 PM »
yeah we are over due for some 100 degree heat... hopefully late July , and most August we can top 100 or more ... fairly common actually see some 100 hundred degree days in west and middle Tennessee

Nashville hasn't hit 100 since 2012 and this is astonishing considering how freaking warm modern day BNA runs during the daytime. There were several days last summer hovering at 99F for 3 hours.

 

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