2020 Tropical Season Outlook

[cgauxknox]

NHC now has a forecast cone out for Epsilon and it should hang a right and stay out to sea. That's good news after so many storms making landfall this year. Will this be our last named storm of the season?

[Thundersnow]

The season continues for another month until the end of November. It may slow down out in the Atlantic, but I wouldn’t rule out something still popping in the Caribbean.

[dwagner88]

The season continues for another month until the end of November. It may slow down out in the Atlantic, but I wouldn’t rule out something still popping in the Caribbean.

Guess what? 95L in the Caribbean has a 90% chance of development. Seems like yet another threat for the northern Gulf coast. Probably won’t be strong due to water temps, but it may bring more rain to our area by late next week.

[cgauxknox]

Looks like Zeta is going to be a hurricane, and forecasts are starting to show heavy rain for East TN on Wednesday and Thursday.

[JayCee]

Since September 1st, I've recorded nearly 8.5" of rain, making it the wettest autumn here in the last 5 years.  However, nearly all of that rain was connected with tropical systems coming out of the Gulf.  Take those away, and it would've been extremely dry, similar to the trend of hot, dry autumns we've experienced as of late.  Considering the fires ravaging multiple states in the west, I'm grateful our fire season may be a non-event this year thanks to the hyper-active tropics. 

[dwagner88]

GFS is pretty crazy with continuing activity in the tropics over the next 2 weeks. Several separate systems. Another gyre storm next weekend.

[JayCee]

Zeta makes the 11th tropical system (storms & hurricanes) to make landfall in the United States, shattering any previous records for such with one month to go.  IMBY I've recorded 10.02" of rain in just two months thanks entirely from the frenzied tropical season.

[cgauxknox]

Don't look now but NHC has a disturbance near the Lesser Antilles moving westward with a 60% chance of development over the next 5 days. We may be watching a named tropical system in early November.

[Thundersnow]

While the Cape Verde season is over at this point, this is actually climatologically the active part of the season for the Caribbean... the last month to six weeks of the Atlantic basin season. This is when you watch that area between the islands and Central America.

[BRUCE]

Don't look now but NHC has a disturbance near the Lesser Antilles moving westward with a 60% chance of development over the next 5 days. We may be watching a named tropical system in early November.

yeah. Seems like we are far from done

[JayCee]

The next one seems to have eyes for central America, at least for the moment. 

[BRUCE]

12zgfs has another hurricane hitting the us.  this time northern florida

[JayCee]

Amazing if ETA survives it's trek in the mountainous terrain of Central America to threaten the U.S. with yet another strike.  It looks like a possibility, but it's a long way out.  What a long tropical season it's been. 

[StormNine]

Eta is giving off Hurricane Mitch vibes as far as hitting a very poor and mountainous area as if 2020 needed any more disasters nationally or internationally.

The NHC or NOAA should really look into never using Eta again if it does what I think it will do and just replacing it with a Greek God or Goodness name instead.     

[cgauxknox]

What is currently TS Eta, after landfalling in Nicaragua as a Cat 4, is now forecast to eventually reemerge into the Gulf, restrengthen to TS status, cross over the eastern end of Cuba, and finally land in South Florida as a TS. That final landfall should be sometime November 9th. If that all plays out this storm will have directly impacted at least six different countries.

While it's likely to be a weak storm with minimal damage for us in the U.S. the coverage I've seen from Central America is just absolutely devastating; 2-3 feet of rain in some locations that didn't have a particularly strong infrastructure to begin with. It's going to take years to recover from what happened there.