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Author Topic: March 2020  (Read 11685 times)

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Offline Thundersnow

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #180 on: March 24, 2020, 03:09:16 PM »
Note- discussion of today's severe weather threat should take place in the thread here: https://tennesseewx.com/index.php/topic,3954.0.html
« Last Edit: March 25, 2020, 08:30:21 AM by Thundersnow »
"To say you have no choice... is a failure of imagination."
                                                           - Jean Luc Picard

Offline Thundersnow

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #181 on: March 25, 2020, 08:30:29 AM »
The risk area for Saturday has been shifted west from what was on the map yesterday.

It does still include all of West TN.
« Last Edit: March 25, 2020, 08:33:38 AM by Thundersnow »
"To say you have no choice... is a failure of imagination."
                                                           - Jean Luc Picard

Offline WXHD

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #182 on: March 25, 2020, 08:55:40 AM »
Looking forward to some sunshine and great temps over the next few days.
Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly Ė raising Earth's temperature. http://www.howglobalwarmingworks.org/

Offline TNHunter

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #183 on: March 25, 2020, 09:16:59 AM »
Looking forward to some sunshine and great temps over the next few days.

Talk about some needed weather!

Offline dwagner88

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #184 on: March 25, 2020, 04:50:59 PM »
Looking forward to some sunshine and great temps over the next few days.
Yes. I advise everyone to at least go out into the yard this afternoon. Take in the sunshine for a bit. Itís been far too rare lately.

Technically Iím halfway finished with rain for the year. We crossed 50% of normal annual totals last night. Itís not April yet.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25Ē

Offline BRUCE

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #185 on: March 26, 2020, 02:46:44 PM »
Euro keeps trending further north with slp with potent trough next Tuesday , could be some big problems with this system ... right now areas further south appears be under the gun ... worth keeping eye on.
Come on severe wx season...

Offline BRUCE

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #186 on: March 27, 2020, 02:03:34 AM »
5 percent tornado risk tomorrow for parts western middle Tennessee... wow moderate risk for mid Ms valley tomorrow and itís tornado driven... 15 percent hatched
Come on severe wx season...

Offline gcbama

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #187 on: March 27, 2020, 08:15:17 AM »
5 percent tornado risk tomorrow for parts western middle Tennessee... wow moderate risk for mid Ms valley tomorrow and itís tornado driven... 15 percent hatched

that ramped up quick, it's a rather small mod risk area but still, it's a mod risk
« Last Edit: March 27, 2020, 08:20:59 AM by gcbama »

Offline snowdog

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #188 on: March 27, 2020, 10:55:57 AM »
Ryan Maue tweeted interesting model verification scores. CMC now easily beating the GFS. Our modeling team should be ashamed. They've been working on the GFS for years and this is what we get?

https://www.twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1243561777079738370

Offline BRUCE

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #189 on: March 27, 2020, 11:50:41 AM »
that ramped up quick, it's a rather small mod risk area but still, it's a mod risk
yeah and latest cam models r plain ugly parts Illinois... hrr verifies I see them pulling trigger on a high risk area to be honest no matter how smalll
Come on severe wx season...

Offline gcbama

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #190 on: March 27, 2020, 12:59:45 PM »
yeah and latest cam models r plain ugly parts Illinois... hrr verifies I see them pulling trigger on a high risk area to be honest no matter how smalll

Very early for enhanced /mod a severe risk that far north....a lot of early warmth this year

Online Eric

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #191 on: March 27, 2020, 04:08:57 PM »
Folks that are a lot smarter than me mentioning the possibility of 'left-moving' supercells, which would dampen the tornadic potential.  Plus, storm motions are going to be insane....50-60mph.  Normally don't see supercells that far north going that fast. 
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Offline Vols1

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #192 on: March 27, 2020, 04:49:54 PM »
What are you thinking for west Middle Tennessee tomorrow night Eric? The threat seems to be going up a lil

Offline BRUCE

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #193 on: March 27, 2020, 05:15:51 PM »
What are you thinking for west Middle Tennessee tomorrow night Eric? The threat seems to be going up a lil
pretty much  mostly linear to me ... winds verring sw.
Come on severe wx season...

Offline BRUCE

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Re: March 2020
« Reply #194 on: March 28, 2020, 01:39:52 AM »
Spc expanded  the severe risk way further west...ísaying few tornadoes even possible now later today . Across midsouth
« Last Edit: March 28, 2020, 01:41:37 AM by BRUCE »
Come on severe wx season...

 

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