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Author Topic: January 2020 Discussion  (Read 41019 times)

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Offline BRUCE

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #330 on: January 19, 2020, 08:31:52 AM »
The last time and only time both Nashville and Memphis had a winter where all 3 months finished +5 or greater was 1889-1890, which was a Strong La-Nina winter.

My prediction is for February to finish about +3 for Memphis and +4 to +4.9 for Nashville.   
we are at our coldest average right now climo wise... we only go up average temp wise from here ...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline StormNine

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #331 on: January 19, 2020, 09:47:24 AM »
It should also be noted that winters that have an unfavorable EPO and are above average for most of the USA tend to feature extreme warmth in the month of March (see 2007, 2012, 2016, and 2017).  The idea of throwing up a hail mary in March is quite unlikely because on past winters with this setup.  We will need to figure out some way to thread the needle in February.   

Since we have cold air bottled up in the Arctic if we have a blowtorch Feb-March then a big concern would develop for a late March-April freeze.  2017's occurred soon enough into March to not be a huge problem but 2007 was and if the 2012 April frost was a few degrees cooler than it would have been a problem.  We would need to hope that either the pattern maintains through April or the pattern is very progressive to limit the impact of possible Freeze.   

Offline Drifter49

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #332 on: January 19, 2020, 09:49:46 AM »
RIP winter 2019/2020

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To enjoy things in life that are good, you first must endure things that suck!
Bring on the snow baby!!!

Offline Dyersburg Weather

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #333 on: January 19, 2020, 09:59:47 AM »
Might have to stay up late tonight and see some flakes. That dusting in November was a long time ago.

Offline Matthew

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #334 on: January 19, 2020, 10:44:22 AM »
All I know is this cold wo snow sucks.  Give me sunny and 50s & 60s. 

Offline StormNine

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #335 on: January 19, 2020, 06:33:11 PM »
The pattern model for the end of this month stinks but it isn't the blowtorch that Christmas to 1/15 was. 

It resembles more of a classic El-Nino with an active subtropical jet and a Pacific invasion over Canada and the northern tier of the USA.  Probably more of a Portland, OR or Eureka, CA torch with mild and gray days instead of the predominantly altering sunny/stormy blowtorch conditions we saw before. 

Post Merge: January 19, 2020, 06:36:59 PM
https://tennesseewx.com/index.php/topic,3932.0.html

We do have a vault where one can nominate past events from 2006-present so one doesn't have to dig for it. Think of it as the TN and surrounding areas Hall of Fame.  I will also include an occasional pre-2006 event with a detailed event summary as well as time allows.   

I already nominated 3 winter events.
« Last Edit: January 19, 2020, 06:36:59 PM by StormNine, Reason: Merged DoublePost »

Offline BRUCE

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #336 on: January 19, 2020, 08:22:35 PM »
The pattern model for the end of this month stinks but it isn't the blowtorch that Christmas to 1/15 was. 

It resembles more of a classic El-Nino with an active subtropical jet and a Pacific invasion over Canada and the northern tier of the USA.  Probably more of a Portland, OR or Eureka, CA torch with mild and gray days instead of the predominantly altering sunny/stormy blowtorch conditions we saw before. 

Post Merge: January 19, 2020, 06:36:59 PM
https://tennesseewx.com/index.php/topic,3932.0.html

We do have a vault where one can nominate past events from 2006-present so one doesn't have to dig for it. Think of it as the TN and surrounding areas Hall of Fame.  I will also include an occasional pre-2006 event with a detailed event summary as well as time allows.   

I already nominated 3 winter events.
i call upper 50s lower 60s in middle end January blowtorch...
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Icestorm

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #337 on: January 20, 2020, 03:40:37 AM »
Currently I have snow flurries and 19 degrees.

Offline NismoWx

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #338 on: January 20, 2020, 05:46:47 AM »
Flurries and 21F, IMBY.

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Offline BRUCE

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #339 on: January 20, 2020, 06:05:41 AM »
Currently I have snow flurries and 19 degrees.
well you can officially now say... you didnt get shut out this winter at least... lol.
Come on severe wx season...

Offline Coach B

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #340 on: January 20, 2020, 06:41:08 AM »
Very light snow and 19. Little bit of lake enhancement maybe?

Offline Beth

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #341 on: January 20, 2020, 07:08:41 AM »
Flurries here and 18 degrees!  ::snowman::

Offline Clarksville Snowman

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #342 on: January 20, 2020, 08:46:04 AM »
We have flurries here. Temp is 19.Yeah!! ::popcorn:: ::snowman::
« Last Edit: January 20, 2020, 08:48:15 AM by Clarksville Snowman »

Offline dwagner88

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #343 on: January 20, 2020, 08:46:33 AM »
I even have a few flakes in the air on this side of the plateau. 24 degrees and no sun.
Winter 2009-10 Snowfall: 11.5 in. :)
Winter 2010-11 Snowfall: 15.5 in. :)
Winter 2011-12: Trace
Winter 2012-2013: 0.25 in.
Winter 2013-14: 10.6 (9.5 on 2/12)
Winter 2014-2015: 10.25 in.
Winters 2015-2019: basically nothing
Winter 2019-2020:
2/8/20: 4.25

Offline rkhvoljohnsoncity

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Re: January 2020 Discussion
« Reply #344 on: January 20, 2020, 08:54:43 AM »
This weekend looks interesting in Johnson City for maybe a little light snow. The long range has been trending colder for Saturday and Sunday with highs now in the upper 30s and lows around 30. Nothing to get to excited about but this winter has been tough to find anything exciting for snow. We had a couple of 2 inch events by December 10th and only a dusting since. It will probably trend warmer by the weekend. It still shows precipitation here Saturday and Sunday as of now


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