* User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length

Advertisement


Author Topic: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow  (Read 4319 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Online Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,010
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 355
Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« on: November 10, 2019, 07:21:06 AM »
This should help alleviate where to post over the next 48 hours given the arctic front and chances for light snow. Itís worthy of its own thread given early in the season.

Offline Clarksville Snowman

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,259
  • Location: Woodlawn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1820
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2019, 07:58:32 AM »
BOOM! Let's get us a little coating of snow! ::guitar:: ::popcorn:: ::snowman::

Offline StormNine

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 4,104
  • Location: Hopkinsville KY/ Bowling Green KY
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 128
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2019, 08:10:39 AM »
Reminder:

Before getting too excited that the models show 2-4 inches of snow across a large part of TN (except for the GFS that keeps it closer to the KY/TN border and points north).  Realize that due to a warm and wet ground that you should only take about half of what is being depicted.  In reality, a 2-4 inch event is probably a 1-2 inch event and around 1 inch is probably a dusting to a half-inch.

Just a note from your friendly I have been burned by models for like 14 years weather poster.   

Offline schneitzeit

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,320
  • Location: Fairview, Tennessee
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1187
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2019, 08:19:41 AM »

Just a note from your friendly I have been burned by models for like 14 years weather poster.   
::rofl::
"I like the cold weather. It means you get work done." - Noam Chomsky

Offline Clarksville Snowman

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,259
  • Location: Woodlawn
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1820
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2019, 08:24:38 AM »
Reminder:

Before getting too excited that the models show 2-4 inches of snow across a large part of TN (except for the GFS that keeps it closer to the KY/TN border and points north).  Realize that due to a warm and wet ground that you should only take about half of what is being depicted.  In reality, a 2-4 inch event is probably a 1-2 inch event and around 1 inch is probably a dusting to a half-inch.

Just a note from your friendly I have been burned by models for like 14 years weather poster.   
Yep, no doubt I will take a inch of snow in November and run right now. LOL! ::guitar:: ::snowman::

Online Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 9,381
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2248
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2019, 09:44:18 AM »
GFS holds serve with a nice dusting-1Ē event for most.
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Offline schneitzeit

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,320
  • Location: Fairview, Tennessee
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1187
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2019, 10:03:56 AM »
Knoxville looks like a sweet spot in the most recent runs. Too bad I'm not living there rn
"I like the cold weather. It means you get work done." - Noam Chomsky

Offline mamMATTus

  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 1,097
  • Location: Nashville
  • Stormwater Inspector
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 106
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2019, 10:56:41 AM »
Is there any chance we can get arctic air to rush in quicker?

Offline BRUCE

  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 7,243
  • Location: Spring creek
  • home of three ef4 tornadoes since 1999
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 1758
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2019, 11:02:10 AM »
Is there any chance we can get arctic air to rush in quicker?
not really... front gets here West Tennessee late afternoon tomorrow...most the precip is out ahead the frontal boundary... classic cold air chasing moisture ...

Post Merge: November 10, 2019, 11:03:59 AM
But it will be two Novemberís back to back we see flakes... thatís good... just hope this doesnít turn out like last winter ...
« Last Edit: November 10, 2019, 11:03:59 AM by BRUCE, Reason: Merged DoublePost »
Come on severe wx season...

Online Charles L.

  • Global Moderator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 9,381
  • Location: Macon County, TN
  • Twitter:
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 2248
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2019, 11:42:10 AM »
The Euro is also showing a nice November snow! An area wide dusting-1Ē would be great to see.
Mobile chat link:

http://tennesseewx.com/arrowchat/public/mobile/

SumnerSevereWx and MaconSevereWx #tSpotter Coordinator

Offline Dyersburg Weather

  • Global Moderator
  • Derecho
  • ******
  • Posts: 2,237
  • Location: North of 40
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 568
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2019, 12:52:51 PM »
RGEM

[ Guests cannot view attachments ]

Offline Clint

  • Thunderstorm
  • ***
  • Posts: 206
  • Location: Olive Branch, Ms.
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 326
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #11 on: November 10, 2019, 02:34:07 PM »
18Z NAM 12km


Online Curt

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 8,010
  • Location: Arlington, TN(Memphis suburb)
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 355
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #12 on: November 10, 2019, 02:36:55 PM »
If the RGEM is close to being correct, this is more than just a nuisance event esp for being so early in the season. Near Memphis, it has up to 0.10 in QPF In freezing rain, half to one inch of sleet(up the entire 40 corridor) and a half inch of snow. The warm ground and early in the season event may help limit. Should be interesting to see this play out. NWS has been downplaying the frozen part and rightly so but it could be an over achiever for this early in the season standard.

Offline Flash

Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #13 on: November 10, 2019, 03:29:23 PM »
I know this sounds petty, but Iím about to go mow my lawn. If we get a half inch, I want it to look like more.  >:D
"By the breath of God ice is given, and the broad waters are frozen fast." ~ Job 37:10 (ESV)

Offline Thundersnow

  • Administrator
  • Tornado
  • ******
  • Posts: 11,255
  • Location: Nolensville
  • Liked:
  • Likes Given: 473
Re: Mid November Arctic Front/ Light Snow
« Reply #14 on: November 10, 2019, 03:56:40 PM »
I know this sounds petty, but Iím about to go mow my lawn. If we get a half inch, I want it to look like more.  >:D

Ha- you know I have done the same thing in the past for the same reason- lower that blade.

 

* Recent Posts

Winter 2019-2020
by Curt
[Today at 10:34:44 AM]
Dec 6-8th Atmospheric River Chase
by mamMATTus
[Yesterday at 07:20:28 PM]
New Madrid Seismic Zone Activity
by bugalou
[December 03, 2019, 07:36:19 PM]
Fall 2019
by Clay
[December 01, 2019, 12:48:30 AM]

Advertisement